The list of companies that thought they could co-opt the Android runtime and compete with Google all have one thing in common - failure. Blackberry's system has always been plagued with compatibility and performance issues.
>The real reason why Windows Phone with Astoria would fail, is that the platform only provides marginal benefits for most consumers (if any). Add to that uncertainty created by exceptionally bad management (two OS rebases in just a few years) and you have a dying platform.
It's already a dead platform. They simply cut their losses and pressed the eject button because they suddenly realized their implementation would have been fraught with endless problems. So they decided to go with Project Islandwood to make the process of porting iOS apps to Windows Phone easier. Unfortunately, this too has been a failure as no iOS developer is going to waste their time porting to a platform with a market share that is hovering at about 0.05% and gradually declining by the quarter.
>That said, I think the real danger for Android comes from within: Chinese OEMs providing Android without Google Play Services and/or Samsung being so powerful that it could fork Android.
I really think you underestimate the power of the Google ecosystem and Play services. Selling an Android phone outside of China without Google Play Services is just a recipe for failure.
>The real reason why Windows Phone with Astoria would fail, is that the platform only provides marginal benefits for most consumers (if any). Add to that uncertainty created by exceptionally bad management (two OS rebases in just a few years) and you have a dying platform.
It's already a dead platform. They simply cut their losses and pressed the eject button because they suddenly realized their implementation would have been fraught with endless problems. So they decided to go with Project Islandwood to make the process of porting iOS apps to Windows Phone easier. Unfortunately, this too has been a failure as no iOS developer is going to waste their time porting to a platform with a market share that is hovering at about 0.05% and gradually declining by the quarter.
>That said, I think the real danger for Android comes from within: Chinese OEMs providing Android without Google Play Services and/or Samsung being so powerful that it could fork Android.
I really think you underestimate the power of the Google ecosystem and Play services. Selling an Android phone outside of China without Google Play Services is just a recipe for failure.