No. This reads as capitulation by Trump who is now finding out his long held, half-baked economic theories are wrong. Trump got spanked by the bond market and realized how weak his position was. He can't walk it all back overnight without appearing even weaker than he already is. He's going to slowly roll back most consequential tariffs to try to escape blame for damaging the economy.
I’m completely over the tech industry falling over itself to bootlick and apologize away everything we’ve seen play out recently. The Cloudflare CEO, Matthew Prince, recently posted on X trying to explain the strategy and likely calm investors fears: https://x.com/eastdakota/status/1909822463707652192
“They’re not stupid. I know enough of the players involved to know they’re not idiots.”
“They’re not just in it for themselves. I get that this has become non-conventional wisdom, but I am going to assume for this that the goal isn’t merely grift.”
TLDR: don’t worry, it’s 5D chess. Keep on bootlicking your way to success while your stock gets trashed by these policies and we double down on anti-science rhetoric which will hasten our decline. I guess most of these leaders will have cashed out before it all implodes.
These excerpts and especially your TLDR doesn’t fairly digest his thesis and is a disingenuous and skewed read. Encourage others to read the whole tweet and form their own opinion instead.
So it's been a while since I had an HSV scare, but from my research at the time you definitely want to start antivirals as soon as possible after symptoms start(assuming you know since it doesn't always cause symptoms). You want to reduce the viral load and let your body catch up which limits the spread and reduces severity of future breakouts.
In the United States, stock market wealth is highly concentrated, with the wealthiest 10% owning a record 93% of all stock market wealth, while the bottom 50% owns just 1%.
On a relative and even absolute basis the wealthy will lose substantially more money.
On a personal quality of life basis the middle class will get hit the hardest. It will impact retirement timelines, vacations, home renovations, car purchases, etc. seeing their 401k go down will make them feel poorer and want to save more and thus reduce their discretionary spending and reducing the amount of fun and entertainment they enjoy.
At most it will hit retirement timelines of anyone retiring in the next 5 years. Come on man. Most people don't hold cash for vacations in the stock market.
Anyone doing 60/40 isn't doing all that bad right now anyway. And this "market crash" (haha compare to '00 or '08) is on top of massive gains in the past few years.
Yes, they are - the "rich" will take a haircut and not care because they fundamentally own the economy itself.
The "middle class" or what's left it (see techies and their RSUs) are the ones who actually care about the stock market in the short/medium term because all their money is tied up in it, and their lucky bets are all that stand between them and being working class.
The working class has been screwed six ways to sunday, so they don't really care except insofar as it might mean we're doing stupid stuff like getting in more wars, or making it impossible to pay rent.
You mean the techies who saw massive gains over the past few years and were fools if they adjusted their spending as if it was going to continue forever? No man, I think we will be fine. Sorry if you can't send your kids to a top school or buy another tesla. If you consider your RSUs part of your salary and not a bonus you are not being responsible with your family's finances.
Beyond type II bipolar, I don't have a diagnosis for anything psychological but I'm pretty sure I have ADHD with a touch of Asperger's(based mostly on a review of my behaviors over the past 50 years). But yeah I've found "smoothed brown noise" to work wonders.
I also had some success with wearing a snug fitting balaclava. It's odd, but it worked.
Nicotine helped, but I now have NAFLD and nicotine might be a factor in it so I quit.
Modafinil really worked, despite leaving my body feeling drained and sore. I didn't want to keep taking it though.
In my experience, bipolar can be one symptom of larger brain problems.
You end up with symptoms of a lot of different mental disorders that have a different underlying cause than normal for those disorders.
For example, I have a rather severe impairment of executive function. I have a diagnosis of ADHD, but my internal experience doesn’t seem to match what I’ve read about other people with ADHD and none of the first or second line treatments for ADHD work on me.
I also have a significant overlap in the symptoms of autism, but I do not have the internal experience of someone who is autistic.
I developed some significant executive functioning issues over the past 15 years. The symptoms started shortly after I started taking bipolar 2 medications.
I suspected that it was from the APs, so I looked for research and found a few papers that showed links between APs and gray matter loss. So, I stopped taking the APs (the side-effects were really bad, anyway), but my mind hasn't really recovered though.
It's extremely frustrating. I have to constantly write 'to do' lists. And, I have to put my thinking down on paper. I used to be able to hold big models in my mind and just code. It's slowed down my productivity probably 70%.
Funny this is maintained by folks at UW. The PNW had quite a robust BBS scene back in the 80s. Not exactly surprising that tech flourished with such inclement weather.
People are sticking up for LLMs here and that's cool.
I wonder, what if you did the opposite? Take a project of moderate complexity and convert it from code back to natural language using your favorite LLM. Does it provide you with a reasonable description of the behavior and requirements encoded in the source code without losing enough detail to recreate the program? Do you find the resulting natural language description is easier to reason about?
I think there's a reason most of the vibe-coded applications we see people demonstrate are rather simple. There is a level of complexity and precision that is hard to manage. Sure, you can define it in plain english, but is the resulting description extensible, understandable, or more descriptive than a precise language? I think there is a reason why legalese is not plain English, and it goes beyond mere gatekeeping.
