> Hayek’s point in his famous essay of 1945, “The Uses of Knowledge in Society”, is that central planning cannot work because it is trying to substitute an individual all-knowing intelligence for a distributed and fragmented system of localised but connected knowledge, much of which is tacit.
Yet centralized control is the hammer that everyone turns to whenever there is a problem. Instead of figuring out the root-cause and actually solving problems the default instinct of all modern state-heavy economies is always to add more layers on control. And I don't mean the 'state' but people... I see it all the time on HN and Reddit too.
A perfect example of this recently is all of the calls for price controls in pharma - prices are a great example of distributed knowledge systems. Despite the fact research points to gov-backed monopolies being the primary cause for drug price fluctuations [1], sometimes increasing prices 2000% at a time. In any other market if a company increased prices even 25-50% they would put themselves out of business because a competitor would step in to offer a better price.
This was demonstrated recently with the Epipen controversy [2]. They would never have been able to jack their prices so high if they had any competitors, and there are companies dying to compete with them, but they have been stuck in the FDA 'backlog' for years.
Plenty of other research shows that price controls results in shortages. Just like the massive food shortages that have been happening since Venezuela enacted price controls on food.
Yet the argument is being characterized as the evil selfish individualism which permeates American 'capitalism' making these pharma CEOs jack prices up.
Of course not all regulation is bad. There are many externalities that can't be controlled in the market (pollution is the perfect example). But this immediate instinct to always turn to more centralized control with blind trust, while villianizing markets, is an unhealthy obsession IMO. People act like capitalism is the shining star of American culture but as far as I can see it is continually villianized in movies and pop culture to the detriment of society. While government is held to such low standards that we only expect mediocrity from them.
For example, in response to pharma prices, how about cleaning up the existing regulatory system so the FDA doesn't have companies in the backlogs for years? Or investing more capital so they have enough people to handle the load? Or are we just so used to inefficient government that we just expect them to not do their jobs well? But no, clearly the solution is to give them even more work to set prices for thousands of drugs.
I'm all for Hayek being taught in schools, maybe people would hold both markets to higher esteem and governments to higher standards. So we get better policy and new policy only when centralized control actually makes the most sense.
Many forms of pollution can be addressed by property right systems and the law. Meaning, just like everything else.
There is a long history of rivers being divided up and pollution was handled just like if you throw waste into your neighbors yard. This is just one simple example but there is a huge amount of resources around this. There is a hole field called Economics&Law or Property rights economics.
Pollution of things like Oceans and and the Atmosphere can not be handled like that. Problem is, our current state system fails as well. The current system fails for the exact same reason, there is no system of property rights.
You hit the nail on the head. This is the relevant question.
Of course we have states and they do both enforce and sometimes create rules. That is why people like Hayek and many others were not anarchists. The hole philosophy of classical liberalism is based around the idea of a small state to enforce these rights.
The problem is that the solution 'the state' is not a complete one.
We of course also know that property rights do exist and persist outside of state systems. Many different types of system can and do provide rights and have mechanism for enforcement.
It is a major field of study in both economics, for legal scholars and many others. There has been a lot of work on this question and it is a hard one to answer. One possible that one economist/legal scholar provides is that it is all about the Schelling point, you pick some point and commit to overreaction. Once you have this idea even two people on a empty island can establish property rights. So its about commitment and signaling.
We can easily find situations like this in real live. There are tons of example both now and historically. Common Law for example was not created by the state, but was in essence eventually enforced by the state. The first Stock market in Amsterdam was neither created, nor enforced by the state.
There is a hole lot to be talked about. To tie it back together with the original discussion. If we are talking about pollution protection in the current world, it would of course have to be either rules created by the state, or rules that evolve as they did in common law (in fact many rules already exist in British common law).
The state could set the limits for a pollutant but then let it be enforced by normal law enforcement, more like civil rather then criminal law.
P.S: Many classical liberals believe in Natural Law, but many also do not. This debate is still active and has not gone away.
(I was trying to avoid getting drawn into a discussion about God).
That's a great question. It could be the State. It could be others. The Bar Association enforces standards and behaviors on lawyers, and thereby your right to practice law. Cisco enforces standards on it's engineers (I'm thinking CCIE, etc), and the rights that go with that.
Here's the rub, though. The State should be a mediator between two parties. If I say that you destroyed my yard, I should get recourse in front of an unbiased and uninterested 3rd party. It doesn't have to be the State. It could be anyone that we both agree is impartial.
First, people use the hammer of centralized control just as they sell after the market has taken a big fall - because of fear. In both cases, it's the wrong action. Fear and greed are the two major reactions that humans have, at it'e hardwired into our brains. Discussion is a much higher brain function that is easily overruled by those functions. Hence crazy regulations upon crazy regulations.
