Inspired by your citation I went out and had a look on the Internets.. a direct quote from Sunetra Gupta in May: "the epidemic has largely come and is on its way out in [the UK]."

How is this a credible person to listen to? It boggles the mind, she is an epidemiologist! After making a professional error on that scale I would crawl in a hole and not come out for a year!