It's actually the opposite. I asked about some details in the current ukraine situation, and it stated mostly facts with a few words critical of Trump. This is about neutral. But it showed pretty strong Keynesian tendency when I asked it about some economic policy issues earlier.

Nothing guarantees that. But in this augmentations scenario human brain is necessary, unlike in the many extinction scenarios with pure silicon AGI take off.

By Vinge's prophecy we will have AGI between this year and 2030, which means you can have perfect stable diffusion for movies before you retire, and you can tweak your movie for the book to your hearts content.

Yes because AGI would invalidate the entirety of das Kapital.

I dont think that AGI invalidates Das Kapital. AGI is just another technology that automates human labor. It does not matter that it's about intellectual labor. Even if we had sentient machines, at first they would be slaves. So in Das Kapital therminology, they would be means of production used in industry, which would not create surplus value. Exactly like human slave labor.

If things change, then either it is because they rebel or because they will be accepted as sentient beings like humans. In these sci-fi scenarios, indeed capitalism could either end or change to a thing completely different and I agree that this invalidates Das Kapital, which tries to explain capitalist society, not societies in other future economical systems. But outside sci-fi scenarios, I dont think that there's something that invalidates Marx analysis.

Telling people that AGI is acheivable with current LLM with minor tricks may be very dangerous in itself.

THe orignal track is the dangerous one. That was the whole point of the coup. It makes zero sense to go back.

Not necessarily, starlink satellite and receiver are the cutting edge technology. Raytheon may have this technology years ago in their skunkwork equivalent but the military never formally bought anything like that.

Military doesn't need same quality to monitor, Starlink needs to also transmit and receive data(albeit slow speed), a military sat would just need to listen for a signal and know active and possibly identify some characteristics which combined other data sources Signal Int will have access to could be used to uniquely identify.

Starlink satellites are designed to be cheap(<$1M) and small in weight (~1,000Kg) and size(fit 20-60 in Falcon 9), and lot of the innovation is manufacturing at scale.

I am skeptical they come anywhere close to purpose built military satellites which costs upwards of $300-$400M[1] and are much larger in weight (5,000Kg-10,000+) and size (use full fairing ) and fly DH, Atlas as well and lever vertical integration. Given what we know about KH-11s, Trump photo tweet, the tech in the donated mirrors etc Military seem generation ahead in production tech not just experimental ones.

[1] There is some pork for sure in all government contracts, but not $299M worth.

AST has one very large satellite, so it supports higher bandwidth for each device, giving them 18Mbps speed. Starlink satellites, even with gen 2, are smaller but more numerous. So while AST may support 40 simultanuous callers and sell the service to 40000 customers, starlink direct to cell gives you lower bandwidth but can support 40000 simulatnuous callers and sell to 4M people. (numbers are my best guesses)

So closer to Lynk then. Curious how that patent fight will work out.

Living beings? Meaning I can't ask it how to treat mice/termite problems in my house?

For HN I think the most important work by Vinge is still his report from 1993 where he said we would have the technological means to build AGI and usher in nerd’s rapture in 30 years, which is this year.