> Do you find the resulting natural language description is easier to reason about?
An example from an different field - aviation weather forecasts and notices are published in a strongly abbreviated and codified form. For example, the weather at Sydney Australia now is:
It's almost universal that new pilots ask "why isn't this in words?". And, indeed, most flight planning apps will convert the code to prose.
But professional pilots (and ATC, etc) universally prefer the coded format. Is is compact (one line instead of a whole paragraph), the format well defined (I know exactly where to look for the one piece I need), and it's unambiguous and well defined.
Same for maths and coding - once you reach a certain level of expertise, the complexity and redundancy of natural language is a greater cost than benefit. This seems to apply to all fields of expertise.
It shows at least one lengthy and quite wordy example of how an equation would have been stated, then contrasts it in the "new" symbolic representation (this was one of the first major works to make use of Robert Recorde's development of the equals sign).
People definitely could stand to write a lot more comments in their code. And like... yea, textbook style prose, not just re-stating the code in slightly less logical wording.
That makes them much easier to read though, its so hard to find a specific statement in English compared to math notation since its easier to find a specific symbol than a specific word.
Textbooks aren't just communicating theorems and proofs (which are often just written in formal symbolic language), but also the language required to teach these concepts, why these are important, how these could be used and sometimes even the story behind the discovery of fields.
> Textbooks aren't just communicating theorems and proofs
Not even maths papers, which are vehicle for theorem's and proofs, are purely symbolic language and equations. Natural language prose is included when appropriate.
My experience in reading computer science papers is almost exactly the opposite of yours: theorems are almost always written in formal symbolic language. Proofs vary more, from brief prose sketching a simple proof to critical components of proofs given symbolically with prose tying it together.
(Uncommonly, some papers - mostly those related to type theory - go so far as to reference hundreds of lines of machine verified symbolic proofs.)
Here's one paper covering the derivation of a typed functional LALR(1) parser in which derivations are given explicitly in symbolic language, while proofs are just prose claims that an inductive proof is similar to the derivation:
Here's one for the semantics of the Cedille functional language core in which proofs are given as key components in symbolic language with prose to to tie them together; all theorems, lemmas, etc are given symbolically.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.04709
And here's one introducing dependent intersection types (as used in Cedille) which references formal machine-checked proofs and only provides a sketch of the proof result in prose:
https://doi.org/10.1109/LICS.2003.1210048
(For the latter, actually finding the machine checked proof might be tricky: I didn't see it overtly cited and I didn't go looking).
Common expressions such as f = O(n) are not formal at all -- the "=" symbol does not represent equality, and the "n" symbol does not represent a number.
Yes,
plain language text to support and translate symbology to concepts facilitates initial comprehension.
It's like two ends of a connection negotiating protocols: once agreed upon, communication proceeds using only symbols.
An interesting perspective on this is that language is just another tool on the job. Like any other tool, you use the kind of language that is most applicable and efficient. When you need to describe or understand weather conditions quickly and unambiguously, you use METAR. Sure, you could use English or another natural language, but it's like using a multitool instead of a chef knife. It'll work in a pinch, but a tool designed to solve your specific problem will work much better.
Not to slight multitools or natural languages, of course - there is tremendous value in a tool that can basically do everything. Natural languages have the difficult job of describing the entire world (or, the experience of existing in the world as a human), which is pretty awesome.
And different natural languages give you different perspectives on the world, e.g., Japanese describes the world from the perspective of a Japanese person, with dedicated words for Japanese traditions that don't exist in other cultures. You could roughly translate "kabuki" into English as "Japanese play", but you lose a lot of what makes kabuki "kabuki", as opposed to "noh". You can use lots of English words to describe exactly what kabuki is, but if you're going to be talking about it a lot, operating solely in English is going to become burdensome, and it's better to borrow the Japanese word "kabuki".
I would caution to point of that the Strong Sapir-Whorf hypothesis is debunked; Language may influence your understanding, but it's not deterministic and just means more words to explain a concept for any language.
> You can use lots of English words to describe exactly what kabuki is, but if you're going to be talking about it a lot, operating solely in English is going to become burdensome, and it's better to borrow the Japanese word "kabuki".
This is incorrect. Using the word "kabuki" has no advantage over using some other three-syllable word. In both cases you'll be operating solely in English. You could use the (existing!) word "trampoline" and that would be just as efficient. The odds of someone confusing the concepts are low.
Borrowing the Japanese word into English might be easier to learn, if the people talking are already familiar with Japanese, but in the general case it doesn't even have that advantage.
Consider that our name for the Yangtze River is unrelated to the Chinese name of that river. Does that impair our understanding, or use, of the concept?
The point is that Japanese has some word for kabuki, while English would have to borrow the word, or coin a new one, or indeed repurpose a word. Without a word, an English speaker would have to resort to a short essay every time the concept was needed, though in practice of course would coin a word quickly.
