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I don't think vaccine adoption will be high enough to create herd immunity, and if we could use social distancing to eradicate the virus we would have by now, so I think it's more likely than folks think it is that social distancing and mask wearing will be our new normal for a least a few more years.

Or... people could just give up, and our death rates will skyrocket, and it'll just be the US's national shame. I also think that's a real possibility.



Some good news is that lots of vulnerable people are choosing to get vaccinated when given the opportunity, so death rates should decline even if we screw the rest of it up.


The most vulnerable among us can't get vaccinated.


Like, at all? ever? Why not?


https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd/should-not-vacc.html

A lot of conditions render you ineligible for ever obtaining certain vaccines.

This is usually accounted for through herd immunity.




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