But there is no "strong cryptography is bad" rhetoric out there...
How about Tor being used for CP? That's a pretty prevalent and well known argument. Any competent lawyer is going to be able to spin the same argument for strong crypto.
I agree with you on a logical level, I just don't think that's how it plays out in the average voter's/politician's mind. The logical leap between guns and Tor just isn't made in practice.
I feel that this is an issue for the courts rather than the representatives, and the courts are less influenced by Joe Gun-nut than the elected officials he directly elects.
So while surely there will be some new law censoring the Internets, the courts will probably strike it down.
(I mean, are we really going to send people to prison for not upgrading their ssh servers? I doubt it.)
How about Tor being used for CP? That's a pretty prevalent and well known argument. Any competent lawyer is going to be able to spin the same argument for strong crypto.