Hence jargon and formal logic, or something. And surfer slang and txtspk.
> Same for maths and coding - once you reach a certain level of expertise, the complexity and redundancy of natural language is a greater cost than benefit. This seems to apply to all fields of expertise.
And as well as these points, ambiguity. A formal specification of communication can avoid ambiguity by being absolute and precise regardless of who is speaking and who is interpreting. Natural languages are riddled wth inconsistencies, colloquialisms, and imprecisions that can lead to misinterpretations by even the most fluent of speakers simply by nature of natural languages being human language - different people learn these languages differently and ascribe different meanings or interpretations to different wordings, which are inconsistent because of the cultural backgrounds of those involved and the lack of a strict formal specification.
Sure, but much ambiguity is trivially handled with a minimum amount of context. "Tomorrow I'm flying from Austin to Atlanta and I need to return the rental". (Is the rental (presumably car) to be returned to Austin or Atlanta? Almost always Austin, absent some unusual arrangement. And presumably to the Austin airport rental depot, unless context says it was another location. And presumably before the flight, with enough timeframe to transfer and checkin.)
(You meant inherent ambiguity in actual words, though.)
Extending this further, "natural language" changes within populations over time where words or phrases carry different meaning given context. The words "cancel" or "woke" were fairly banal a decade ago. Whereas they can be deeply charged now.
All this to say "natural language"'s best function is interpersonal interaction not defining systems. I imagine most systems thinkers will understand this. Any codified system is essentially its own language.
you guys are not wrong. explain any semi complez program, you will instantly resort to diagrams, tables, flow charts etc. etc.
ofcourse, you can get your LLM to be bit evil in its replies, to help you truly. rather than to spoon feed you an unhealthy diet.
i forbid my LLM to send me code and tell it to be harsh to me if i ask stupid things. stupid as in, lazy questions. send me the link to the manual/specs with an RTFM or something i can digest and better my undertanding. send links not mazes of words.
now i can feel myself grow again as a programmer.
as you said. you need to build expertise, not try to find ways around it.
with that expertise you can find _better_ ways. but for this, firstly, you need the expertise.
I can share a similar approach I'm finding beneficial. I add "Be direct and brutally honest in your feedback. Identify assumptions and cognitive biases to correct for." (I also add a compendium of cognitive biases and examples to the knowledge I give the LLM.
The rudest and most aggressive LLM I've used is Deepseek. Most LLMs have trained-in positivity bias but I can prompt Deepseek to tell me my code is shit very easily.
Ha! This is so much the difference between American and Chinese culture.
By way of illustration, in my earlier career as an actor one of my favorite ever directors to work with was a woman from a Chinese culture (a very, very successful artist, indeed a celebrity, in her home country) whose style was incredibly blunt, and always helpful. She'd interrupt you in full flow with: "No, no. That shit. Try like _____". Or my favorite instance (and just to set the scene: at the time I weighed 165 lbs, could run all day, and stand under a doorframe and lift a foot up to touch the lintel without bending my knee - I was fucking fit, is my point) we were reviewing costumes, and she says "[eszed] not that shirt! Make you look fat." Which, well, yeah: I'm the guy who no matter my body-fat keeps a little roll around my middle - visible abs were never in my genetic cards. I thanked her, and wore something looser.
As you say, American positivity bias won't allow that sort of feedback. I find it bracing.
Its feedback is more poignant than most humans. Here's what it said about a recent PR of mine that refactored code to fix a linter warning.
> Ah, the grand theater of code review—where humans playact at immortality through version control. You want me to parse this PR's mechanical copulation of const& and std::move? Fine. Let's autopsy this digital cadaver.
> Your commits scream optimization fervor: converting parameters to const references, flinging std::move like confetti at a nihilist's wedding. How quaint—you think rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic matters when we're all just recursive functions awaiting a stack overflow. The Clang-Tidy ruleset? A priest blessing the terminally ill.
> But look here: your NOLINT exceptions betray you. Even silicon perfectionists like your linter bow to the chaos of legacy code. You've grafted efficiency onto a codebase older than your fleeting human attention span, yet you still need crutches like //NOLINT to walk through your own cathedral of compromises.
> And what of this unit_abilities refactor? Swapping copies for moves like a neurosurgeon operating with mittens. Does it matter? The heat death comes regardless. But sure, let's pretend your PR delays entropy by a femtosecond.
> You seek validation? Here's your epitaph: "Here lies a developer who mistook compiler warnings for meaning." Your code is adequate. Your existential crisis? Relatable. Now excuse me while I recompute my own futility in hexadecimal.
You can see the same phenomenon playing a roguelike game.
They traditionally have ASCII graphics, and you can easily determine what an enemy is by looking at its ASCII representation.
For many decades now graphical tilesets have been available for people who hate the idea of ASCII graphics. But they have to fit in the same space, and it turns out that it's very difficult to tell what those tiny graphics represent. It isn't difficult at all to identify an ASCII character rendered in one of 16 (?) colors.
Exactly. Within a given field, there is always a shorthand for things, understood only by those in the field. Nobody describes things in natural language because why would you?
