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Bytedance/TikTok are ignoring US law, as we saw in the news last week.


>ignoring US law,

They didn't. The entire Project Texas / Oracle / CFIUS agreement is in process of implementation. The drama is over China-based staff accessing data while working on Project Texas (to silo US data/traffic), even though Chinese nationals were not on the United States Technical Services team. The ultimate concern is China-based staff will have access to protected US data/traffic after and the effectiveness of implementation. No laws were broken, but doubt whether Bytedance efforts would effectively prevent access. No laws were broken.


The CCP at a minimum abets the shipment of fentanyl to the US. It aggressively collects personal information on every US citizen and resident. It relentlessly steals private and corporate intellectual property from the West and provides it to its own state-owned enterprises.

If you’re a citizen of the US or Europe, the Chinese government is most definitely your enemy.


Isn't all of that true for the us government in one way or another? Except maybe the drug trafficking, which is a bit farther back in us history


Huh? The EU’s GDP and population are significantly greater than the US.



And yet Europe is more or less dependent on the US for defense. That’s probably the bigger lever.


I really wanted to like FreeCAD, but I’d say out of the five or so times I’ve attempted to use it, it crashed and lost my design four times. I picked up Fusion360 instead, then OnShape, and never looked back.


“companies like Amazon and Tesla that have a net positive effect on society”

Citation needed.


My claim is that if these companies weren't useful than they wouldn't exist. People hate Bezos but they spend their money at Amazon. Methinks they doth protest too much!


Amazon is immensely useful, but perhaps they are no longer a net positive to society. The goods and services they provide are certainly useful. But their status as a monopoly prevents a flourishing, competitive market that could address their failings. Amazon as a product is arguably poorer in quality than it used to be: just look at the state of their spammed-out reviews, scam products sold on their platform, etc. Their logistics offerings (built on poor working conditions) and AWS have certainly improved compared to the past. But other aspects have fallen short.

Maybe we shouldn't speak of companies as being "net positive" or "net negative", but rather speak of what could be improved if there was more competition, more companies, more market. Less monopolies.


So what if their product is arguably poorer in quality than it used to be, so what if there are spammed-out reviews or whatever? You're not showing that any of their competitors are better in the eyes of most consumers, and they definitely have competitors, very large ones in fact (eg Walmart, AliExpress, eBay).

If you think Amazon is unfairly using their monopoly to keep others out and capture the market, state your claim. If you think competitors could do better, prove it with consumer choice.

Walmart or Shopify or eBay or wherever you want to shop are just a click away. If consumers think they can do better, then they will. I have already ditched Amazon for all those reasons. But you cannot speak for others.


Consumer choice is binary, but it's not always tied to quality. There are factors like information asymmetry. Superior competitors may not be able to get a word in edgewise when the dominant player is able to blanket the airwaves with its brand. A disproportionately dominant position becomes a kind of monopoly of its own when its reach and resources are so much greater than the next set of competitors.

The competitors you list also aren't head-on in competition with Amazon. Aliexpress predominantly serves non-American markets. eBay, like it, is an auction site. Shopify does not have one central market, it's completely decentralized. Walmart is the most similar to Amazon, and perhaps with its acquisition of Jet.com and its growing investments in ecommerce, it may yet prove to be a lasting competitor. Stay tuned.


No it's not always tied to quality, it's just tied to what they want. If consumers don't prioritize quality, that's their rightful choice in the market, it's no one else's place to tell them what they should prioritize.

Greater reach and resources is part & parcel of being the top consumer choice. If they blanket the airwaves, if there is some asymmetry, still who cares? You're going to have to show how consumers do not have a choice or how it doesn't help consumers.

Because regardless of how intense Amazon's marketing and reach get, their competitors are still one click away. Finding out about competitors is one search query away, one media article away, or one advertisement away. Frankly, if a consumer is unable to expend the minimal effort to find & choose an Amazon competitor to buy a product, they're basically not trying at all. And not trying is their choice.


