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2.50 per cent, that born in Asia by 4.47 per cent, that aged less than 15 years by only 0.46 per cent. Interstate annual population growth rates currently (1999–2000) vary between 1.7 per cent (Queensland) and –0.1 per cent (Tasmania), while massive differences exist in the direction, scale and components of population change in regions and communities. This paper takes the approach not so much of predicting the future as of exploring what will happen if demographic trends and tendencies evident in the mid- to late 1990s continue to evolve in the directions they seem to be moving in. No startling predictions are made of major reversals of trends. Instead the emphasis is placed on what seems likely given current trends and patterns in other developed societies. In many respects Australia’s current situation is in the middle among OECD nations, and seems to have further to go in some areas, including population distribution


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