The problem with these events is that we should err on the side of caution, sinc... | Hacker News

Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit

		carlmr on May 27, 2021 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: World Now Likely to Hit Watershed 1.5 °C Rise in N... The problem with these events is that we should err on the side of caution, since the other side may well be catastrophic.

spacemark on May 27, 2021 [–]

That's not good risk analysis. Severity is one axis, likelihood of occurring is another.

carlmr on May 27, 2021 | [–]

Which is exactly my point. If something is 100x as bad as the alternative and "only" 10% likely, that's still a very high ~10x expectation of badness.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact