> *...we would needlessly quarantine 12.5 million people, and fail to quarantine...

		zaroth on March 21, 2020 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Effect of economic crisis on America’s small busin... > ...we would needlessly quarantine 12.5 million people, and fail to quarantine an equal number of infected carriers. Well, the failure the quarantine would be the false negative rate times the infection prevalence. A significantly smaller number than the false quarantine rate, until the whole gadonkun no longer matters.

Very true. Mine was a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation based on a highly charitable scenario.