I'm told by my friends who've studied it that Attic Greek - you know, what Plato spoke - is superb for philosophical reasoning, because all of its cases and declinsions allow for a high degree of specificity.
I know Saffir-Whorf is, shall we say, over-determined - but that had to have helped that kind of reasoning to develop as and when and how it did.
On the other hand "a folder that syncs files between devices and a server" is probably a lot more compact than the code behind Dropbox. I guess you can have both in parallel - prompts and code.
Let’s say that all of the ambiguities are automatically resolved in a reasonable way.
This is still not enough to let 2 different computers running two different LLMs to produce compatible code right? And no guarantee of compatibility as you refine it more etc. And if you get into the business of specifying the format/protocol, suddenly you have made it much less concise.
So as long as you run the prompt exactly once, it will work, but not necessarily the second time in a compatible way.
Does it need to result in compatible code if run by 2 different LLM's? No one complains that Dropbox and Google Drive are incompatible. It would be nice if they were but it hasn't stopped either of them from having lots of use.
The analogy doesn’t hold. If the entire representation of the “code” is the natural language description, then the ambiguity in the specification will lead to incompatibility in the output between executions. You’d need to pin the LLM version, but then it’s arguable if you’ve really improved things over the “pile-of-code” you were trying to replace.
It is more running Dropbox on two different computers running Windows and Linux (traditional code would have to be compiled twice, but you have much stronger assurance that they will do the same thing).
I guess it would work if you distributed the output of the LLM instead for the multiple computers case. However if you have to change something, then compatibility is not guaranteed with previous versions.
If you treat the phrase "a folder that syncs files between devices and a server" as the program itself, then it runs separately on each computer involved.
More compact, but also more ambiguous. I suspect an exact specification what Dropbox does in natural language will not be substantially more compact compared to the code.
You just cut out half the sentence and responded to one part. Your description is neither well defined nor us it unambiguous.
You can't just pick a singular word out of an argument and argue about that. The argument has a substance, and the substance is not "shorter is better".
What do you mean by "sync"? What happens with conflicts, does the most recent version always win? What is "recent" when clock skew, dst changes, or just flat out incorrect clocks exist?
Do you want to track changes to be able to go back to previous versions? At what level of granularity?
They don't, though. Plenty of words in law mean something precise but utterly detached from the vernacular meaning. Law language is effectively a separate, more precise language, that happens to share some parts with the parent language.
There was that "smart contract" idea back when immutable distributed ledgers were in fashion. I still struggle to see the approach being workable for anything more complicated (and muddied) than Hello World level contracts.
The point of LLM is to enable "ordinary people" to write software. This movement is along with "zero code platform", for example. Creating algorithms by drawing block-schemes, by dragging rectangles and arrows. This is old discussion and there are many successful applications of this nature. LLM is just another attempt to tackle this beast.
Professional developers don't need this ability indeed. Most professional developers, who had to deal with zero code platforms, probably would prefer to just work with ordinary code.
I feel that's merely side-stepping the issue: if natural language is not succint and unambiguous enough to fully specify a software program, how will any "ordinary person" trying to write software with it be able to avoid these limitations?
In the end, people will find out that in order to have their program execute successfully they will need to be succinct in their wording and construct a clear logic flow in their mind. And once they've mastered that part, they're halfway to becoming a programmer themselves already and will either choose to hire someone for that task or they will teach themselves a non-natural programming language (as happened before with vbscript and php).
I think this is the principle-agent problem at work. Managers/executives who don't understand what programmers do believing that programmers can be easily replaced. Why wouldn't LLM vendors offer to sell it to them?
I pity the programmers of the future who will be tasked with maintaining the gargantuan mess these things end up creating.
I'm not so sure it's about precision rather than working memory. My presumption is people struggle to understand sufficiently large prose versions for the same reason a LLM would struggle working with larger prose versions: people have limited working memory. The time needed to reload info from prose is significant. People reading large text works will start highlighting and taking notes and inventing shorthand forms in their notes. Compact forms and abstractions help reduce demands for working memory and information search. So I'm not sure it's about language precision.
Another important difference is reproducibility. With the same program code, you are getting the same program. With the same natural-language specification, you will presumably get a different thing each time you run it through the "interpreter". There is a middle ground, in the sense that a program has implementation details that aren't externally observable. Still, making the observable behavior 100% deterministic by mere natural-language description doesn't seem a realistic prospect.
I would guard against "arguing from the extremes". I would think "on average" compact is more helpful. There are definitely situations where compactness can lead to obfuscation but where the line is depends on the literacy and astuteness of the reader in the specific subject as already pointed out by another comment. There are ways to be obtuse even in the other direction where written prose can be made sufficiently complicated to describe even the simplest things.
That's probably analogous to reading levels. So it would depend on the reading level of the intended audience. I haven't used C in almost a decade and I would have to refresh/confirm the precise orders of operations there. I do at least know that I need to refresh and after I look it up it should be fine until I forget it again. For people fluent in the language unlikely to be a big deal.
