How long until the default way of putting video online is using the <video> tag and a snippet of JS to fall it back to a flash-player for non-HTML5 browsers?
I'd guess that the iPad moved that date up quite a bit. And suddenly Flash-plug-in risks going the way of the Shockwave-plug-in: nice to have, but not really missed. And sites that depends on Flash for stupid eye-candy will see the drop in compatibility, and switch to stupid jQuery eye-candy.
My point is that web games is all that Shockwave did when it died/was retired by flash. Flash got its initial traction by spicing up the pretty static web (that role is largely replaced by jQuery (and similar)) but it's complete indispensability came with video.
Actually that's a good point. JS+Canvas will get there at some point soon. Especially with HMTL5 web workers. Check out an example of a WebGL Game (not HMTL5).
I'd guess that the iPad moved that date up quite a bit. And suddenly Flash-plug-in risks going the way of the Shockwave-plug-in: nice to have, but not really missed. And sites that depends on Flash for stupid eye-candy will see the drop in compatibility, and switch to stupid jQuery eye-candy.