I'm pretty impressed by the path MS has taken with their mobile platform — rather than simply aping iOS or Android they're trying new ideas and it seems like they've put a lot of legitimate thought into how people interact with their mobile devices.
It may wind up serving a different consumer space than the Android or iPhone app-heavy consumer, and that's why it's interesting.
I really like WP7, but they're being held-back by their hardware. They're beholden to their hardware "partners", who seem more interested in selling Android devices for, presumably, higher margins and crappy USP software customizations that consumers didn't ask for.
This is why I was really hoping that the rumors about MS buying out Nokia were true, that would get them great hardware to go with great software, then they could really push again this holiday. For all Zune's hardware problems in the beginning, the Zune HD was really a nice piece of kit, as is the Xbox 360. Microsoft does know how to make great consumer hardware when it wants to, people just forget that they do.
HTC is not good for you? I think HTC beats Nokia. My latest Nokia phone was really a very crappy and bad one. HTC HD7 and HTC Mozart seems quite good for me.
The HTCs are fairly bland and generic containers, and the screens are certainly not competitive with the one on iPhone 4. There is a lot of room to do better.
Good comment. I am also impressed by this particular path - it indeed seems to be a wholly different way of interacting - if they get their cloud stuff right, i would actually give it a spin
It's a good question. I did read an interview with (I think) Charlie Kindel who was talking about their approach to designing WP7 (sorry, can't find the link.) His story implied that it was somewhat different by design as an attempt to speed up access to the most common mobile functionality.
I guess you'd say that even if you were forced down that route, but it's still interesting to see good design and different thinking coming out of Redmond.
I can't picture Microsoft worrying about patents disputes from Apple or Google. Apple because it would result in a patent armageddon across their product lines and Google because it's not known to enforce patents.
No, Windows phones predate iOS and Android. Android really isn't that much different than Windows Mobile 6.5, aside from touch screen interaction and a superior web browser. (WM 6.5 has better email/messaging, actually).
I think it was more like "Apple is eating our lunch and we need to have something FAST" or we will be dead on mobile.
Apple and google(they bought the company Android) spent a lot of time designing their mobile OSes.
MS would have to spend the same time designing the UI, they do not have time, so they created something very simple(drawing simple vector shapes with orthogonal pictures is extremely easy and fast to do), and will use money to force their product into the market, buying whatever they need(just Nokia deal took MS BILLIONS vs Android taking tens of millions from Google, add the money they will give to carriers) because they CAN'T LOOSE THE MOBILE WARS. If they do they loose the train of the future.
Achieving simplicity in design is more difficult than just throwing a ton of buttons, gradients and drop shadows at the problem. I'm an iOS user, and a huge fan of that model, but Microsoft is doing a good job of crafting an experience that differentiates itself from the iOS (and Android) paradigm of interaction.
Don't mistake a lack of "flashiness" for a lack of taste. Windows Phone is a pretty classy product with a decent chance of success as long as Microsoft doesn't shoot themselves in the foot.
My thought: Microsoft should try to capture the low end.
I know, it sounds dumb, but right now they have a terrible history of competing with Apple and Android. If you're going to shell out hundreds of bucks, are you going to risk it on another Microsoft device?
On the other hand, if you were going to get a free phone anyway, and somebody tells you that the new MS "smart" phone is free, why not try it? If they can get wide adoption there, get a lot of user feedback and keep improving, they can start releasing nicer handsets and work their way up into the premium market.
Of course, all this assumes that they can make a phone with cheap hardware which performs decently and is truly a step up for flip-phone users, and that they can get adoption there. But at least those folks have lower standards and less to lose by getting a Microsoft phone. (Which, by the way, should NOT be called a Windows phone.)
It's the "a smart phone in every pocket" strategy. :)
Currently there are two branches in phone contracts:
1) Cheap feature phones (under $200 real cost) with a voice plan but no data plans.
2) Smart phones ($500+ real cost) with $30 data plans.
Both of those are subsidized by the attached plans so the consumer pays $0 to $200. Where does a low-end smart phone fit into this ecosystem? A $400 real cost phone is already going to be subsidized down to $0 out of pocket.
