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It’s really simple test. Dig into unemployment numbers for skill shortages. If your industry only has an acceptable level of unemployment filings, then it qualifies as an industry eligible for H1B. Within the industry, each company would interview you on SV style data structures and algorithms. If you don’t make the interview, you are not qualified. The foreigner who could pass such a qualifying test would then get the job and visa is an accessory here.

There are two issues here. American companies need workers with multiple skillsets. Your one app startup that thrives on user unwittingly selecting location on might need a highly qualified European graduate with experience at CERN. But the average utility company needs help maintaining their database and make sure they are billing users correctly. They would need a QA tester from India. There's a real shortage of those jobs too in America. You could argue against work visas and wait for 400K Wall Street exceutives switching to testing jobs. You could imagine a market where software engineers are paid Google salaries at utilities. But overall poor people would suffer at the expense of few highly paid developers.



Most high skilled jobs in the world like your neurosurgeon or the engineers at your local nuclear power station assume your skillset based on educational qualifications. Only IT conducts a tech interview on a whiteboard and hires people without proper education.


Agree. H1B goes to some sketchy companies and for jobs that replace Americans. The lottery is the culprit here. Companies that face skills shortage don't get enough H1Bs.

Many H1Bs like myself were educated at taxpayer expense in their native countries. US essentially gets them for free to help fuel silicon valley and other tech hubs.

Skills shortage is real. If you are in a position to hire people, you would understand. You can't train people to perform at a silicon valley interview level no matter how much money you pour into training courses. Proper education from a university is needed to clear the high bar for most people. Free college education like in government run colleges in India would solve some of the skills shortage.


Talent shortage is real, but it's not because people can pass the SV interviews. Blind is full of stories of people who go on to work at a FAANG after a few months of LC. Proper education has nothing to do with it - the way hiring is done by them has been cracked years ago (there are even books about it). It's because most companies don't like to train and they want to pay pennies to new engineers.

I am an immigrant myself, but I don't think the US gets anything for free when it gets an educated H1B. It's a trade off, you get more opportunities than any other country can give you. It's up to you to be able to identify them.

H1B fraud is pervasive at this point and it needs a major reform. I have friends who work in immigration and it's obvious that some schools in India (JNTU for instance) are diploma mills that teaches nothing and ends up with people who should never have a degree to begin with. They exist just to ship people to the US through networking. Then there is the fraud where people from different countries come do their masters at Maharishi International University (or similar) and, once again,study nothing and get a degree. Finally the cherry on top is a lot of the people who were in H1Bs become rich by creating staffing companies bringing more H1Bs and paying them pennies. The government only does a bit of enforcement really. One of the few good things Trump did was to enforce the rules more.

Most H1Bs need a lot of training to be productive. I have worked with many. The H1B program - when it comes to STEM - was created to bring very educated people (think top universities with good grades, IIT and similar). Unfortunately, the many who should not have gotten one in the first place, create the problems for the ones who should truly qualify to get an H1B.


There’s no skills shortage. Just an unwillingness to take a risk on someone outside the normal profile.

I’ve done interviews where we passed on a candidate who’d be educated and onboarded within 1.5 years. Except nobody wanted to take that risk as we’d rather hire the person who can start today.

If there was no h1b program, we’d of hired that American and trained them.


And as soon as that person got trained, they would jump ship.


What skills shortage have you witnessed?


I'm from South India and I know two people in my family with severe Vitamin D deficiency. Sunlight-> Vitamin D won't happen for most people with a white collar job even if you are near equator. Hospitals in India rarely offer that test as it's expensive. We insisted on getting one after severe back pain and other symptoms.


I've seen studies that show quite low levels of Vitamin D in even healthy rural south Indian farm workers. The average was ~ 20 ng/mL. The study authors speculate that the high levels of phytates in the typical Indian diet might be to blame.


Google for Hawala.


I would wonder what limitations UBI would require. What if people get UBI in US and move to a low cost Asian or African country to live princely lives with their UBI while American taxpayers pay for that lifestyle.


My personal guess is that it won't happen on a large scale. After all, most people feel connected to the places where they live and to the people around them. Moving to another country can be difficult if the divide (language, religion, customs, political system and its stability, law, personal and property rights, safety) is wide. This seriously limits the choice of places people would be willing to move to long-term in the first place. Historically, large-scale permanent migrations happened only if living conditions in the place of origin became hostile.

Also, where would people move to? Many destinations are developing countries and thus the cost of living there will rise in the long term. Also, these expats would be heavily affected by foreign exchange rates.

People might indeed cluster up in certain places, buy property there and live a leisurely livestyle. These factors would make prices rise and in the long term it would become less attractive to move there. This happened in Spain where property prices in premium locations have skyrocketed because of well-off people from other EU countries buying homes there. Depending on how much the goverments of the target countries care about this, they might think about countermeasures, such as restricting property acquisition to locals.

If the outflux of money becomes significant, it will affect relations with the target country as the origin country will seek to reverse the flow. Trade deals will be affected, and developmental aids, if there are any, might be reduced. If it works, the target country might make it more difficult for expats to stay long-term. But the most straightforward approach might be to limit the UBI based on residency, or make the expat lose perks such as voting rights.


There's a pent up demand in India for cheap iPhones. Most of the phones manufactured would be for domestic market. Local manufacturing would provide better pricing to compete with Android market in India.


India and China recently ended up at war. 20 Indian soldiers died and an undisclosed number of Chinese soldiers died during a primitive battle with Kung Fu sticks and stones. There's an agreement on not using firearms in conflicts and that has held up for some 60 years. There's no reason to believe this would be an all out war anytime soon.


> There's an agreement on not using firearms in conflicts and that has held up for some 60 years.

This is the first time I heard about this and a quick search confirms it's true. Amazing!


Really? This deserves a post of its own!


it won't be that big. After 1962, Mao was the Chinese Primier and Nehru was Indian PM.

Right after the cuban missile crisis was solved, UK and US started dropping military equipment to help India.

Mao then did a single handed ceasefire and retreated back to the original places.

then a peace summit happened and India China decided to not indulge in a firefight at the border again.

And now China had started meddling in Indian affairs, after weeks of tensions, I don't know what Indian govt did, but tensions were de escalated.

Yes, sadly, both sides lost lives, but the thing is CCP has now claimed a Russian port of Vladivostok (I read in the news), it has claimed Bhutan, and Ladhak in India and it has always claimed Arunachal Pradesh (India)


Quick chime in regarding arms supply post cuban missile and 1962 Sino-China War: While US and UK definitely gave arms to India, they refused to supply advanced machinery and weapons. This is where the Soviets were glad to step in, and henceforth was one of the major reasons why in the latter half of the Cold War the India sort of allied with the Soviets; while the NATO block in general sided with Pakistan (whose really close ally was also China).


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