Consumers don't have a choice if there is information asymmetry and they are unaware of better offerings. And as I have illustrated, there is no single "Amazon competitor" as they are all online retailers in different spaces. Even Walmart's e-commerce initiatives are relatively new. A cursory search of competitors yields this list (https://www.shopify.com/blog/amazon-competitors) which has eBay (auction house, not in same class), Walmart (relatively new entrant to online space), Flipkart (India), Target (brick-and-mortar, smaller footprint than Walmart), Alibaba (China and APAC), Otto (Europe), JD (China), Netflix (only a competitor in streaming), and Rakuten (Japan and APAC).

As far as anti-competitive behavior, I will defer to luminaries more informed than I

https://www.yalelawjournal.org/note/amazons-antitrust-parado...

https://www.natlawreview.com/article/amazon-wins-ruling-resu...


Yes they do have a choice. Information asymmetry does not remove choice, it's just an asymmetry. Are you really telling me you don't have a choice to shop beyond Amazon? Consumers can't know enough to find other ways to shop besides Amazon? Do you know a single person who thinks Amazon is the only possible shopping option, either online or in-person?

It doesn't matter if there isn't a direct Amazon competitor. All large companies compete on multiple fronts. It does not mean there is no competition in shopping.

I don't respond to essay dumps like this. If you want to say something, you're going to have to say it or quote it.


Most people do consider Amazon as the default and online shopping retailer for general goods, as opposed to specialized needs such as secondhand products (eBay, Craigslist, Facebook Marketplace) or specialized products (Wayfair for furniture, boutique retailers).

If you refuse to engage further in this conversation, that is your prerogative and it is noted. We can consider this matter closed.


Ok, a lot of people see them as the default retailer, but they still have a choice where to shop. They can and do still shop elsewhere. A default perception does not remove their choice. Still not a single example where consumers actually lack a choice.

Essay dumping is not conversation. Although it is also your prerogative to avoid conversation as well.


https://www.latimes.com/business/technology/story/2021-05-25...

> If Amazon detected lower prices on other sites, it would bury their products in Amazon search results, where they got most of their sales. Some of the merchants were eager to grow their sales on other sites, but Amazon’s policies prevented them from offering lower prices elsewhere to draw shoppers away.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-05/amazon-is...

> Amazon constantly scans rivals’ prices to see if they’re lower. When it discovers a product is cheaper on, say, Walmart.com, Amazon alerts the company selling the item and then makes the product harder to find and buy on its own marketplace -- effectively penalizing the merchant. In many cases, the merchant opts to raise the price on the rival site rather than risk losing sales on Amazon.

> Merchants have long complained that Amazon wields outsize influence over their businesses. Besides paying higher fees, many now have to buy advertising to stand out on the increasingly cluttered site. Some report giving Amazon 40% or more of each transaction, up from 20% a few years ago.

> Some merchants are keen to increase their sales on Walmart, which charges less to sell products on its marketplace. But sellers say the price alerts are forcing them to maintain allegiance to Amazon and making it harder to diversify their businesses. Walmart routinely fields requests from merchants to raise prices on its marketplace because they worry a lower price on Walmart will jeopardize their sales on Amazon, says a Walmart manager, who requested anonymity to speak freely about an internal matter.


That's a stretch, Amazon's policies are entirely optional, you don't have to sell on Amazon. It was the seller's self-interested choice to prioritize Amazon placement because consumers love Amazon.

The fact is that consumers continually choose to entrust Amazon the power to pick on their behalf, making it their consumer choice. If sellers leave, consumers often choose Amazon over the seller. Amazon can only "bury" merchants in their search results because consumers continue to be satisfied with what Amazon finds for them. If consumers found Amazon's search results lacking, they can find the missing sellers on other websites. Practically every consumer knows how to buy things online outside of Amazon, a lot of them do it all the time.

Personally, I choose to buy many better and cheaper things outside Amazon. I do not choose Amazon to find any of my stuff. That choice has always been extremely easily available to any consumer, but they don't choose it. Consumers aren't being denied a choice, they have chosen: they chose Amazon's higher fee marketplace.