Secondly, the Epipen issue exists because of the FDA. There is no such thing as a free market for drugs - it is COMPLETELY controlled by the government.
Personally, I think the CEOs can set whatever price they want. Our response should be demanding that the FDA promotes competition instead of killing it. This would allow for more rational pricing. To me, in a free(er) market, drug prices would look like Intel chip prices - high at the beginning to offset heavy capital costs, and then lowering over time. Obviously patent protection comes into play, making it less free, but this could be addressed as well.
One other example that we're going to see play out in the coming months is the Dodd-Frank regulation. There are an amazing amount of constraints on banks, when many of them could be eliminated by two rules: 1 - a bank has to eat the first 20% of losses on a loan, even if it sells it; 2 - if your bank goes under, the top two layers of management cannot work in or for the industry for the next five years. That would largely get rid of the bad actor problem, since the punishment would be significant.
Hayek was an absolute fabulist and quite dishonest too. His arguments against central planning rely on a sleight of hand where any government planning is identified with something like GOSPLAN under Stalin. How people using the internet, created by DARPA and NSF can fall for that is beyond me. Clearly, governments can plan well or badly. For that matter private corporations can plan well or badly - IBM and Intel have centralized planning on an immense scale.
You are attacking a straw man. Hayek is not against all planning, not even against all government. That the government must plan for the things they are responsible for, is absolutely clear and needed.
He is talking about government control of the economy.
Also this hole point about DARPA creating the internet is just as dishonest. First of all because nobody ever claimed government can never do anything useful, second of all the internet is what it is because of millions and billions of dollers invested in it by both governments and private companies, because of millions and billions of people putting their creativity in it.
The idea that nobody would ever had the idea of networking without the government is just insanity. We can clearly push forward the development of the internet, develop, adopt and implement new protocols today without the government. Even without government there would be some sort of system where we can discuss stuff online.
Yes. I have pointed to Law&Economics (invented by Coase for those who don't know) multiple times in this thread.
I would however also say that Hayek has more to say on the topic and that the parent comment mischaracterized Hayek's arguments.
Little triva, Coase was a student at LSE when Hayek was there in the 30s. They are two of the best and most important economists of this century, both should be studied in depth.
IBM and Intel have centralized planning on an immense scale.
It's a bit of a different situation. Giant companies can still look to prices on the market to make decisions about how to use their resources. Central economic planning, as I understand Hayek to have meant it, means getting rid of market generated prices.
But he created this false dichotomy: either GOSPLAN+ or free markets (which included government actions he didn't want to call "planning"). Government provided medical care is not equivalent to Gulag Archipelago and it can also be price sensitive.
To an extent, yes, and even nation states compete with one another for 'your business,' but at the end of the day, it requires completely uprooting your life to change governments, assuming they let you leave/ another government lets you in.
Is that just a long-winded way of stating that government can be a useful tool to interfere with price discovery, which we should only do when we are certain it's called for?
I'm pretty sure there is never a good use-case for centralized price controls. As I mentioned, the biggest problem is that it causes shortages. There are tons of historical examples of this happening in other markets (for example: rent control resulted in a shortage of affordable housing in NYC and Toronto, only making the problem worse not better, as landlords had no incentive to invest in new properties).
Having shortages of medication is a serious risk.
The need for price controls is usually caused by other problems... lack of competition/monopolies, a weak economy, lack of a proper social safety net for poor people to afford basic necessities, etc.
But my comment was hardly just about price controls. It is a critique of the default instinct people have to look to centralized control (typically regulations) to solve problems in a marketplace.
Do you mean a 'total war' situation? I highly, highly doubt there will ever be a total war again. Economic sanctions would destroy a country before that ever happens. And if it gets that serious we have thousands of ICBM to handle the job. Millions of westerns won't be dying any time soon.
But regardless that is an extreme rare example. Not what I'm talking about at all...
It can be argued that avoiding price controls in wartime would vastly improve the performance. The problem is usually that to be able to avoid it and still fight a total war, you would have to massively up the tax rate and that is usually not possible.
I don't think that this should be framed as a 'government vs markets' issue, as it's so often framed. It's possible to be anti-state and against the free market at the same time. This is by wanting to bring about the conditions for the destruction of the free market, namely so that workers are not forced to sell their labour-time in order to survive.
Hayek's solid original academic work in economics (price signals) has been absorbed and further developed in mainstream economics. Political philosophy aspects of Hayek's work (Road to Serfdom) are not anything spectacular.
"Teaching Hayek in a school" instead of basic economics would be teaching fringe ideology.
