> someone at HR is already looking into replacing you.
Well, not that I disagree that accepting a counter offer is a bad idea, I'm pretty sure that someone at HR is always looking into replacing you, all the time.
I don't think that hr is looking to replace people, because it's way too hard to hire. At my company every new hire looks like a magical lucky serendipitous event. Hiring is just that hard. HR grudlingly matches people's other offers. They are too exhausted to look for someone to replace their existing employees.
Well, not that I disagree that accepting a counter offer is a bad idea, I'm pretty sure that someone at HR is always looking into replacing you, all the time.