If this was a good answer to mobility, people would prefer the bus over their car. It’s non-deterministic - when will it come? How quick will i get there? Will i get to sit? And it’s operated by an intelligent agent (driver).
Every reason people prefer a car or bike over the bus is a reason non-deterministic agents are a bad interface.
And that analogy works as a glimpse into the future - we’re looking at a fast approaching world where LLMs are the interface to everything for most of us - except for the wealthy, who have access to more deterministic services or actual human agents. How long before the rich person car rental service is the only one with staff at the desk, and the cheaper options are all LLM based agents? Poor people ride the bus, rich people get to drive.
Non-zero describes the chance of everything, sure. Infinite improbability drive and all that. But the chance of climate collapse causing social collapse is pretty much just a function of how bad we let it get measured in degrees C.
I think he’s probably right, but to be clear there are billions of deaths that fit into his prediction. Humans living and thriving does not preclude a massive drop in population.
It is very hard to gauge what he actually believes will happen based on these words
to be clear there are billions of deaths that fit into his prediction.
That's not clear at all. Claiming 25%+ of the world will die is the kind of hyperbolic doomsday claim the Gates is trying to move away from because it distracts from sane climate mitigation strategies.
The plague did wonders for us, didnt it? Of course dead people arent livivng or thriving, but if they leave behind a world that has more job opportunities, housing opportunities, cleaner environments, quality food for less....
There have been historical cases made that the plague was a driver of a series of follow on events that upended the previous order - so people like Gates sitting at the top of the current world order might not want to be so blase about the effects of climate change
The ad ran last week, but the Reagan library tweeted the full video of Reagan's speech yesterday. Trump saw that, and then shortly after posted on Truth Social that the ad used fake video, which intended to influence the Supreme Court and the other courts against Trump on tariffs, and cancelled negotiations.
Rational argument: the government has lied innumerable times. The reason we know about a handful of them is journalism. If you want your spin straight from the tap, you can read press releases on the DoD website. If you want critical analysis, verification, and other perspectives you’re gonna need a healthy fifth estate. Journalists have biases, but so do governments.
The media is called the fourth estate (not 5th). A 5th column would be more like sleeper cells.
And the media lies at least as much as our government. That's why ratings are so far down. They have burned their credibility that previous generations of journalists spent decades building up.
Ah, you’re half right. The fourth estate is what I meant to refer to. The fifth estate means outsider media, not sleeper cells - idk where you’re getting that.
As for “the media lies”, sure, and if a person is speaking lies will be said - but that is hardly a fact that can be used to dismiss all journalism.
That is only part of the story, not the full story, where journalists and CIA analysts get together and determine the truth. you've seen the video Snowden posted about this? It is a known reality. Why hide it behind the facade of a free press? There are many dimensions to this story, including Zionist bias by mainstream "journalists" that told you there was no genocide and Israel is a victim, and they've kept up that lie even after the UN declared it a genocide.
Here in SE Asia (in my country at least) you're lucky if they even offer you SMS 2FA (and even then, only for cash withdrawal from ATMs), because otherwise its just using PIN or biometrics without any kind of second factor auth.
That… seems reasonable? My bank does that with their website and their mobile app. I was able to setup 2fa using a totp app, so i don’t rely on sms for that part
It is given the environment. But it does highlight the poor security of desktop browsers where they are only trusted to do anything when a phone app approves it. While the phone app is considered secure enough to just stay logged in perpetually without any external confirmation.
To hack the banks app you have to find an exploit in iOS or Android which would allow you to read the other apps private storage, which is borderline impossible now. To hack the banks website you just have to buy some random browser extension and add malware to it, or break into someones NPM account and distribute it there, or any number of ways to run code on someone else's computer. Something very achievable by an individual.
> But it does highlight the poor security of desktop browsers where they are only trusted to do anything when a phone app approves it.
Does it? The browser doesn't do anything, the person sitting at the computer where the browser is running is what performs the actions. The reauthentication and 2fa is meant to authenticate and authorize the user, not the browser.
The attack vector of someone else using your phone using an app that doesn't require (re)authentication is independent of the browser or the app itself being trusted. That your bank doesn't periodically require some kind of re-authentication for their app is a security hole, but because the device could fall into the wrong hands, not because the code/app/browser used to access it isn't trusted.
That is true. I guess one of the main differences is the bank app can run a faceid check when you open the app and before you make a transaction while websites don't have access to these apis. So they are forced to make you approve the action via your phone.
Every banking phone app I've used auto-logouts after being idle or unused for a bit, and my primary bank's app requires 2fa using an app that exists on the same device -- a second factor that secures nothing. They probably are not explicitly considering the phone more secure than a computer, but rather a good 80% of this is security theater or a checkbox on some baseline security checklist that was implemented without really understanding what the implications, for usability and security, were going to be.
> 2fa using an app that exists on the same device -- a second factor that secures nothing
2FA on the same device secures against your login credentials becoming known to another party, e.g. by fishing, password reuse, database leaks, etc., which are real threats. It is not meant to protect against someone being in possession or full control of your unlocked device, which is of course also a real threat, though possibly less common.
> 2fa using an app that exists on the same device -- a second factor that secures nothing
If I steal your device, and you didn’t have faceid, I have both factors. But if I steal your password, or find it in a leak of another site because like most people you re-use passwords, then I only have one factor. It still provides a fair bit of security because of that.
It’s been a while since i mucked around with browser extensions, but i assume they don’t have network access by default. Surely there is an extension with page read access and without network access, no?
I don’t think that’s an accurate description of browser extensions. Content scripts work that way, and many browser extensions include content scripts… but not all browser extensions use content scripts.
Anyway, a quick readthru of the code of the extension i linked shows it does use content scripts, but also it doesn’t do any network access.
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