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==First, there is negative rates. Punishing people for holding cash. The ECB and Bank of Japan have done a lot of pioneering work there, the Fed will have already extensively studied what they did, what worked, what didn't work.

Second, they have QE, monetizing debt & debasing dollar wealth, which is exactly what they'll unleash for the next recession. Inflation isn't much of a concern right now, so they'll feel free to 'print' rather wildly.==

I'm not sure I see where either of these options has worked. Can you share the successes of either of these measures?

In option 1, you have a stagnant Japan with a lost generation.

Option 2, is what we have been doing for 12 years and has led us to this point. The inflation seems to be hiding in asset prices (housing, stocks) not household items.

Since 2007, there has been one year with GDP growth [1] above the annual deficit as % of GDP [2]. That was 2015, with 2.4% deficit and 2.9% GDP growth. 2018 saw the US spending 3.8% of GDP in deficits to generate 2.9% GDP growth. Does that sound like a "strong" economy?

[1] https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/gdp-...

[2] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSGDA188S




I love how everyone uses Japan as an example of central bank success.

Their economy crashed in the 1980s and still hasn't recovered.

If that "success", I'll stick with failure.


Housing is not a household item?


No, it's not. You can't buy houses at WalMart or Costco because they sell household goods, not housing. [1]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_goods




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