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The problem with taking the aggregate view is exactly what you run into - you get awkward, inconsistent world views.

Most of the LessWrong style AI-safety people would probably heavily disagree with what you wrote, because you imply that AI-safety is a topic that matters now because "this time it's different". On the contrary, I think most people would say AI is still quite a ways out, as in a few decades, and that the arguments about it don't necessarily depend on the current state of AI. The state we're in is certainly seen as a warning sign, but not proof that we're a few years away from true AI.




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