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It's not priced in. People are more likely to just hope it doesn't happen to them. If you force both insurance and evacuations then the risks are actually priced in, with deaths minimized and a constant cost of living bump instead of tons of people gambling their lives and livelihood.



> It's not priced in. People are more likely to just hope it doesn't happen to them.

That doesn't establish that it isn't priced in. It establishes that the value people place on their own lives isn't as high as you think it should be.


This applies to things like houses with objective values too. People don't treat risks rationally.




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