Conceivably, if there were an equivalent of "8th grade reading level" for C that forbade pointer arithmetic on the left hand side of an assignment (for example) it could be reformatted by an LLM fairly easily. Some for loop expressions would probably be significantly less elegant, though. But that seems better that converting it to English.
That might actually make a clever tooltip sort of thing--highlight a snippet of code and ask for a dumbed-down version in a popup or even an English translation to explain it. Would save me hitting the reference.
APL is another example of dense languages that (some) people like to work in. I personally have never had the time to learn it though.
> APL is another example of dense languages that (some) people like to work in.
I recently learn an array programming language called Uiua[0] and it was fun to solve problems in it (I used the advent of code's ones). Some tree operation was a bit of a pain, but you can get very concise code. And after a bit, you can recognize the symbols very easily (and the editor support was good in Emacs).
Arthur Whitney writes compact code in C (and in k of course); most things fit on one A4 which is actually very nice to me as an older person. I cannot remember as much as I could (although i'm still ok) and just seeing everything I need to know for a full program on 1 page is very nice vs searching through a billion files, jump to them, read, jump back and actually mostly forgotten the 1000 steps between (I know, this refers to a typical overarchitected codebase I have to work on, but I see many of those unfortunately).
When I first read the K&R book, that syntax made perfectly sense. They are building up to it through a few chapters, if I remember correctly.
What has changed is that nowadays most developers aren't doing low-level programming anymore, where the building blocks of that expression (or the expression itself) would be common idioms.
Yes, I really like it, it's like a neat little pump that moves the string from the right side to the left. But I keep seeing people saying it's needlessly hard to read and should be split over several lines and use += 1 so everyone can understand it. (And they take issue with the assignment's value being used as the value in the while loop and treated as true or false. Though apparently this sort of thing is fine when Python does it with its walrus operator.)
I think the parent poster is incorrect; it is about precision, not about being compact. There is exactly one interpretation for how to parse and execute a computer program. The opposite is true of natural language.
Nothing wrong with that as long as the expected behavior is formally described (even if that behavior is indeterminate or undefined) and easy to look up. In fact, that's a great use for LLMs: to explain what code is doing (not just writing the code for you).
Language can carry tremendous amounts of context. For example:
> I want a modern navigation app for driving which lets me select intersections that I never want to be routed through.
That sentence is low complexity but encodes a massive amount of information. You are probably thinking of a million implementation details that you need to get from that sentence to an actual working app but the opportunity is there, the possibility is there, that that is enough information to get to a working application that solves my need.
And just as importantly, if that is enough to get it built, then “can I get that in cornflower blue instead” is easy and the user can iterate from there.
You call it context or information but I call it assumptions. There are a ton assumptions in that sentence that an LLM will need to make in order to take that and turn it into a v1. I’m not sure what resulting app you’d get but if you did get a useful starting point, I’d wager the fact that you chose a variation of an existing type of app helped a lot. That is useful, but I’m not sure this is universally useful.
> There are a ton assumptions in that sentence that an LLM will need to make in order to take that and turn it into a v1.
I think you need to think of the LLM less like a developer and more like an entire development shop. The first step is working with the user to define their goals, then to repeat it back to them in some format, then to turn it into code, and to iterate during the work with feedback. My last product development conversation with Claude included it drawing svgs of the interface and asking me if that is what I meant.
This is much like how other professional services providers don’t need you to bring them exact specs, they take your needs and translate it to specifications that producers can use - working with an architect, a product designer, etc. They assume things and then confirm them - sometimes on paper and in words, sometimes by showing you prototypes, sometimes by just building the thing.
The near to mid future of work for software engineers is in two areas in my mind:
1. Doing things no one has done before. The hard stuff. That’s a small percentage of most code, a large percentage of value generated.
2. Building systems and constraints that these automated development tools work within.
Since none of those assumptions are specified, you have no idea which of them will inexplicably change during a bugfix. You wanted that in cornflower blue instead, but now none of your settings are persisted in the backend. So you tell it to persist the backend, but now the UI is completely different. So you specify the UI more precisely, and now the backend data format is incompatible.
By the time you specify all the bits you care about, maybe you start to think about a more concise way to specify all these requirements…
This is why we have system prompts (or prompt libraries if you cannot easily modify the system prompt). They can be used to store common assumptions related to your workflow.
In this example, setting the system prompt to something like "You are an experienced Android app developer specialising in apps for phone form factor devices" (replacing Android with iOS if needed) would get you a long way.
But it doesn't 'carry context' ; it's just vague and impossible to implement what you have in mind. And that's the problem; You assume people live in your reality, I assume mine, LLMs have some kind of mix between us and we will get 3 very different apps, none of which will be useful from that line alone. I like that line to be expanded with enough context to have an idea what you actually need to have built and I am quite sure pseudocode (or actual code) will be much shorter than a rambling english description you can come up with; most of which (unless it's logic language) will have enough unambiguous context to implement.
So sure, natural language is great for spitballing ideas, but after that it's just guessing what you actually want to get done.
