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Delivering 9 of 10 revolutionary things would, I agree, be amazing.

However...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...

making 31 public predictions about his self-driving cars over 20 years and only being right about one of them is not so clever.


He's still the most successful businessman in history, by far. Pretty good for a loser.

He’s a hype man. Tesla is a meme stock and always has been. There is no objective valuation that Tesla should be valued as highly as it is. The future projected revenue and definitely not the current revenue support it. Sales popped right before the EV credit is going away. But at most that is probably a dead cat bounce.

He essentially invented the electric car industry. E cars before then were impractical and failures.

> There is no objective valuation

Value investing is Warren Buffett's style, which is generally a backwards looking approach. It's not good at predicting transformative technologies. Such was no good at predicting the success of, say, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, etc.


Okay. He invented it. So what? Other companies are selling more and the first mover advantage is moot.

And the other examples you ara giving…

Apple’s valuation went up as it was clear that Apple had a sustainable advantage and was going to see increasing revenues and profits going forward. Where are the companies that invented the modern smart phone?

Microsoft has a sustainable advantage that hasn’t been challenged in over four decades with operating systems, office apps and later cloud services. But their stock was in the doldrums in the 2000s when investors didn’t see a sustainable advantage with increasing revenues

Meta has also been volatile when investors didn’t see a sustainable advantage.

Amazon also has a moat

What does Tesla have?


> What does Tesla have?

It does more than cars. It's in the solar energy business, the grid scale battery business, AI, FSD, robotics, a global network of superchargers, home battery systems, etc.

Tesla shareholders voted to offer him a $1t compensation package over the next decade, provided he meets certain targets.


Yeah - and how are any of those other bets doing? The shareholders only voted for him to keep their meme stock afloat.

Again what is their moat? Waymo is much further along with self driving, they are a very distant also ran in AI and absolutely no company is going to choose them over anyone else, and their supercharging network is more anemic than you think it is in the vast majority if the US let alone the world.

China has shown its very capable when it comes to battery technologies and they have most of the rare earth minerals needed.


In fact, you only have consent. People who don't want to work with you don't have to; everyone who does want to work with you only does so because of mutual consent. Act badly and they will walk away.

I think the fediverse is great but: the specific desire for "more people that you already know coming to the Fediverse" is good; the general desire "more people" is not such a useful goal.

Yeah. Everybody wants "more of the right kind of people", but there are as many interpretations of "the right kind of people" as there are people.

People and interactions between them are just messy. And that's not a thing there can be any tech solutions to.

For me, there are several clear step changes in groups based on size and there closeness of the relationships. A close circle of perhaps up to a dozen or two trustworthy friends is different to that same sized group of less trusted people. As the group size grows, it becomes less possible for the sort if "trusted" status of all group members to exist, and that fundamentally changes things. There's another step change when the group gets big enough that you can't personally know all the members. And another big step change when the group gets big enough that you can't even recognise all the members names (in my head, this is associated with a lot if the postulating about Dunbar's Number, however bad that research really was).


They're privatizing their profits and socializing their losses.

It's not healthy.


Not for special VDEVs, which is the explicit purpose here.


You can mirror a slog... l2arc doesn't need a mirror because the data is already on disk. I believe a split metadata can also be mirrored.


That's correct. I ran a special metadata VDEV 3-way mirror using this NVMe PLX card for a while https://imgur.com/a/xiwzkA6


You can dump any vdev you want in a special. I have 2x 3 way mirrors in both of my nas boxes right now


Culture changes under the impact of technology, but culture also changes when people deliberately teach practices.


These days, I would start with ZFSBootMenu and Debian Stable.

Why ZFS? So that backups are easy, snapshots are cheap, and when the inevitable happens, it takes a few minutes to reboot and roll back.

Why Debian Stable? Because it will continue to work and get security updates for years, without changing out from underneath them without notice.

I would also recommend that any computer for an 8 year old be placed in the living room or a similar easy-to-watch-over place. Kids need guidance; if they didn't, they wouldn't be kids.

Adblocking, obviously. Everyone needs that.


Agree with having the computer very visible in public space like living room. For us this was an additional reason to get a desktop as the first computer, it’s staying put; no sneaky use out of sight as it’s stuck where it is. Laptops can come as they mature.


Historical precedent. They assigned a grad student to write up the notes; he wasn't sure he had got everything, so he titled it an RFC.

At this point, as we close in on 10,000 final-stage documents, it's better to pretend that "RFC" is just a name, not an acronym.


There are two kinds of reliability:

Machine reliability does the same thing the same way every time. If there's an error on some input, it will always make that error on that input, and somebody can investigate it and fix it, and then it will never make that error again.

Human reliability does the job even when there are weird variances or things nobody bothered to check for. If the printer runs out of paper, the human goes to the supply cabinet and gets out paper and if there is no paper the human decides whether to run out right now and buy more paper or postpone the print job until tomorrow; possibly they decide that the printing doesn't need to be done at all, or they go downstairs and use a different printer... Humans make errors but they fix them.

LLMs are not machine reliable and not human reliable.


> . If the printer runs out of paper, the human goes to the supply cabinet and gets out paper and if there is no paper the human decides

Sure, these humans exists, but the others, that I happen to encounter every day unfortunately, are the ones that go into broken mode immediately when something is unexpected. Today I ordered something they ran out of and the girl behind the counter just stared in The Deep not having a clue what to do now. Do or say. Or yesterday at dinner, the PoS (on batteries) ran out of power when I tried to pay for dinner. The guy just walked off and went outside for a smoke. I stood there with waiting to pay. The owner apologized and fixed it after a while but I am saying, the employee who runs out of paper and then finds and puts more paper in is not very ... common... In the real world.


“You get what you pay for” applies in spades to customer-facing staff.


Alignment problem? JK


Or the human might take the printer out back with his buddies and smash it to bits ;)


Sometimes it's the only sane response.


Jellyfin and a domain name with a dynamic DNS update will do that for you, no problem.

In the house: NFS read-only for desktops and laptops; Owntone to send music to Wiim Mini or stereo receivers (Yamaha, Denon, Marantz, Onkyo -- all of them are compatible).

Outside the house, JellyAmp on phones.


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