> These people genuinely believe we'll have fully road legal autonomous cars (as in, requiring zero human input) by 2025 and that human driven cars will be outright banned by 2035 or even 2030.
I'm not a Tesla fan, but I think that's going to happen eventually. Probably much closer to 2100 though.
Unless we've discovered how to teleport from place to place, I think people in 2100 will prefer private cars to public transport, as they have done ever since the car was invented.
Do they, for all types of trips? Personally, I much prefer trains for every trip over two hours.
Being able to stretch my legs, get coffee and food, and comfortably work are worth it.
Cars are very nice for when there is no (direct) train connection available to where I want to go, as well as for shorter trips, but they don‘t scale well at all in terms of density of traffic as well as efficiency.
Distance is definitely a factor, as is frequency. I'd prefer public transportation systems (trains, buses, planes, etc.) if it's a longer and occasional trip.
For short, regular, frequent travel, i.e. a commute? Give me a personal car anyday.
But my opinion is jaded from the awful urban public transportation systems we have in the US. Give me something like what Tokyo, Seoul, etc. have, and I might prefer public transit for commuting too.
I'm not a Tesla fan, but I think that's going to happen eventually. Probably much closer to 2100 though.