Be that as it may, it's best to table this conversation until there is more clarity from the DOJ. Without empirical findings, this is just value judgment after value judgment. Let the courts decide. Since that article from last year, Congress has even sought an additional probe for Amazon allegedly obstructing investigations.

https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/9/22968927/congress-justice-...


everyone is award apple brand cables are good quality compared to 4 dollar cables on amazon


There were a lot many years from the time of Amazon's inception till they became a monopoly. It seems like your "what could be" experiment has already been done. There was plenty of opportunity, but nobody managed to build a better competitor to them.

It is a separate argument, but 'more competition' isn't a magical fix to everything. This sort of gating mechanism relies on the end user/consumer having good knowledge, sound judgement, etc. Also what is best for the consumer isn't best for the society. A wild example - For me, as the consumer I'm happy to get an iPhone for $200, but that might mean that Apple pays their employees below US minimum wage.


People spend money on Amazon because it is convenient? However, I don't consider it to be net positive in current society. In many countries like India, many mom & pop stores are closed due to Amazon. They are destroyed thousands of business. Amazon is funneling money into its company which would have been distributed to multiple people. Seeing this drastic implications even CCP tried to clamp services like Amazon, Alibaba in China so they won't be too powerful.

So, I think you need to prove how Amazon is net positive in society?


You could argue the same for the likes of Philip Morris or the Sackler families business. Just that people are very willing to buy a product doesn’t imply that it’s good. So I wouldn’t raise the fact that folks buying Amazon or Tesla products as a pointer that their products are any good perse.


I think so. Cigarettes are enjoyable and Oxycodone is on the World Health Organization's Essential Medicine list.[1] You can also drive your Tesla off a cliff, or attack someone with a knife you bought from Amazon. The possibility of risky behavior doesn't necessarily make a thing useless.

In the interest of full disclosure I enjoy the occasional cigar.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxycodone


For me, I am convinced that they create jobs, spend money in the economy, help provide valuable goods and services to society, etc. Amazon is famous for not hoarding money but re-investing their profits. Most 401ks invest in index funds that are buoyed by the tech stocks. I don't have ready citations but I believe these to be relatively uncontroversial statements. This whole talk about "net positive" and what is "net" is a pointless discussion that is going nowhere. There is no way to prove anything unless we have an alternative universe without Amazon to study.

What sort of citation will make you happy?


States provide the infrastructure and educate the workforce which enables the job creations. Jobs would be created without the rich. See responses sibling post (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31743755) about the issue with 401(k) (or pension funds in non-USA countries).

This is indeed a very controversial statement because the rich are living a lifestyle which is at best unsustainable for the planet. They emit more greenhouse gas into the atmosphere for their own lavish lifestyles. They exploit poor labor conditions and lobby against every minor improvement. They don’t contribute to our shared funds like regular people, decreasing the state’s funds for more infrastructure which would have created more jobs. And they cause stress with their increased wealth disparity. Many research has shown perceived inequality is a significant stress producer. We may very well be bettor off without them.


>States provide the infrastructure and educate the workforce which enables the job creations.

Yes, there is a nice division of responsibilities. But ultimately, governments are doing the jobs they get paid for. And they're not only wasteful with our money (spending on wars, defense, etc), ironically (in a sad way) they pay government workers poorly - See teachers' salaries.

>Jobs would be created without the rich.

Jobs were created at all stages in history in all kinds of social and economic conditions. Also, plenty of rich people got rich after starting companies and creating jobs. We're incentivizing people who like money to create jobs, among other things.

>See responses sibling post (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31743755) about the issue with 401(k) (or pension funds in non-USA countries).

Those are not responses to my comment, so specifically what part of my comment was inaccurate? I can correct any misunderstandings, or improve my comment to fix any errors on my part.


I do love that we have viable electric cars and that I can order something on amazon and have it at my door in 2 days. Seriously, try living in a developing country and have ANYTHING delivered...


My severance don’t jiggle-jiggle, it folds.

Converted it to fiat, you really oughtta see it.


