Right now it's a fact that does not need numbers to prove.

Hopefully by 2030 there will be a robust network of recycling facilities around the world, for the majority of exhausted lithium batteries.

https://spectrum.ieee.org/energy/batteries-storage/lithiumio...

The part where we mine lithium instead of recycle it is a good indicator.

Only if there were waste streams of lithium of comparable scale, which there are not.

We are enormously expanding our use of lithium, and the biggest problem for the places that are currently trying to recycle lithium batteries is that there aren't enough of them to recycle. A big source of their current batteries are just the defects from the current manufacturing process.