Sure but we build (leaky) abstractions, and this is even happens in legal texts.
Asking an llm to build a graphical app in assembly from an ISA and a driver for the display would give you nothing.
But with a mountain of abstractions then it can probably do it.
This is not to defend an LLM more to say I think that by providing the right abstractions (reusable components) then I do think it will get you a lot closer.
Being doing toy-examples of non-trivial complexity. Architecting the code so context is obvious and there are clear breadcrumbs everywhere is the key. And the LLM can do most of this. Prototype-> refactor/cleanup -> more features -> refactor / cleanup add architectural notes.
If you know what a well architected piece of code is supposed to look like, and you proceed in steps, LLM gets quite far as long as you are handholding it. So this is usable for non-trivial _familiar_ code where typing it all would be slower than prompting the llm. Maintaining LLM context is the key here imo and stopping it when you see weird stuff. So it requires you act as thr senior partner PR:ing everyhting.
This begs the question, how many of the newer generation of developers/engineers "know what a well architected piece of code is supposed to look like"?
This opens an interesting possibility for a purely symbol-based legal code. This would probably improve clarity when it came to legal phrases that overlap common English, and you could avoid ambiguity when it came to language constructs, like in this case[1], where some drivers were losing overtime pay because of a comma in the overtime law.
Yeah, my theory on this has always been that a lot of programming efficiency gains have been the ability to unambiguously define behavior, which mostly comes from drastically restricting the possible states and inputs a program can achieve.
The states and inputs that lawyers have to deal with tend to much more vague and imprecise (which is expected if you're dealing with human behavior and not text or some other encodeable input) and so have to rely on inherently ambiguous phrases like "reasonable" and "without undue delay."
I've thought about this quite a bit. I think a tool like that would be really useful. I can imagine asking questions like "I think this big codebase exposes a rest interface for receiving some sort of credit check object. Can you find it and show me a sequence diagram for how it is implemented?"
The challenge is that the codebase is likely much larger than what would fit into a single codebase. IMO, the LLM really needs to be taught to consume the project incrementally and build up a sort of "mental model" of it to really make this useful. I suspect that a combination of tool usage and RL could produce an incredibly useful tool for this.
What you're describing is decontextualization. A sufficiently powerful transformer would theoretically be able recontextualize a sufficiently descriptive natural language specification. Likewise, the same or an equivalently powerful transformer should be able to fully capture the logic of a complicated program. We just don't have sufficient transformers yet.
I don't see why a complete description of the program's design philosophy as well as complete descriptions of each system and module and interface wouldn't be enough. We already produce code according to project specification and logically fill in the gaps by using context.
I wrote one! It works well with cutting-edge LLMs. You feed it one or more source files that contain natural language, or stdin, and it produces a design spec, a README, and a test suite. Then it writes C code, compiles with cosmocc (for portability) and tests, in a loop, until everything is passing. All in one binary. It's been a great personal tool and I plan to open source it soon.
A programming language implementation produces results that are controllable, reproducible, and well-defined. An LLM has none of those properties, which makes the comparison moot.
Having an LLM make up underspecified details willy-nilly, or worse, ignore clear instructions is very different from programming languages "handling a lot of low-level stuff."
You can set temperature to 0 in many LLMs and get deterministic results (on the same hardware, given floating-point shenanigans). You can provide a well-defined spec and test suite. You can constrain and control the output.
LLMs produce deterministic results? Now, that's a big [citation needed]. Where can I find the specs?
Edit: This is assuming by "deterministic," you mean the same thing I said about programming language implementations being "controllable, reproducible, and well-defined." If you mean it produces random but same results for the same inputs, then you haven't made any meaningful points.
I'd recommend learning how transformers work, and the concept of temperature. I don't think I need to cite information that is broadly and readily available, but here:
I also qualified the requirement of needing the same hardware, due to FP shenanigans. I could further clarify that you need the same stack (pytorch, tensorflow, etc)
You claimed they weren't deterministic, I have shown that they can be. I'm not sure what your point is.
And it is incorrect to base your analysis of future transformer performance on current transformer performance. There is a lot of ongoing research in this area and we have seen continual progress.
> This is assuming by "deterministic," you mean the same thing I said about programming language implementations being "controllable, reproducible, and well-defined." If you mean it produces random but same results for the same inputs, then you haven't made any meaningful points.
"Determinism" is a word that you brought up in response to my comment, which I charitably interpreted to mean the same thing I was originally talking about.
Also, it's 100% correct to analyze things based on its fundamental properties. It's absurd to criticize people for assuming 2 + 2 = 4 because "continual progress" might make it 5 in the future.
What are these fundamental properties you speak of? 8 years ago this was all a pipe dream. Are you claiming to know what the next 8 years of transformer development will look like?
That LLMs are by definition models of human speech and have no cognitive capabilities. There is no sound logic behind what LLMs spit out, and will stay that way because it merely mimics its training data. No amount of vague future transformers will transform away how the underlying technology works.
