> As the little ice age ended and temperatures warmed, ice melted and freshwater flooded into the North Atlantic. The results suggest the current state of the AMOC is the weakest it has been over that whole long record. Whether today’s state is just a continuation of that reaction or whether global warming has also started to chip in is not clear, he says. Caesar, meanwhile, put the turning point toward a weaker AMOC in the mid-20th century, suggesting it is due to the influence of human-caused warming. Her team’s record, however, does not extend as far back.
It's always difficult reading climate analysis like these articles where it bounces back and forth between sounding confident of projections in the first half of the article, to how it's all still really speculative without consensus and needing better modeling in the latter half.
All I want is to know what the data says and a reasonable estimate of it's probability of being true. Yet it's almost impossible to separate what the scientists hope the data may to point to and what it reasonably does in it's current state.
I guess, as a casual reader, it'd be better to not jump on every new study that comes out and wait for future consensus to form.
It's always difficult reading climate analysis like these articles where it bounces back and forth between sounding confident of projections in the first half of the article, to how it's all still really speculative without consensus and needing better modeling in the latter half.
All I want is to know what the data says and a reasonable estimate of it's probability of being true. Yet it's almost impossible to separate what the scientists hope the data may to point to and what it reasonably does in it's current state.
I guess, as a casual reader, it'd be better to not jump on every new study that comes out and wait for future consensus to form.