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Games are a place this comes of frequently. In poker you will often make the "right" (highest EV) play and still lose a given hand.

Making the highest odds plays (and being able to figure out what they are) over and over again regardless of how the individual hands turn out is how you win.

Obviously, you can also win while making the wrong plays by getting lucky (right for the wrong reasons). Evaluating your play based on the outcome of the hands (did you win or lose) rather than the plays you made with the information you had at the time is called Results Oriented Thinking: https://www.pokerdictionary.net/glossary/results-oriented-th... ... and it is a pernicious mistake (with wider applications than just poker :).




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