I understand that line of thinking but that would imply the prevalence rate of COVID was in complete parallel with the incidence rate. The former is what we do not know and that's clear when we've had patients labs reran from 2019 and found it was positive for COVID. Government data from China says the first case can be traced back to 17 November 2019 and even then they're unsure if that was patient zero[0]
How many American's were in Asia, China, or surrounding areas between October and December of 2019? How many of them were possibly infected? Nobody knows because there was no plan put in place with regard to travel to mainland China until the end of January 2020; even then since 1 January 2020, there were 430,000 people who traveled from China to the U.S.[1]
How many American's were in Asia, China, or surrounding areas between October and December of 2019? How many of them were possibly infected? Nobody knows because there was no plan put in place with regard to travel to mainland China until the end of January 2020; even then since 1 January 2020, there were 430,000 people who traveled from China to the U.S.[1]
0: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3074991/coro...
1: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/04/us/coronavirus-china-trav...