It is possible it is the next self-driving car, or nuclear fusion.
A sudden exponential set of improvements that allowed everyone to dream that self-driving anything was around the corner. Actual promising real world result that show we are really no that far.
But the last bridge to cross is actually extremely slow and what was around the corner, becomes a decade away.
That said, it's not fruitless. AI is useful as it is today, and if does not go pick up your kids at school in the next 10 years, it would still be useful.
At Mac Pro pricing (128 GB = $1600) that's $12,800
Of course, I can imagine that there will be a significant discount even just considering the price of high end branded memory outside Apple.
Still, Apple has showed no sign of abandoning 8GB for regular people. Even if they switch by the end of the year on their high model, they have a serious handicap in their own installed base.
Waiting for the EU to force PCs to ship with at least 16GB of RAM and then Apple to immediately announce how they were planning this whole time to double the starting RAM on their base machines then turn it into a 2h presentation about innovation, sustainability and thetics.
> Of course, I can imagine that there will be a significant discount even just considering the price of high end branded memory outside Apple.
Apple wanted $3,000 for 160GB of memory for my Mac Pro (i.e. going from a base 32 to 192GB).
OWC sells the same memory (same spec, same manufacturer) now for $620, though I believe I paid about $1,000.
They also wanted another $3,000 for an 8TB SSD. Similarly, I was able to buy a 4xM.2 PCI card, and populate it with 4 x 2TB SSDs for under $1,500. Furthermore my PCI setup is FASTER than the Apple drive (7GBps versus 5.5).
The world has to evolve in a different way than it is currently happening. Which is not impossible but those headset development are not cheap so the monetisation is a very high requirement.
It is a lot easier to use those headset where they naturally fit: ultra-personalised experience. Like social media v2, lot of potential to connect human, but devolving into jailing human in echo chambers: you can keep in touch with your family and friends across the world, or you can get hooked into a forever stream of news/post/video/product customised to make you engage.
VR headset used for games. I can see the social aspect winning. Spacial computing, I'm scared.
The problem is that inevitably the boss will forget his signature one day. Who is going to challenge him? And if he his challenged, how will he take it?
Even in the West, nobody of low seniority challenges the C-level executive when they tailgate or walk around without their badge. And if you are new, if there is an important looking individual you don't recognise, you leave him alone, totally validating the "act as you belong adage".
I was quite annoyed - disappointed too - during security induction (Australian NSA). They explicitly said we should challenge anyone not wearing a badge, but then joked that we should learn the department heads first so we don’t accidentally confront the “wrong” person.
Exactly the wrong message to send, particularly for an agency that’s supposedly an expert on security.
A good example of the challenges of real-life hardening. Anecdotes like this are a valuable addition to any discussion of security I think. I perfectly understand what's wrong about the attitude transferred in the joke, yet I can easily see myself being the person sending that wrong message. Very educational!
This is a thing that already happens in Japan, where physical personal and company seals (inkan) are regularly used for all sorts of documents and transactions that would get signed in the West. But they've evolved protocols to ensure they're secured and stored, which is why this rarely causes problems in real life.
In practice, there is little if any difference between seals and signatures in tems of security.
A signature (or stamp) is easy to fake and get away with for a while. It's very rare that the authenticity of signatures is checked right away. Perhaps even easier than stealing or faking a not-particularly-secured stamp. It only happens when some problem arises and is investigated after the fact. The question is not whether the signature is "authentic enough" but who signed the document. You can aks and answer this question about a seal equally well.
The reason we have signatures (or stamps) is as an explicit ritual signifying ratification of a document that one cannot plausibly deny later.
Decision driven from bad data is IMO worse than data-less decision.
Data grants authority to a decision that gut feel driven one doesn't. It is hard to argue against evidence as it should be, but that assume a certain level of quality in the evidence.
Second, if practice doesn't match the expected outcome, the first thing you will look at is what the team is doing wrong, not review the decision as not working.
That said, parent is far from unique in his skepticism, so I think the problem is more often reversed in the industry. Having some data, even flawed can help your company decide to try something new.
Think of things like "lines of code written" or "bugs closed" as measurements of productivity or quality. These are real things that people have used in real published studies - and any conclusion drawn from them is obviously bogus.
I guess the problem is lead time. You want overspecced because you get one shot every 10-20 years between design, launch windows and the all too present political angle.
Corollary of that is that MVP for library code is very different than MVP for business code.
MVP for business code is a great way to get the tool in front of the users and get traction, request for more work. Once you release your library, desire for changes basically drops to 0.
It's working. If it's clunky, the clunkiness just gets wrapped into a utility class somewhere deep in the belly your client application with about 1 commit change per year to change the copyright notice.
Similarly your corporate leverage falls to 0. You make a library to save people time, congrats you did it. Every update you ask people to do that does not bring new feature they need reduce your value. Good luck justifying a cosmetic change ROI.
I guess that's because they cancel the payment, not the subscription.
If you cancel Netflix that way, Netflix isn't told. They will just realise the payment failed and block your account until you upgrade your payment details.
Apple system cancel the subscription, just like if you go on Netflix account and cancel. The blocking of the payment just happen as a consequence of the subscription to the service being cancelled.
Of course maybe time changed. Like shop returns 20 years ago, it was badly seen to pick load of stuff and bring most of the stuff back. Nowadays shops expect it and during Sales period they will ask you to do it that way rather than jam the few fitting rooms.
A sudden exponential set of improvements that allowed everyone to dream that self-driving anything was around the corner. Actual promising real world result that show we are really no that far.
But the last bridge to cross is actually extremely slow and what was around the corner, becomes a decade away.
That said, it's not fruitless. AI is useful as it is today, and if does not go pick up your kids at school in the next 10 years, it would still be useful.