I think the idea that mainstream economics has absorbed all of Hayeks ideas is false. Yes, information economics has been further developed, but I still don't think they have everything.
Hayeks arguments from "Road to Serfdom" and later books has actually been absorbed in many arguments by political economists and political scientists as well. They are highly sophisticated works of political economy. Of course he often was not the first person to make many of the arguments. People reading the "Road to Serfdom" will quickly find that there are lots and lots of footnotes pointing to obscure Italian political economists and of course people like Hume, Smith and such.
Monopolistic oligopolies, which every Late Capitalist state has moved towards, are just another form of central planning. Real world markets, not the fictional ones of Hayek's rhetoric, devolve into ineffecient authoritarian distribution systems just like the collectivist systems he so despised.
First of all, monopolistic oligopolies is not a actual term used in economics, that's just political New Speak.
Its kind of funny, in economics we talk about how oligopolies will move prices up. So if all our 'real world markets' are 'monopolistic oligopolies' why are they not moving up? In the majority of markets and globally speaking this simply is not the case.
Medical market in the US right now is a 80 year shit-show of epic proportion on all levels of government. In the markets that are related but far less controlled like different kind of eye surgery or all kind of plastic surgery we simply don't see the same pattern, in fact, there prices are falling.
P.S:
Also the term 'Late Capitalist' sound like you not only believe that history moves in stages, but also that you know when one stage will end.
>Also the term 'Late Capitalist' sound like you not only believe that history moves in stages, but also that you know when one stage will end.
I believe history does move in stages, each stage being set mainly by the relationship of various groups to their means of sustenance, i.e the means of production. In the times of slavery, would consider the relationship of the slave to his means of sustenance and the master with his relationship. It is the same analysis we do in feudal periods with the serf and lord. And again it is the analysis we do today - what is the relationship of the proletariat to sustenance? The answer is wage labour on private property. What is the relationship of the bourgeoisie to sustenance? They are sustained by bourgeois inter-relations and trades of capital.
I don't want to repeat all the arguments that point out how bad all this stuff is. Many scholars have pointed out all the reason why this idea is wrong or incomplete.
Marx ideas were based on his limited knowledge of history that was available at his time and was in no way generalist. Marxist historians have since tried to rewrite much history to comply with these ideas, but happy they have mostly failed and historians have moved on.
The great thing about the practice of economics in the U.S. is that its just political ideology masquerading as a science. So the degree to which my language conforms to the practitioners of a pseudoscience is irrelevant.
>Its kind of funny, in economics we talk about how oligopolies will move prices up. So if all our 'real world markets' are 'monopolistic oligopolies' why are they not moving up? In the majority of markets and globally speaking this simply is not the case
Because the models themselves are fictional games, with little relation to the realities of global history or politics.
>Also the term 'Late Capitalist' sound like you not only believe that history moves in stages, but also that you know when one stage will end.
Marxists did a better job predicting the trajectory of Capitalism than any one else, so this doesn't bother me.
> So the degree to which my language conforms to the practitioners of a pseudoscience is irrelevant.
You can call things what you like as long as you admit that most prices don't go up most of the time.
> Marxists did a better job predicting the trajectory of Capitalism than any one else, so this doesn't bother me.
Sure. Like when Marx said that workers will become poorer and poorer? How about the time when he predicted socialist revolutions in capitalist countries and the only place the happened were poor farm based countries? When Marx predicted that the amount of firms would decrees but turn into monopoly, and now 200 years later we have more firms then ever before.
Marx economic works has been completely rejected by all modern economics. This was not because of some sort of hate for Marxism. He was actually quite a economics star at his time. Only once people started to pointed out the flaws in his system and he had no answer did the economics profession turn against him.
Marx's economics are the basis for almost all functioning social democracies, which score higher on just about how every quality of life indicator than the United States. Hilariously, Hayek predicted that they would devolve into serfdom, which is what is actually happening in the country that hemmed closer to his ideology. Just look at the gig economy.
The tech industry is actually a quite good example of the collapse towards monopolies. Venture Capitalists siphon up innovation created by underpaid labor using the guise of entrepreneurship, funneling ever greater wealth and control into a dwindling number of corporate giants. Small firms that do survive sell services to them. And I don't even really have to make this argument, as it is the express ideology of people like Thiel.
The failure of socialism to develop in more advanced economies is the result of a violent, rightist empire that toppled any governments that moved democratically too far in this direction. Take Chile, for example...
Marxist economics have been intentionally discredited by US institutions to serve their political ends. That much is true. But there are plenty of modern Marxists economists in European and Asian institutions. The bought and paid for US economists in their cozy corporate think tanks are not the totality of economic thought.
