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Nice theory but acute medical emergencies are often stochastic. Let me know if you get to the point where you can predict a pulmonary embolism in members of the general public with enough accuracy to dispatch an ambulance.

Preventable conditions are often a combination of genes plus environment plus luck. Trouble is, the "luck" part dominates more often than we'd like. This is why preventive medicine is often accused of being tremendously arrogant.

We've got a long ways to go, and it would help to focus on the highest marginal benefit items. (We were supposed to have flying cars, and all I got was the sum total of Hunan knowledge on my phone... not a bad trade, on balance)



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