I said originally that luck is just the set of things you don't know about. By definition, it thusly can't be an "encompassing reason" (implied singular) - it's a name that refers to a collection of reasons (a subset of all possible reasons).
The discussions of confidence mindset and one's control over "success" are orthogonal, but I'm happy to discuss them.
Of course it can be an encompassing reason if that is the one that is to find in every case. Grit isn't, some are successful without grit, confidence isn't either some are successful while not confident.
But luck, luck you find in every single case.
The reason of success is luck luck in chance encounters which then leads to unpredictable outcomes amongst others success.
Sounds like a post-hoc fallacy to me. Or maybe a "just so story". You can always unwind somebody's story and find some point in the story where something happened that they could not necessarily have predicted, and cry "see, this person only succeeded because of luck". But we can't evaluate all the branches in the tree of outcomes that didn't happen exactly because they didn't happen.
If you believe that people, to some extent "make their own luck" via their choices and actions, then you could just as easily speculate that if "lucky event A" didn't happen, then something else "lucky" would have happened anyway.
You don't like the idea that luck could be the actual all embedding factor of success.
"If you believe that people, to some extent "make their own luck" via their choices and actions, then you could just as easily speculate that if "lucky event A" didn't happen, then something else "lucky" would have happened anyway."
No you can't speculate that at all. But I would like to see you try.
You are just trying to insist that there is this path to success that can be taken without luck being involved which just isn't the case.
The question that was asked is whether grit is the one factor to become successful.
It's not, it can't be because if it was everyone who had grit would be successful they are not and so something else is needed. That thing is luck. Whether lucky that you were born with better of parents, higher IQ, extreme talent, went to the right school, meet the right people at the right time, have the right idea at the right time and so on.
Grit is only there to make you stay in the game long enough that you might end up being successful but it can never be the all encompassing factor that explains it all. Only luck can.
I really don't know what you're talking about. You're putting words in my mouth that I never said, and/or apparently intentionally misinterpreting my words. So with all due respect, I'm going to just drop out of this "discussion".
And again many people have confidence that doesn't mean they all have success.
Keep in mind this article was trying to find the most encompassing reason for success.
There is none as encompassing as luck. All the others are a subset.