The theory is that special expensive equipment could possibly do such a recovery -- so the 3-day time limit, and measly $40 prize, isn't really responsive to the question.
Further, if you were an agency with the budget and equipment to do this, would you want the world to know?
They aren't testing what they're trying to test, and even a 100x reward and 10-year time limit wouldn't prove the negative, "that recovering data from a zeroed hard drive is impossible".
A seminal paper on the possibility -- but not the reality -- of such specialized recovery is Peter Gutmann's 1996 "Secure Deletion of Data from Magnetic and Solid-State Memory" [ http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/%7Epgut001/pubs/secure_del.html ].
Guttman notes in an undated epilogue, however, that advances in data density and recording techniques since 1996 make any recovery from modern devices "unlikely". Still, the "Great Zero Challenge" provides very little in the form of real evidence about these questions.
The well-repected German magazine c't did the test a couple of years ago. They contacted three data recovery firms, and none could recover a drive that had been dd-ed with zeros once.
That's a tricky one, as flash drives have special logic built in to avoid repeatedly overwriting the same block to prevent deterioration. On the other hand, bypassing that logic in order to read out the data in the extra blocks is not possible in software, (unless there's a backdoor) and I don't know if the logic sits on the controller chip or the actual flash chip. If it's the latter, it'll be pretty damn hard to get to.
Interesting. I've read the whole spiel about data being recoverable after being overwriteen many times and from many sources. I've always wondered whether it was true. I mean, I know about hysteresis loops, but given the size of the storage cells on a hard disk these days, it seemed really unlikely that they're not fully magnetised. If data recovery companies aren't going to even try, then I guess that pretty much confirms it's a myth.
I'd be intrigued whether it's possible to recover data on hard disks from 10, 15 years ago which have been treated this way. Back then, the magnetic cells were much, much bigger. What about floppies? I'm guessing the myth must have originated somewhere - although ignorance is a reasonable possibility I suppose.
I don't think anyone claims it's possible to read said data using standard drive firmware, so comparing it to uninitialised memory isn't the whole story. I always figured the theory was that if the cell was magnetised twice, you could tell from the magnitude of the resulting field not only its current magnetisation but also its history. I can see how that might be possible based on magnetic properties of real materials. ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hysteresis_loop#Magnetic_hyster... ) However, you'd have to take an analog reading, not a binary one. The idea here being that N, then S magnetisation ought to yield a weaker S magnetisation than S, S.
Strong enough magnetisation will erase that history though, and presumably make the current data more long-lived and random bit-flips rarer. I'm just wondering if the tech used back in the days wasn't sophisticated to magnetise cells strongly enough. (without affecting neighbouring cells)
Yes, I probably am thinking about this too much. I guess that serves me right for doing a physics degree at university. :)
You may not write any data to the drive or disassemble it . . . .
The Gutmann paper referenced elsewhere in the thread concludes that overwriting the drive (something like 34 times IIRC) with zeroes is important because a dedicated analyst can measure the residual magnetism of each sector of the drive to infer the most recent "long term" binary values. Not allowing the drive to be opened makes this type of analysis kind of difficult.
It may be possible to retreive the data without openning a drive. I can think of two methods for achieving this objective. Firstly, I've seen reference to SCSI commands to retrieve "unbaked" sectors from CDROMs. Support for this functionality varies but it may be possible that some harddisks have undocumented functionality. You may wish to check the widespread implementation of DRM in harddisks for circumstantial evidence of such functionality. Alternatively, it may be possible to replace harddisk firmware which allows retrieval of magnetic traces. Again, I've seen reference to "low-level formatting" which wipes harddisk firmware. If the firmware is accessible in this manner then retreival is possible for almost all harddisks without openning them. It would also demonstrate that data recovery services are doing a shoddy job of imaging disks, running some standard recovery tools, and maybe performing some sector edits.
This test raises the bar because you have three days and writing to the disk is not allowed. That would leave you with three days to reverse engineer the existing firmware.
Further, if you were an agency with the budget and equipment to do this, would you want the world to know?
They aren't testing what they're trying to test, and even a 100x reward and 10-year time limit wouldn't prove the negative, "that recovering data from a zeroed hard drive is impossible".
A seminal paper on the possibility -- but not the reality -- of such specialized recovery is Peter Gutmann's 1996 "Secure Deletion of Data from Magnetic and Solid-State Memory" [ http://www.cs.auckland.ac.nz/%7Epgut001/pubs/secure_del.html ].
Guttman notes in an undated epilogue, however, that advances in data density and recording techniques since 1996 make any recovery from modern devices "unlikely". Still, the "Great Zero Challenge" provides very little in the form of real evidence about these questions.