I don’t think any US president is going to be arrested anytime soon, the best/worst (depending on your political affiliations) that could happen is a repeat of how Nixon went away.
Afaik Nixon still had quite a big popular support when he was forced to make way, and I think that the people behind his fall thought that antagonizing his supporters by putting him behind bars would have created unnecessary political and geo-strategic turbulences. On the other hand, I think a president with low approval points is not worth being arrested while in office, he’s a sitting duck anyway, his hands are tied and he’d only have to see his mandate through without creating that much of a fuss.
Nixon's approval ratings were below 25% before he resigned. That's getting pretty close to what I expect is the floor (one in five is a pretty low bar and not a bad estimate for the number of loons among average citizens).
T'was a different time. Remembering that not only was Nixon elected, he beat Humphrey by popular vote and electoral, and he won re-election. He did some popular things (EPA, for example), so we weren't ready to hate him just yet. Though I was young, politics didn't strike me as much of a team sport as it is today. Watergate, though, showed us what politicians are capable of. Though many might have suspected, the 70s were the first time it showed up in your living room on TV as live-and-in-color proof.
Today, thanks in part to Watergate, we have a much more cynical populous and so, say, Trump probably won't have as far to fall.
Hence why i said other things are left to debate. My scope was that he ended the war... nothing more. It's a fact I was pointing out. A single specific fact.
> I don’t think any US president is going to be arrested anytime soon
I agree, sadly.
The problem lies with the fact that Trump (and the Republicans by extension) have caused so much damage to the roots and branches of democracy that cutting them out altogether will cause terminal damage to many of the institutions on which democracy relies. If the FBI can cause the downfall of a President, then they will become the weapon wielded, rightly or wrongly, against the next President.
The best outcome we can hope for is a systemic review of what has lead us to this rot, along with indictments and jail time for key, non-government, people. Political donations, media regulation, espionage - all of this needs to be reviewed, laws changed where appropriate and people charged where necessary.
Trump's arrest would change nothing, except to ensure that the FBI would be deployed by corrupt men against a (relatively) honest President. A root-and-branch cull of the conditions which made Trump possible will prevent the next Trump.
> A root-and-branch cull of the conditions which made Trump possible will prevent the next Trump.
The conditions which made Trump possible were the American people believing the roots and branches of American democracy were already rotten to the core. There's no "root and branch cull" to prevent the people wanting to vote in Nero just to watch Rome burn.
The FBI isn't what is bringing Trump down, the FBI has always seemed to be mostly conservative to moderate Republican leaning law and order types.
It's the rule of law and the ability to have an independent investigation of the president. I never thought that the political parties on both sides would be so swayed by the president that they wouldn't be able to adequately control or counter illegal or crazy actions. I've at least lost that naivety. Maybe Trump is our Nero, but it was such a thin slice of crazy that got him elected.
Some people voted for him because they liked the traditional ideas of the republican party, of his rhetoric about 'others' keeping us down, racism, people cheating the us. But I think there was also a sizable group of people that saw their future in trouble, the local town's factory shrinking or closing, young people moving away from their farm country, their local town with shuttered shops - those people wanted someone to give them hope. HRC wasn't doing a good job of engaging with them, even though I think she did have programs and intentions to help people. Bernie Sanders did have more outreach. I don't think most people wanted us to burn like Nero, they just wanted a change that might help them.
3 of the last 7 governors spent time in prison.