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Bit rot is a real problem, but HDD are consumer products with very poor sensors. Assuming similar levels of technology Data should be recoverable for hundreds of years.

File formats in general are fairly straightforward at the bit level. Languages would be a larger issue except they are also stagnating with slower drift over time as population sizes increase.

On top of that we are still producing vast amounts of written material that is likely to survive. Net result future historians are going to have far more to work with than current ones do.

PS: Remember even 1 in 1,000,000 files would still add up to a lot of information. That said, encryption is likely to be a larger issue.




I hadn't even considered encryption, which like you said will be a large issue. It seems to me that that data is effectively gone unless we have some magic in the future that can defeat forward secrecy and post-quantum crypto algorithms.


Lots of governments mandate specially designed archive systems for this very reason: OAIS [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_Archival_Information_Syst...], so we should never be totally lost. But there are very good reasons to be concerned that the most prolific information creators & recorders in all of human history may be doing so in an information 'black hole' [https://www.irishtimes.com/business/technology/internet-foun...].


as if consumer HDD was the only means of storing information. look around you, man.




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