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To extend your point. The jobs that are easily programmable like farming, and warehousing are easily replaceable. Some tasks may even require using humans and robots together like construction or search and rescue.

Some things are indeed not replaceable by robots and I think "most" professions* may not be able to be replaced by robots. These could be things like professional chefs (not fast food), programmers, and masseuse.

*By professions I mean the raw number of unique jobs not the number of people who work in those positions.

That being said in the U.S. with the "College Driven" economy I doubt it will ever affect 95% of the population at once. Generally professions will disappear one by one, but those people can retrain and if they don't it won't matter as the next generation will obviously not train to fill positions that don't exist (that's not logical). Eventually the new generations train to fill different job positions.




That's far from guaranteed, and looks less likely all the time. See, the "Luddite Fallacy Fallacy." Gwern gives it a nice treatment here: http://www.gwern.net/Mistakes?cx=009114923999563836576%3Adv0...




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