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The issue is not whether gilts are risk free (they are for any country that controls its own fiat currency). The issue is that 1) they are only risk free if held to maturity and 2) they used this risk free asset as collateral so that they could lever up, and leverage is never risk free.

In order for pensions to meet mandates, central banks forced them to take on ever increasing risks as part of a 15 year period of relentless QE. The end of this story has been foretold by many people over the past decade, but as always the response was "it's different this time". It turns out it wasn't

You can blame the pension managers for taking on excessive risk, but if they didn't then their returns would not have met mandated targets and granny's pension would suffer. Instead blame central banks and electorate which applauded their moves. Most people did not complain as equity markets surged higher for a decade, and borrowing costs dropped to zero on a real basis driving their housing equity higher. Average people gobbled up stimmy checks and even now look to the government to cap utility bills and shield them from the realities of the world.

We have coddled ourselves into thinking that we can only have good times. But that's not how economies and markets work. They are cyclical: boom and bust. We have gotten better at smoothing some things out, but you can't prevent downturns in aggregate, which is what we've tried to do since 2008. All you do is compound the issues in the future, which will eventually come home to roost. This is what is happening now.




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