I've discovered recently the lectures of Prof. Jordan Peterson. You can infer a lot of links between human behavior and shortcomings of AI. In some lectures he even touches the actual problems although on a tangent (e.g. what is relevant in the infinite complexity of the world and on the infinite levels on which you can analyze the world).
Long story short, my claim is that the AI revolution will happen when the AI agent will be able to abstract on a task experience and transfer that to a different task AND abstract away that and transfer that to the set of tasks and so on.
Sort of like the Alpha Zero would next be able to fly helicopters or wash dishes or cook a meal or whatever. Not anytime soon.
Thanks for the support. Being the voice of reality is a lonely road, like introducing antibiotics in a petri dish of wildly speculating bacteria, the revulsion is instantaneous.
"How dare you claim IBM's Watson isn't BREAKTHROUGH?!"
"How dare you not want the same buggy useless software which powers siri and cortana to now be used to drive cars?!"
What are you cynical reality based folks talking about! Saudia Arabia granted citizenship to it's first robot. Clearly you hate science! If AI wasn't real yet, why would they do that!?
Saying you don't want self-driving cars really IS insane. They are already way better at driving than humans in many situations, and they are only going to improve with time.
Even if you don't believe they are good enough now, to say that they are NEVER going to be good enough is ridiculous.
Long story short, my claim is that the AI revolution will happen when the AI agent will be able to abstract on a task experience and transfer that to a different task AND abstract away that and transfer that to the set of tasks and so on.
Sort of like the Alpha Zero would next be able to fly helicopters or wash dishes or cook a meal or whatever. Not anytime soon.