> You keep introducing more variables and more arbitrary numbers
These variables are the ones that are relevant to deaths and have been talked about since the beginning of the pandemic: hospital overwhelm, total percent of populace infected, etc
To refuse to deal with the complexities of the situation doesn’t make them go away. I didn’t introduce any factors apart from the common ones.
> It's well known that harmless viruses exist, they infect a lot of people and kill nobody (or almost nobody).
We’re not talking about those viruses though. Most viruses that we don’t have a vaccine for are either orders of magnitude less lethal or substantially less contagious.
> Claiming that more infectious = generally more lethal is just not based on facts.
I didn’t say that. I said that at the level of lethality coronavirus is at, an increase in contagiousness is worse than an increase in lethality. Very different claim.
> If Covid-19 mutates into a mostly harmless variant, we will easily treat the few more severe infections and nobody will die.
This would be true if it mutated into something maybe 100x less contagious. An entirely theoretical possibility. That’s how much more lethal covid is compared to stuff like the cold.
These variables are the ones that are relevant to deaths and have been talked about since the beginning of the pandemic: hospital overwhelm, total percent of populace infected, etc
To refuse to deal with the complexities of the situation doesn’t make them go away. I didn’t introduce any factors apart from the common ones.
> It's well known that harmless viruses exist, they infect a lot of people and kill nobody (or almost nobody).
We’re not talking about those viruses though. Most viruses that we don’t have a vaccine for are either orders of magnitude less lethal or substantially less contagious.
> Claiming that more infectious = generally more lethal is just not based on facts.
I didn’t say that. I said that at the level of lethality coronavirus is at, an increase in contagiousness is worse than an increase in lethality. Very different claim.
> If Covid-19 mutates into a mostly harmless variant, we will easily treat the few more severe infections and nobody will die.
This would be true if it mutated into something maybe 100x less contagious. An entirely theoretical possibility. That’s how much more lethal covid is compared to stuff like the cold.