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yes but, if in a trial, if one arm performs substantially different than the control arm (e.g. 50% or even 100% lower death rate), the large difference between arms can lead to investigators ending the trial early

ironically, this happened in a previous 2019 trial of Remdemsivir, for a different virus, Ebola

in that trial, 4 drugs for Ebola were tested, including Remdemsivir. 2 non-Remdemsivir drugs succeeded substantially--the large difference between those drugs and Remdemsivir, was enough to cause the investigator to end the trial early and drop Remdemsivir

ironically, the investigator for that trial was none-other-than Dr. Fauci. Maybe that's why he hasn't mentioned Remdemsivir much on TV these days, based on his past professional disappointing experience with Remdemsivir

also, double ironically, Remdemsivir was initially designed to treat Ebola virus, not for flu or coronavirus type viruses. The fact that after the Ebola trial, Remdemsivir was declared not that effective for Ebola (the very virus Remdemsivir was created for), means there is even less of a chance Remdemsivir will prove to be effective for Covid-19 in the current trials

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/08/finally-some-good-ne...


as an extreme example

if Remdemsivir cures 100% of all Covid-19 cases, halfway through the trial, they would have enough data to show a net positive benefit. They don't need to finish the whole trial to declare Remdemsivir useful

the fact that they are running the whole trial to finish, most likely means the effect of Remdemsivir is not too noticeable. They need more data to get to statistical significance. Hence, they want the trial to run to original planned finish date.

my guess is

Remdemsivir probably has some positive effect. Say, 10% lower death rate if used during 1st few days of infection. Still great, much much better than our current situation of nothing. It would not cure Covid completely, but it would help substantially, especially in large populations of infected


Looks like you may have been right. Oh well, I hope it at least helps people at the early stages of the disease.


can't laugh when you are breathing with your mouth, my friend :)


care to give some examples? Because I am a curious reader who does not live in Iceland and don't have the context to be able to identify the embellishments


sure it's always frustrating because it does nothing to change the narrative of what's repeated outside of Iceland regardless of the truth.

>"At 32, Stefansson is the most famous thief ever to emerge from this polite and friendly island, ranked by the Global Peace Index as the world’s most peaceful nation."

Patently false. So far our most famous criminal would be (Tomas)[https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/07/world/europe/iceland-murd...] or runner up for any of the various banking / cartel that siphoned money out of the country during the crash. Sindri doesn't even register with most people here except as a petty thug. Bjarni Ben the old prime minister or Sigmundur David both appeared in the Panama Papers here as well.

>It was cryptocurrency, ironically, that helped save Iceland after the bankers bankrupted it. I have no idea where the author got this but Cryptocurrency has provided any material benefit to Iceland in any form or shape, I say this even though I'm a BTC advocate. First it was our fishing industry which was able to sell high abroad and return with Euros to exchange for ISK and then it was the tourism boom (as much as we all hate it here) from 2014-onwards. Crypto currency mining here doesn't employ anyone, doesn't get aggressively taxed (it should) and often gets industrial market rates on large enough consumption (just like the aluminum smelters).

Oh and to correct another misunderstood thing about Iceland we get around 70% of our power generation from HYDROpower not Geothermal like everyone things (that goes towards home heating mostly). Which means .......Dams, lots and lots of dams flooding areas of Iceland and destroying the nature the tourists come to see.

> Today, Bitcoin mines consume more energy than all of Iceland’s homes combined.

This is just repeated ad-nauseam abroad now more than any other statement and its entirely attributed to a single electrical engineer for the electric producer company who was commenting on if the building trend kept at the same rate back in 2018. It didn't obviously but any idiot journalist now stumbles across some _other_ article saying it so they just repeat now too. Smelting consumes FAR more electricity here than any other industry.

These are just a handful, nobody likes these guys here, no one is cheering for them we're mostly embarrassed that they're gleefully unaware of badly they make Iceland look international as the posterboys for big, dumb, meat-head rubes, that were used by a foriegn criminal who never got caught. Classic Icelandic hnakkar.


Thanks for this.

> Classic Icelandic hnakkar.

Google isn’t helping me much or I’m missing the point.


This article explains a bit about it:

http://icelandreport.blogspot.com/2006/03/necks.html


It means "neck" in Icelandic, they use steroids, trick out landrover and fake tan.


consumers vote with their wallet, at the of the day.

by and large consumers don't care if the company is for social change or not.

it's difficult for a company to succeed in getting customers to pay based purely on social change intentions. That's how a market works


that makes no sense

like you said in 2008 there wasn't anything there. They lose millions the whole company dies

now Tesla operates in billions of dollars. They lose billions it's still only 10%


Since 2008.... Reading comprehension much?


by that logic, the 1st email was "leaked" intentionally?

The 1st leaked email about burning cash over 10 months, causing the stock to crash even more

"where there's a will there's a way". So by your logic he wants the stock to go down


Maybe the 1st email was leaked intentionally, according to your logic?

The 1st leaked email about burning cash over 10 months

How convenient that email leaked when the stock price is getting clobbered, adding insult to injury.

How convenient


is this true?


This is over ten years and only if he significantly grows value of company. https://ir.tesla.com/index.php/news-releases/news-release-de...


in reality he is getting paid minimum wage. He only gets stock if he hits milestones that are set impossibly high


But muh stock value = money value

If he sold 100% of his stock like he was cashing out TSLA wouldn't be worth as much.


First of his name. Protector of the realm (of the valley) :)

Congrats Geoff! Much deserved. Looking forward to seeing great things at YC


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