I'm talking about it scaling; not about the value of the token. Ethereum 2 tackles scalability through PoS and sharding. Hence the reported energy advantage. Ethereum 2 will be one of the largest proof of stake networks once it launches both by market value and by number of users and validators. The longer that stays up without incidents; the better. The market value means that every known angle towards possibly abusing/hacking the network will be pursued by countless very incentivized hackers. Them failing to get anywhere increases the level of trust people have in these networks.
In think your point of view is a bit comparable to late stage skeptics arguing against dot com companies 20 years ago. They were mostly right and yet the FANG companies booted (or rebooted) straight out of that. So clearly they were also wrong. Very wrong. Because those companies are now worth trillions. Looking at what came out of that bubble, it is hard to argue that there was nothing there. Of course there was. But of course there were many failures as well and lots of investors backing the wrong companies for all the wrong reasons. But the technology from that era bootstrapped a multi trillion dollar industry.
The blockchain space is very similar. Lots of obvious scams, naive companies, poorly thought through business ideas, half-assed technology, etc. And lots of investors getting rich on being there early and losing other people's money (which, lets face it, is how that greed fueled behavior works). It's a symbiotic relation ship between mediocre investors and mediocre entrepreneurs. That hasn't changed in the last 20 years. That bubble is going to pop at some point. But that does not mean it will drag all blockchains with it.
The thing with Ethereum is that is mostly not directly dependent on VC cash. And that's one of it's strong points. The wider ecosystem is of course. But people like Vitalik Butarik and his friends are not reporting to anyone financed by a VC because they are already financially independent. That's also the reason they have been moving slowly and carefully with Ethereum 2 for years rather than rushing it to market in a few months. They've been talking about proof of stake and sharding for years already. Before the first bitcoin bubble even (four years ago or so).
Blockchains are as strong as those running them. Ethereum 2 right now looks like it is happening and has staying power and will have quite a bit staked among quite a few users. I'd argue most of the Ethereum 1 value is actually based on that future potential.
For a technology to be falsifiable, there needs to be an agreed upon method of measuring its fundamental failure.
Even in cases like stablecoins where investors are provably losing millions of dollars on repeat oweing to fundamental design faults of the underlying protocol, the coins continue being traded nonetheless. The coins are still worth money despite the many instances of clear technical failures — “being worth money” appears to be the sole arbiter of “validity”.
How can the underlying tech really be disproven? Cryptocurrency is an effectively unfalsifiable technology. You could be selling a one-wheeled tricycle, and investors would still trade it based on one narrative or another. That is more or less the case with PoS.
In think your point of view is a bit comparable to late stage skeptics arguing against dot com companies 20 years ago. They were mostly right and yet the FANG companies booted (or rebooted) straight out of that. So clearly they were also wrong. Very wrong. Because those companies are now worth trillions. Looking at what came out of that bubble, it is hard to argue that there was nothing there. Of course there was. But of course there were many failures as well and lots of investors backing the wrong companies for all the wrong reasons. But the technology from that era bootstrapped a multi trillion dollar industry.
The blockchain space is very similar. Lots of obvious scams, naive companies, poorly thought through business ideas, half-assed technology, etc. And lots of investors getting rich on being there early and losing other people's money (which, lets face it, is how that greed fueled behavior works). It's a symbiotic relation ship between mediocre investors and mediocre entrepreneurs. That hasn't changed in the last 20 years. That bubble is going to pop at some point. But that does not mean it will drag all blockchains with it.
The thing with Ethereum is that is mostly not directly dependent on VC cash. And that's one of it's strong points. The wider ecosystem is of course. But people like Vitalik Butarik and his friends are not reporting to anyone financed by a VC because they are already financially independent. That's also the reason they have been moving slowly and carefully with Ethereum 2 for years rather than rushing it to market in a few months. They've been talking about proof of stake and sharding for years already. Before the first bitcoin bubble even (four years ago or so).
Blockchains are as strong as those running them. Ethereum 2 right now looks like it is happening and has staying power and will have quite a bit staked among quite a few users. I'd argue most of the Ethereum 1 value is actually based on that future potential.