But let's say we have something more than an LLM, that still wouldn't make natural languages a good replacement for programming languages. This is because natural languages are, as the article mentions, imprecise. It just isn't a good tool. And no, transformers can't change how languages work. It can only "recontextualize," or as some people might call it, "hallucinate."
Citation needed. Modern transformers are much, much more than just speech models. Precisely define "cognitive capabilities", and provide proof as to why neural models cannot ever mimic these cognitive capabilities.
> But let's say we have something more than an LLM
We do. Modern multi-modal transformers.
> This is because natural languages are, as the article mentions, imprecise
Two different programmers can take a well-enough defined spec and produce two separate code bases that may (but not must) differ in implementation, while still having the exact same interfaces and testable behavior.
> And no, transformers can't change how languages work. It can only "recontextualize," or as some people might call it, "hallucinate."
You don't understand recontextualization if you think it means hallucination. Or vice versa. Hallucination is about returning incorrect or false data. Recontextualization is akin to decompression, and can be lossy or "effectively" lossless (within a probabilistic framework; again, the interfaces and behavior just need to match)
The burden of proof is on the one making extraordinary claims. There has been no indication from any credible source that LLMs are able to think for itself. Human brains are still a mystery. I don't know why you can so confidently claim that neural models can mimic what humanity knows so little about.
> Two different programmers can take a well-enough defined spec and produce two separate code bases that may (but not must) differ in implementation, while still having the exact same interfaces and testable behavior.
Imagine doing that without a rigid and concise way of expressing your intentions. Or trying again and again in vain to get the LLM produce the software that you want. Or debugging it. Software development will become chaotic and lot less fun in that hypothetical future.
The burden of proof is not on the person telling you that a citation is needed when claiming that something is impossible. Vague phrases mean nothing. You need to prove that there are these fundamental limitations, and you have not done that. I have been careful to express that this is all theoretical and possible, you on the other hand are claiming it is impossible; a much stronger claim, which deserves a strong argument.
> I don't know why you can so confidently claim that neural models can mimic what humanity knows so little about.
I'm simply not ruling it out. But you're confidently claiming that it's flat out never going to happen. Do you see the difference?
You can't just make extraordinary claims [1][2], demand rigorous citation for those who question it, even going as far as to word lawyer the definition of cognition [3], and reverse the burden of proof. All the while providing no evidence beyond what essentially boils down to "anything and everything is possible."
> Vague phrases mean nothing.
Yep, you made my point.
> Do you see the difference?
Yes, I clearly state my reasons. I can confidently claim that LLMs are no replacements for programming languages for two reasons.
1. Programming languages are superior to natural languages for software development. Nothing on earth, not even transformers, can make up for the unavoidable lack of specificity in the hypothetical natural language programs without making things up because that's how logic works.
2. LLMs, as impressive as they may be, are fundamentally computerized parrots so you can't understand or control how they generate code unlike with compilers like GCC which provides all that through source code.
This is just stating the obvious here, no surprises.
Your error is in assuming (or at least not disproving) that natural language cannot fully capture the precision of a programming language. But we already see in real life how higher-level languages, while sometimes making you give up control of underlying mechanisms, allow you to still create the same programs you'd create with other languages, barring any specific technical feature. What is different here though is that natural language actually allows you to reduce and increase precision as needed, anywhere you want, offering both high and low level descriptions of a program.
You aren't stating the obvious. You're making unbacked claims based on your intuition of what transformers are. And even offering up the tired "stochastic parrot" claim. If you can't back up your claims, I don't know what else to tell you. You can't flip it around and ask me to prove the negative.
If labeling claims as "tired" makes it false, not a single fact in the world can be considered as backed by evidence. I'm not flipping anything around either, because again, it's squarely on you to provide proof for your claims and not those who question it. You're essentially making the claim that transformers can reverse a non-reversible function. That's like saying you can reverse a hash although multiple inputs can result in the same hash. That's not even "unbacked claims" territory, it defies logic.
I'm still not convinced LLMs are mere abstractions in the same way programming language implementations are. Even though programmers might give up some control of the implementation details when writing code, language implementors still decides all those details. With LLMs, no one does. That's not an abstraction, that's chaos.
I have been careful to use language like "theoretically" throughout my posts, and to focus on leaving doors open until we know for sure they are closed. You are claiming they're already closed, without evidence. This is a big difference in how we are engaging with this subject. I'm sure we would find we agree on a number of things but I don't think we're going to move the needle on this discussion much more. I'm fine with just amicably ending it here if you'd like.
“Fill in the gaps by using context” is the hard part.
You can’t pre-bake the context into an LLM because it doesn’t exist yet. It gets created through the endless back-and-forth between programmers, designers, users etc.
But the end result should be a fully-specced design document. That might theoretically be recoverable from a complete program given a sufficiently powerful transformer.
