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"Now the only reason why I won't post this as an arxiv note, is that the humans actually beat gpt-5 to the punch :-). Namely the arxiv paper has a v2 arxiv.org/pdf/2503.10138v2 with an additional author and they closed the gap completely, showing that 1.75/L is the tight bound."

I really don't know what to make of this. The conclusion is that a model could still do this without the paper containing the exact info on how to do this ?


Technically yes because it's a different proof. See here: https://x.com/ErnestRyu/status/1958408925864403068?t=dAKXWtt...

But I can complain about what happens to said something. If my blog photo becomes deep fake porn am I allowed to complain or not ? What we have is an entirely novel situation (with ai) worth at least a serious discussion.


FWIW...I really don't think so. If you say, posted your photo on a bulletin board in your local City Hall, can you prevent it from being defaced? Can you choose who gets to look at it? Maybe they take a picture of it and trace it...do you have any legal ground there? (Genuine Question). And even if so...It's illegal to draw angry eyebrows on every face on a billboard but people still do it...

IMO, it being posted online to a publicly accessible site is the same. Don't post anything you don't want right-click-saved.


GDPR right to erasure says I can demand my personal data to be deleted, and I don't see any language limiting that to things _I_ submitted.


No. Don't give the entire world access to your photo. Creating fakes using photoshop was a thing well before AI.


> If my blog photo becomes deep fake porn

Depends. In most cases, this thing is forbidden by law and you can claim actual damages.


That's helpful if they live in the same country, can figure out who the 4chan poster was, the police are interested (or you want to risk paying a lawyer), you're willing to sink the time pursuing such action (and if criminal, risk adversarial LEO interaction), and are satisfied knowing hundreds of others may be doing the same and won't be deterred. Of course, friends and co-workers are too close to you to post publicly when they generate it. Thankfully, the Taylor Swift laws in the US have stopped generation of nonconsensual imagery and video of its namesake (it hasn't).

Daughter's school posted pictures of her online without an opt-out, but she's also on Facebook from family members and it's just kind of... well beyond the point of trying to suppress. Probably just best to accept people can imagine you naked, at any age, doing any thing. What's your neighbor doing with the images saved from his Ring camera pointed at the sidewalk? :shrug:


I am not talking about 4chan poster. I am talking if a company does it.


Don't have a blog photo in the first place.


> But I can complain about what happens to said something

no.

> but ...

no.


> a calculator to check her math homework

Change 'check' to 'do' and we'll have a discussion.


> Sure, there will be growing pains, friction, etc. Who cares?

That's right. Who cares about pains of others and why they even should are absolutely words to live by.


Yeah, with this mentality, we wouldn't have electricity today. You will never make transition to new technology painless, no matter what you do. (See: https://pessimistsarchive.org)

What you are likely doing, though, is making many more future humans pay a cost in suffering. Every day we delay longevity escape velocity is another 150k people dead.


There was a time when in the name of progress people were killed for whatever resources they possessed, others were enslaved etc. and I was under the impression that the measure of our civilization is that we actually DID care and just how much. It seems to me that you are very eager to put up altars of sacrifice without even thinking that the problems you probably have in mind are perfectly solvable without them.


By far the greatest issue facing humanity today is wealth inequality.


Nah, it's death. People objectively are doing better than ever despite wealth inequality. By all metrics - poverty, quality of life, homelessness, wealth, purchasing power.

I'd rather just... not die. Not unless I want to. Same for my loved ones. That's far more important than "wealth inequality."


You don't mind living in a country with a population of billions [sic], piled on top of one another? You don't mind living a country ruled by gerontocracy and probably autocracy, because that's what you'll eventually get without death to flush them out.

Senescence is an adaptation.


"You/your loved ones should die because Elon would die too" is a terrible argument. It's not great, but it's not worth dying over. New rich bad people would take his place anyways.

"You should die because cities will get crowded" is a less terrible argument but still a bad one. We have room for at least double our population on this planet, couples choosing longevity can be required to have <=1 children until there is room for more, we will eventually colonize other planets, etc.

All this is implying that consciousness will continue to take up a meaningful amount of physical space. Not dying in the long term implies gradual replacement and transfer to a virtual medium at some point.


> People objectively are doing better than ever despite wealth inequality. By all metrics - poverty, quality of life, homelessness, wealth, purchasing power.

If you take this as an axiom, it will always be true ;).


One of the biggest factors in risk of death right now is poverty. Also what is being chased right now is "human level on most economically viable tasks" because the automated research for solving physics etc. even now seems far-fetched.


Apparently the biggest mistake they made is to criticize Trump for Jan 6. It's ok, they apologized for that.


So it's bs but for money and therefore totally fine ? I think it's not ok if only a fraction comes true because some people believe in those things and act on those beliefs right now.


I didn't say it was bs. I was alluding to the timing of this essay being published but, clearly, I didn't articulate it in my message well. I also don't think everything he says is bs. Some of it I find a bit naive -- but maybe that's ok -- some other things seem a bit like sci-fi, but who are we to say this is impossible? I'm optimistic but also learnt in life that things improve, sometimes drastically given the right ingredients.


Well I don't know. A bit naive, a bit like sci-fi and aimed at raising money fits my description of bs quite well.



> Yet in the face of this we still see a population of naysayers who appear intent on rubbishing LLMs at any cost.

What was the cost in this case ? It's just an experiment and I think your reaction is way too emotional for some reason.


It's not emotional: it's bored. This is boring me and therefore I'm becoming irritated with it.


Those certainly were the catchy headlines. Here's an interesting article:

https://news.mit.edu/2024/study-reveals-why-ai-analyzed-medi...

“We found that even state-of-the-art models which are optimally performant in data similar to their training sets are not optimal — that is, they do not make the best trade-off between overall and subgroup performance — in novel settings,” Ghassemi says. “Unfortunately, this is actually how a model is likely to be deployed. Most models are trained and validated with data from one hospital, or one source, and then deployed widely.”


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