"The minute you start believing that you’re something special – that you’re the smartest, most talented guy in every room – is the minute things start to fall apart."
So true. Paranoia and humility are your closest friends.
Andy Grove had a point with the title of his book, Only The Paranoid Survive. That's what I admire most about Bill Gates, from the 1970s till maybe 2000 he managed to remain paranoid. (I say this as a compliment and something that I hope to emulate.) Most people with his level of success would become smug and over-confident. Like his successor, for instance.
the article is interesting but without context it's kind of pointless. how do we know he is not making this up?
the company had supposedly revenue of 150mil with net loses of around 100mil. my guess is that this was some kind of online shop with very tiny profit margins.
1. See if you can find anything on the VCs who backed Woot. There's nothing on Crunchbase and nothing on Google. No-one is trumpeting it as a success, or even mentioning it in their (previous) portfolios.
2. Purchase price was reportedly $110m in cash - exact same number as in this post.
3. Post says firm was founded by close friends. He seems to live in Seattle, which is where Woot is/was based.
4. Current CEO of Woot, and presumably CEO at the time, has protected his tweets.
The article says they focused on "product quality". Given that Woot's often hawking items described as "the world's crappiest projector" and refurbished items, that would seem to rule them out.
This all sounds very familiar. Especially the bit about the conservative co-founder. When the hype is loudest, the voice of reason gets pushed to the side... and he who makes the biggest promises gets the biggest reward.
I think the lesson here is simpler: the company hit product-market fit, and assumed this would be the case forever. This wasn't true, of course. The founders hadn't optimized for this problem, they disagreed on what to do next, success got to their heads, and everything spiraled out of control.
It's always harder to follow-up on a success, especially a huge one, like what the company in this story had.
So true. Paranoia and humility are your closest friends.