It seems like the only vendor who has any interest in really cheap smart phones is Virgin Mobile, who will sell you an ok Android phone for $200 but with a $25 unlimited data plan (and 300 minutes). I'm not sure if there is really much money to be made chasing this market.
- Low end phones tend to be crappy. If everyone who gets a "free" low end Windows phone hates it because the phone isn't very good, they're going to trash talk Windows phones, even if the OS doesn't suck. Windows phones already get trash-talked quite a lot (I don't know anyone with a Windows phone that actually likes it). I don't know anyone with a WP7 device, so I don't know if it Windows still sucks on mobile devices, but there's already a bad reputation to overcome. I know you've addressed this with this sentence: "all this assumes that they can make a phone with cheap hardware which performs decently", but you can't really wave away the limitations of the technology. In a year, feature phone priced hardware will be smartphone capable...but Windows Phone will be even further behind Android by then.
- Windows Phone is not, as far as I know, a resource light OS. Putting it on an underpowered phone in order to keep the price really low is likely to lead to an even worse user experience than normal. Again, trash-talking end users would be the result.
- To make phones cheaper than Android phones, Microsoft would have to give away the OS for free, and try to make the revenue back through app store purchases or something. Microsoft doesn't have a history of giving away the razor and selling the blades at a steep markup (XBOX might be a counterpoint, since it reportedly was a loss-leader in the beginning).
- There is already a solid low-end smartphone market built on Android. The Optimus line, for instance, is available for free with contract from several providers, and for under $200 without a contract, and is a very serviceable smart phone; roughly comparable to a Nexus One, though not quite as nicely constructed. With a contract, even the iPhone is now close to free ($49 for a 3GS).
Feature phone users have already mostly begun migrating to smartphones. The only people I know who still use dumb phones are people on pay-as-you-go plans, that didn't offer smart phones when they bought their phone a year or two or three ago. Smart phones are now common on pay-as-you-go carriers, and most of the people I know on those plans are upgrading or planning to upgrade in the next few months.
So, to summarize: Beating Android to the bottom seems untenable. Beating Apple for the aspirational market seems untenable (since nobody aspires to use Microsoft, as it was historically the value choice). Microsoft needs to find a niche in the smartphone market, but I think all the good ones are taken. Blackberry had a good one in the enterprise market...but they've lost it by falling so far behind technically. Maybe Microsoft can win in the enterprise niche and fill the hole probably left by Blackberry (though both iPhone and Android are reasonably capable of serving in that role, neither has focused on it).
>> - Windows Phone is not, as far as I know, a resource light OS. Putting it on an underpowered phone in order to keep the price really low is likely to lead to an even worse user experience than normal. Again, trash-talking end users would be the result.
WP7 is actually a ridiculously light OS. All of the current WP7 phones uses the older generation Snapdragon processors, but they are still faster then most of the newer Android handsets with dual-core processors. MS went to great pains to make sure that everything was optimized (and the UI is hardware accelerated), which is why their hardware specifications only had support for one SoC.
XBOX might be a counterpoint, since it reportedly was a loss-leader in the beginning
FWIW, all consoles are loss-leaders in the beginning, and you make the money back in game license fees and relying on components becoming cheaper over time.
The only console maker that has bucked this trend is Nintendo with the DS and Wii; they always sold for a profit. That's why Nintendo doesn't care that the attach rate (number of games bought for the platform) is through the floor, because Nintendo already made their money.
I also agree that you can't beat Android in the race to the bottom.
If Blackberry has lost its enterprise niche, and MS is struggling to find one of its own, it seems that HP/Palm and Meego are in even worse positions. I suppose at this point such second-stringers might as well give up on smartphones and find some other mobile platform to work towards, such as tablets.
Whilst I really don't enjoy having to make websites compatible with IE (mainly 8 and below), I'm really glad they're sticking with IE as a browser. WebKit seems to have a monopoly on phones and so many mobile sites (and tutorials) don't think about other browsers.
I'd prefer more phones to ship with Gecko (Firefox), like my Nokia N900 but anything non-WebKit adds to the diversity.
Edit: I don't really have anything against WebKit and understand that it makes sense for mobiles as it's easily embedable but the fact that it has a monopoly in the mobile space really gets to me!