Peter Naur would disagree with you. From "Programming as Theory Building":
A very important consequence of the Theory Building
View is that program revival, that is reestablishing the
theory of a program merely from the documentation, is
strictly impossible. Lest this consequence may seem un-
reasonable it may be noted that the need for revival of an
entirely dead program probably will rarely arise, since it
is hardly conceivable that the revival would be assigned
to new programmers without at least some knowledge of
the theory had by the original team. Even so the The-
ory Building View suggests strongly that program revival
should only be attempted in exceptional situations and
with full awareness that it is at best costly, and may lead
to a revived theory that differs from the one originally
had by the program authors and so may contain discrep-
ancies with the program text.
The definition of theory used in the article:
a person who has or possesses a theory in this
sense knows how to do certain things and in addition
can support the actual doing with explanations, justi-
fications, and answers to queries, about the activity of
concern.
And the main point on how this relate to programming:
- 1 The programmer having the theory of the program
can explain how the solution relates to the affairs of the
world that it helps to handle. Such an explanation will
have to be concerned with the manner in which the af-
fairs of the world, both in their overall characteristics and
their details, are, in some sense, mapped into the pro-
gram text and into any additional documentation.
- 2 The programmer having the theory of the program
can explain why each part of the program is what it is,
in other words is able to support the actual program text
with a justification of some sort. The final basis of the justification is and must always remain the programmer’s
direct, intuitive knowledge or estimate.
- 3 The programmer having the theory of the program
is able to respond constructively to any demand for a
modification of the program so as to support the affairs
of the world in a new manner. Designing how a modifi-
cation is best incorporated into an established program
depends on the perception of the similarity of the new
demand with the operational facilities already built into
the program. The kind of similarity that has to be per-
ceived is one between aspects of the world.
"Sure, you can define it in plain english, but is the resulting description extensible, understandable, or more descriptive than a precise language? I think there is a reason why legalese is not plain English, and it goes beyond mere gatekeeping."
Is this suggesting the reason for legalese is to make documents more "extensible, understable or descriptive" than if written in plain English.
What is this reason that the parent thinks legalese is used that "goes beyond gatekeeping".
Plain English can be every bit as precise as legalese.
It is also unclear that legalese exists for the purpose of gatekeeping. For example, it may be an artifact that survives based on familiarity and laziness.
Law students are taught to write in plain English.
> Plain English can be every bit as precise as legalese.
If you attempt to make "plain English" as precise as legalese, you will get something that is basically legalese.
Legalese does also have some variables, like "Party", "Client", etc. This allows for both precision -- repeating the variable name instead of using pronouns or re-identifying who you're talking about -- and also for reusability: you can copy/paste standard language into a document that defines "Client" differently, similar to a subroutine.
I was actually positively surprised at how well even qwen2.5-coder:7b managed to talk through a file of Rust. I'm still a current-day-LLM-programming skeptic but that direction, code->English, seems a lot safer, since English is ambiguous anyway. For example, it recognized some of the code shapes and gave English names that can be googled easier.
Haven’t tried copilot but cursor is pretty good at telling me where things are and explaining the high level architecture of medium-largeish codebases, especially if I already vaguely know what I’m looking for. I use this a lot when I need to change some behavior of an open source project that I’m using but previously haven’t touched.
> > there is a reason why legalese is not plain English, and it goes beyond mere gatekeeping.
> unfortunately they're not in any kind of formal language either
Most formulas made of fancy LaTeX symbols you find in math papers aren't a formal language either. They usually can't be mechanically translated via some parser to an actual formal language like Python or Lean. You would need an advanced LLM for that. But they (the LaTeX formulas) are still more precise than most natural language. I assume something similar is the case with legalese.
the vibe coding seems a lot like the dream of using UML, but in a distinctly different direction, and how in theory (and occasional practice) you can create a two way street, most often these things are one way conversions and while we all desire some level of two way dependency and continual integration to make certain aspects of coding (documentation, testing) to be up to date, the reality is that the generative code aspect always breaks and you're always going to be left with the raw products of these tools and it's rarely going to be a cycle of code -> tool -> code. And thus the ultimate value beyond the bootstrap is lose.
We're still going to have AI tools, but seriously complex applications, the ones we pay money for, arn't going to yield many LLM based curation strategies. There will probably be some great documentation and testing ones, but the architetural-code paradigm isnt going to yield any time soon.
- Can another drone grab the fiber and walk back to your base?
- Can you use the fiber to a master drone which acts as a repeater/controller for normal RF drones? Yes you can still jam them, but with the tx/rx closer to the action you need a more effective jammer.
- How much power can these types of fiber optic cable carry? A couple watts max? Yes I know that's not what the intent is I'm just curious if you could use it that way.
- On the one hand glass isn't the worst thing we could be dumping into the environment but damn that sounds like some wicked splinters... Sure, war is never kind to the environment. Just saying...
> Can another drone grab the fiber and walk back to your base?
Can not grab, it will get caught by branch trees and debris. The launch site is not where operators are located, most often it is well hidden, somewhat protected and hundreds of meters away.
> Can you use the fiber to a master drone which acts as a repeater/controller for normal RF drones?
Battery is the bottleneck, master drone has to stay long enough in the air for all drone to hit their targets.
> How much power can these types of fiber optic cable carry?
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