> Marx's economics are the basis for almost all functioning social democracies
What? That is absurd. Maybe it could be claimed that other people who were partially inspired by Marx made modern states, but that's about all.
> Hilariously, Hayek predicted that they would devolve into serfdom, which is what is actually happening in the country that hemmed closer to his ideology.
Clearly you have not actually read or understood Hayek. This often gets repeated but everybody that knows anything about Hayek understands that this is false.
> The tech industry
I'm not gone address this because its so clearly false. There is a huge industry with 100000s of firms all over the world. Also I work in a small tech company who sells to other firms of very different sizes.
> The failure of socialism to develop in more advanced economies is the result of a violent, rightist empire that toppled any governments that moved democratically too far in this direction. Take Chile, for example...
True to some extent, but also a convenient excuse. Chile for example was never Socialist, they had a Socialist president for a while, but that's all. All the places that went for into that direction destroyed themselves as well, the hole Soviet Block, Venezuela and more.
Marx btw never really defined how these systems should work. Other people did that based on what they thought Marx was saying.
> Marxist economics have been intentionally discredited by US institutions to serve their political ends.
False again. Marxist economics was already discredit wildly in Europe before US had many economists or institutions interested in economics.
> But there are plenty of modern Marxists economists in European and Asian institutions.
Again simply false. You can look at any indicators of economist opinions and you will see a huge majority of opposition everywhere in the world.
> The bought and paid for economists in their cozy corporate think tanks are not the totality of economic thought.
Again, Marx was already discredited before there really were think tanks. Eugen Böhm von Bawerk was not payed by JPMorgen, and neither were most other economist at the time.
>What? That is absurd. Maybe it could be claimed that other people who were partially inspired by Marx made modern states, but that's about all.
Go read the history of just about any left-wing politcal party in these countries, who fought for and won these social democratic concessions, and get back to me.
>Clearly you have not actually read or understood Hayek. This often gets repeated but everybody that knows anything about Hayek understands that this is false.
Chapter 17 of his "The Constitution of Liberty" is literally titled "The Decline of Socialism and the Rise of the Welfare State," and argues that the latter has replaced the former as the foremost enemy of liberty. At one point he seemed to be in favor of something like universal healthcare and basic income, but withdrew from it when he figured out that doctrinaire rightism curried more favor.
>I'm not gone address this because its so clearly false. There is a huge industry with 100000s of firms all over the world. Also I work in a small tech company who sells to other firms of very different sizes.
Let me know how many are left standing when the tech bubble pops.
>Again simply false. You can look at any indicators of economist opinions and you will see a huge majority of opposition everywhere in the world.
As you would expect living under the Pax Romana of an empire that will undo your state if you disagree with their ideology.
Yet centralized control is the hammer that everyone turns to whenever there is a problem. Instead of figuring out the root-cause and actually solving problems the default instinct of all modern state-heavy economies is always to add more layers on control. And I don't mean the 'state' but people... I see it all the time on HN and Reddit too.
A perfect example of this recently is all of the calls for price controls in pharma - prices are a great example of distributed knowledge systems. Despite the fact research points to gov-backed monopolies being the primary cause for drug price fluctuations [1], sometimes increasing prices 2000% at a time. In any other market if a company increased prices even 25-50% they would put themselves out of business because a competitor would step in to offer a better price.
This was demonstrated recently with the Epipen controversy [2]. They would never have been able to jack their prices so high if they had any competitors, and there are companies dying to compete with them, but they have been stuck in the FDA 'backlog' for years.
Plenty of other research shows that price controls results in shortages. Just like the massive food shortages that have been happening since Venezuela enacted price controls on food.
Yet the argument is being characterized as the evil selfish individualism which permeates American 'capitalism' making these pharma CEOs jack prices up.
Of course not all regulation is bad. There are many externalities that can't be controlled in the market (pollution is the perfect example). But this immediate instinct to always turn to more centralized control with blind trust, while villianizing markets, is an unhealthy obsession IMO. People act like capitalism is the shining star of American culture but as far as I can see it is continually villianized in movies and pop culture to the detriment of society. While government is held to such low standards that we only expect mediocrity from them.
For example, in response to pharma prices, how about cleaning up the existing regulatory system so the FDA doesn't have companies in the backlogs for years? Or investing more capital so they have enough people to handle the load? Or are we just so used to inefficient government that we just expect them to not do their jobs well? But no, clearly the solution is to give them even more work to set prices for thousands of drugs.
I'm all for Hayek being taught in schools, maybe people would hold both markets to higher esteem and governments to higher standards. So we get better policy and new policy only when centralized control actually makes the most sense.
/rant
[1] http://khn.org/news/government-protected-monopolies-drive-dr...
[2] http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/08/29/reverse-voxsplaining-dr...