Monopolies are ok if they are created and kept through legitimate means. And I think WebKit's monopoly on phones is legitimate and well deserved. If Microsoft put together a comparable engine (and it is very possible they have, I haven't tested it) then I would be happy that there is competition. But diversity for diversity's sake is not a good reason to not use WebKit. In fact it is very possible it would do more harm then good.
I am hoping* that Microsoft drops IE (the rendering engine not the browser), and throws it's support behind the Gecko engine. With Microsoft supporting Gecko, and Google and Apple supporting WebKit, we should see nice growth browser's capabilities.
*I know this won't happen, but who says a man can't dream.
The issue is not whether the monopoly is good or bad, but rather that its existence creates what is essentially a monoculture. I'd rank that as more of a concern, especially when we're talking about consumer devices.
IE6 is single vendor, single platform, it is closed source, so it does not at all compare to webkit which is cross platform, open source and on top of that multi vendor.
The WM7 IE version is a little jacked... hopefully Mango's browser is better than IE 7.5 or whatever is in the current release. The last thing I'd be happy about is yet another buggy, poorly updated browser from Microsoft, but if history is any indication that's what they'll be providing.
A bit clearer information. I've had one now for a while and I do enjoy the phone. It seems slightly limited but hopefully Mango will push it further, and we'll see tighter integration with Windows 8 next year. Zune software looks better than iTunes, but some of its configs are lacking. The current phone is probably between the iPhone 3GS and iPhone 4, but you don't have that feeling of App Silos, however I use the Facebook integration less and less. I think I will be leaning towards iPhone 5 instead though, as the apps are significantly lacking in this phone (and app development API/SDK access is terrible). Marketplace needs a big overhaul and move to something different than an App Store mimic.
The worst feature is Bing Maps. Last night I typed in location X and it said not available. So I typed in located X suburb Y and it still said it could not find it. So I typed in location X suburb Y and state Z. It then relocates to the centre of the state Z and points out that state Z is here.
So we're waiting until October for limited backgrounding and an integrated sms, facebook, and messenger experience? Yeah, I can see ppl holding off on iOS and android upgrades for this;) Seriously, win7 is so unbaked it can't even connect to a hidden wifi network. And with this fall release they are not going to be at parity with last year's OS's. They have continued to loss market share. They need to leapfrog the competition:(
I wouldn't say the wait is optional, more financially restricted(2 year contract).
Is your Win7 experience a personal one though? I haven't yet required to connect to a hidden wifi network. And now that cut-and-paste has arrived, I have used it all of twice.
I'm always of the state of mind that the differences between Android, Iphone, and Win7 aren't that big; I wouldn't say that win7 is unbaked any of those phones, except when it comes to apps, and iPhone always wins.
I just hate being an Apple user. I want to have an iPhone with out the Apple fanboy stigma
MS's strategy in my opinion mostly hinges on 3 points:
1) Enterprise Integration
2) Skype integration
3) Senseless (A communications network that runs on whitespace)
If MS integrates well into the enterprise it becomes the natural phone for enterprise developers (eg. the people who already know C#)
With Skype integration MS has an excellent platform to bring Skype to the enterprise and start cutting desktop phone costs. I know we'd all bemoan a 'managed' skype solution but corporate america would love it, and they trust the MS brand.
The third prong is the final nail in the coffin, if MS can deliver senseless and make the carrier's irrelevant then some massive innovation can take place in the space and MS will be the natural leader having both the spectrum and the handset, the only real question is whether they make a boatload of money by offering competitive pricing, or they use cut throat pricing to take the whole market. Knowing MS's embrace, extend, extinguish strategy my money would be on the latter, especially now that they are free from DOJ oversight.
That's exactly it - I don't think the userbase cares. (Hell, I think to much of their userbase, "Windows" is as much of a liability as it is an asset.)
That tying-stuff-together mentality is something that has served Microsoft well while they've dominated, but is increasingly a weight around their necks as areas become important that they can't extend domination into.
Since word on it is getting out to a group that needs hyping, it might be a good idea to have started openly calling it "8", then. Build some excitement.
I think that Windows Phone 8 will require a new generation of hardware to run properly. Mango will be supported on current handsets according to the webcast.
It may wind up serving a different consumer space than the Android or iPhone app-heavy consumer, and that's why it's interesting.