I never read "Lean In," but one of my favorite blog posts of all time[1] did a truly epic takedown of it, exposing it as a thinly-veiled manifesto for white-collar women to become miserable underpaid status-chasing workaholics.

[1] https://thelastpsychiatrist.com/2013/03/dont_hate_her_becaus...


You don't really need an epic takedown of it to notice it's not how she herself got there. Which is, basically, make friends with famous people (Larry Summers) so they give you unreasonably high profile entry-level jobs.


If the general HN consensus is to be believed, Professional Engineers and Software Engineers Who Write Bare-Metal Code are the only people who have ever attained success commensurate with their effort. Everyone else seems to have had disproportionate advantage - Elon Musk was given too much by his dad, Sheryl Sandberg made friends outside her lane, presumably Steve Jobs parasitized Woz.

Curious distribution. At the bottom are the losers, at the top the cheaters. In the middle are those whose brilliance is undetected by bean counting MBAs who presumably also support open offices, NFTs, and Apple CSAM scanning.


Didn't mean to say that was bad, it worked for her. I said she didn't write a book about how to do it.

Also worked for at least one president of YC.


Spot on


The same Larry Summers who famously ruled for Zuckerberg against the Winklevoss twins.


Certainly a large part of her success but the reason she got given those jobs is because of the impression she made, of being a hard working, smart workaholic. Then she continued to be a hard working, smart workaholic. Goal driven people like that tend to do quite well. Not at her level, but she’s unusually smart and unusually workaholic.


God I miss that guy. Hope he is doing ok wherever he is


His book is out. Scott Alexander did a review: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-sadly-porn...


Same here. I was never sure if it was a man or woman, I don't think they ever specified (I could be wrong). But they were always fairly upfront about their problems with alcohol. For a while I wondered if it was an alter ego of Scott Alexander.


Facts are the foundation that such writing is built upon. If a piece of historical analysis contains a number of basic factual errors, that foundation is shaky at best. How can you or anyone go on to claim that the conclusion of the piece has any value at all, given that?


What is "a number"? What is the threshold at which it becomes appropriate to distrust the entire work?

Most of the critique from the right seems to start with the point of view that the 1619 Project should be distrusted and works backwards from there, rather than determining its trustworthiness based on a good-faith reading of the work itself.


When I did my thesis, the attitude was a factual error of significant magnitude brought the whole thesis into question.


What field was your thesis in? Would your committee have considered the entire contents to be propaganda?


Says you?

Historians should seek to make their writing based on as firm of factual footing as possible and make it clear when they are making an inference due to limitations of the archive. But historians constantly work with material that has factual errors and they do not tend to consider this to be a death sentence for a particular work.

I find that a huge number of people have very strong opinions about how historians work and have never actually spoken to one.

The large bulk of historians I speak to, whether tenured or tenure track or at various different institutions, do not arrive at the same conclusion that you do.

EDIT: We've hit the depth limit but I do not believe that I am more qualified here. I believe that professional historians are and that people should go speak to a bunch of them before developing very strong opinions about historical writing. I do not believe that this is a clubby toxic attitude but instead is valuing expertise and experience.


Excuse me, but there's an enormous difference between working with erroneous source material, and making factual errors when the correct data are already and widely available.

And, I reject your repeated assertions that because you have historian friends, you are somehow more qualified to speak on the topic than one who does not. That type of clubby gatekeeping is frankly toxic to society and you should abandon that sort of thinking immediately.


I do not believe that it is toxic gatekeeping to suggest that the people who are most qualified to have opinions about historical writing are history professors.


Please be kinder to yourself. You need to be your own strongest advocate, and that's not incompatible with being humble. You have plenty to contribute to this world, and the vast majority of us appreciate what you have to offer.


Agreed. They are valid points clearly stated and a valuable contribution to the discussion.


This is true, and I'd add that the more fluid and dynamic those meetings are, the better. To me, it seems like video meetings are anything but. Lots of people either interrupting each other or trying too hard not to. Obnoxious repetition. Whiteboarding is a sad joke.


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