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More young people going out = more cases. Those people infecting their parents and grandparents may lead to more deaths in due time.

And it has been news. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/03/health/coronavirus-mortal...



"just wait two weeks!"

People have been saying this for months now, and it hasn't been true at any point. Daily deaths have been falling as cases rise.


That’s a particular challenge with this virus: it takes a long time between being exposed and actually suffering from the disease. Which makes it really easy to dismiss the impact because the side saying “it’s a big deal” has to wait two weeks or more while the side saying “it’s not a big deal” gets to claim victory for two weeks before being proved right or wrong.

The fact is we don’t know a lot about how this virus operates or why it does what it does. What we do know is that there are fates much worse than death that come from this disease (reduced lung/heart/organ function, long hospital stays with very expensive bills at the end, etc). We know it spreads quickly and we know it’s spreading uncontrolled right now. We know at least 130,000 people in the US have died and many more will be permanently injured. We know the countries who handled the response right, because they are opening back up. We know the countries who handled it poorly because their cases are still going up.

All of the things we don’t know are problems and we need to keep learning. All the things we DO know tell us this is bad and it’s going to get worse before it gets better unless people start taking it seriously. Unfortunately many people are taking the opposite approach and claiming victory based on the unknown factors we still don’t know answers to.


As far as I can tell, nothing you wrote addressed the post you responded to.

The claim was that deaths having been going down. They have for 90 days. We know that deaths lag diagnosis by 7-14 days.

The out of control growth "side" has lost it's credibility.

>All the things we DO know tell us this is bad and it’s going to get worse before it gets better unless people start taking it seriously.

Deaths is the most accurate data we have and it shows us things have been continuously getting better for 90 days. Of course we are not out of the woods, and should continue to implement reasonable controls.


They will continue to say “just wait two weeks!” two weeks from now.




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