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From my readings of history, the death rate from Covid is not enough to cause an economic collapse, even if everyone contracted it.



The hospitalization rate and resulting panic could do it, though. Hospitalizations were about 20% of cases; worse, the rate dropped off less for young people than the death rate did, so while your chance of dying from COVID as a 30-40 year old was only about 1 in 2000, your chance of being hospitalized was about 1 in 30. Having 1 out every 30 people in the labor force hospitalized will shut down a lot of workplaces, particularly if their coworkers want to avoid the inconvenience (and $100K+ hospital bill).

I have an acquaintance that runs a box factory. Their COVID outbreak resulted in only one death, but it knocked one whole building out for about 2-3 weeks. Reportedly their competitors each had 3-4 such outbreaks.




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