While I agree this scenario is representative to what is likely to happen if nobody reacts, I don't agree that it must necessarily happen or that is a reason to stay on petrol cars.
The difference between batteries and petrol is that batteries can be reprocessed. The problem is unless we do something (set up regulation) it is likely the unregulated way in which it is going to happen will cost a huge pollution and suffering.
Think in terms of lead and lead-acid batteries specifically. There is a mandated system (at least here in EU) that tries to prevent the components of lead acid batteries to get back into environment. For example, when I want to buy a replacement battery I can't throw the old one in the trash and I am expected to exchange the old one for the new one and pay extra if I want to only buy new one without giving away the old.
Is it too hard to think we can do something like that for the huge card batteries which are much less disposable than the lead acid ones?
I think the issue with this is that politicians have a tendency to think about problems only long after the fact.
For example, in the EU, they've banned some plastic single-use food containers, like straws, etc. The other day I was reading an article in a local French paper about how some organization did a study on the replacement products used and found them to be pretty terrible. Both for the environment and for the human body.
The kicker was that some of those containers were sold as being "bio-degradable" but it turned out they weren't.
Now batteries and similar are a "new" thing, so they probably didn't have enough time to think about this, but selling something as something that it's not, even if we leave aside the whole ecology thing, sounds pretty much like fraud to me. But apparently they're looking into ways of banning these, not taking up the suppliers for fraud.
I think there are roughly three types of legislation: legislation that acts on existing things (and thus is by definition "late"), legislation that anticipates things (and thus "restricts the market") and legislation that tries to cause something to exist (and thus fails if it anticipates improvements that don't materialize).
I would argue banning plastic single-use food containers is a bit of category one and a bit of category three. Of course the replacements are terrible, if the replacements were great then people would already prefer them and we wouldn't need the law. But banning single-use containers creates demand for better alternatives, which incentivizes innovation and the creation of actually good alternatives.
Batteries are very much an old thing. We solved it for walkmans. Non-replaceable batteries are a somewhat new thing that is in need of some legislation to close the gaps.
IMHO, the problem is that the incentives are not aligned towards improvements but merely to follow the letter of the law without considering its spirit. For example, there's a ban on plastic straws here in California, and the workaround Starbucks found for cold drinks was to provide a sippy plastic lid. So the plastic is still very much there (and never mind that the cup itself is still made of plastic). Paper containers aren't necessarily much better either if they're plastic coated (for example pringles canisters are basically unrecyclable even though they are "made with recyclable materials").
By targeting specific low hanging fruits, legislation ensures that the industry finds workarounds that continue to be cheap and environment-unfriendly, but in ways that have too complex details for an average joe to understand _why_ something that is labeled environment-friendly isn't quite so in practice. It's the environment equivalent of overprescribing antibiotics (shortsighted legislations) only to find years later you've inadvertently created superbugs (industries that produce things whose unrecyclability is extremely misleading and resilient to the level of understanding legislators have).
Straws aren't truly banned per se in CA. McDonalds still provide the cardboard ones. Only plastic straws specifically are banned, and only at retail establishments; you can still buy them in packs at the dollar store.
IMHO, a lot of environmental legislation is mostly out-of-touch theatrics with no real impact. See realities of recent recycling center shutdowns and what sort of stuff gets picked up on beach cleanup days.
The other day at Costco (a big box store) I saw some bio-degradable dog bags - advertised as having no plastic!! But, you could only buy them as a pack that included two plastic dispensers to put the bags in..
In the US, members of Congress spend a truly unfathomable amount of time fundraising---as much as six hours a day. There's also just the fact that the issues before Congress are numerous and complicated, and staffing hasn't kept up. In fact research staff were cut significantly back in the 90s.
And the real trouble is that once everyone's gotten (understandably!) cynical about the institution, most of the stuff that would help (more staffing, public financing of campaigns) feels like giving more money to crooks. So we go on this way despite everybody knowing the problem and the solutions being not that complicated, or even very expensive in the grand scheme.
Reminds me of the push in the USA to paint anyone who didn't want to use CFL bulbs as someone who hates the environment, even though the bulbs require special disposal because they release toxic fumes when they break. Now a few years later, they're telling everyone to start using LED bulbs since the CFL bulbs are bad for the environment as well.
CFL bulbs are fine; put the dead ones in a box then take the box to the hardware store once every 3 years when it fills up.
CFL bulbs are fine; they last years and they don't heat up your house like crazy.
LED bulbs are better in every way, but didn't exist 20 years ago and CFL did.
Perhaps you like to kvetch and grouse about small inconveniences; the world is not and never was a perfect place. Most of us just take the pebbles out of our shoes and move on rather than whinge on about how shoes back in the day didn't have rocks in them.
>CFL bulbs are fine; they last years and they don't heat up your house like crazy.
>LED bulbs are better in every way, but didn't exist 20 years ago and CFL did.
Correct from political and marketing perspective, but not from consumer perspective.
Integrated CFLs contain the tube and ballast in a single unit. The tubes will last very long time, the ballasts will fail quite frequently, more often than incandescent.
Same with LED bulbs. The LED itself will last very long time, but the electronics driving it will fail much sooner than CFL ballasts.
So, yes, CFL and LED will last longer if we want to be pedantic on naming, but to the consumer it means nothing. Will the new CFL or LED bulbs that I screw in last longer than my old light-bulbs?
Absolutely not my experience. CFL bulbs suck. They take time to reach full brightness so they are unsuitable for bathrooms and closets or anywhere you normally don't have the light on for very long.
They cost orders of magnitude more than incandescent bulbs. I used to get incandescents 4/$1.00 on sale.
They don't last a lot longer. I haven't kept stats, but it feels like I am still replacing bulbs about as often as I ever did.
They contain mercury and need to be disposed of as hazardous waste. And if you break one, now you have mercury in your house.
LED bulbs don't seem to have the "warm up" period that CFSs need to achieve maximum brightness, but you have to be carful about buying the right color temperature because most of them are very harsh bright blue/white. Again I am replacing them routinely. Maybe in theory they should last a lot longer but in practice they seem to be made of minimally adequate components that don't hold up. And they cost even more than CFLs. I just paid $16 for four LED bulbs for the bathroom. Incandescents would have cost me a few dollars.
The only advantage of these bulbs is the reduced electrical usage. But how long will it take to save $16 on my bathroom bulbs? $16 at KWh/$0.15 buys me 106KWh. Assuming the old incandescents would draw 240W, thats 440 hours of operation. My bathroom lights are on maybe 30 minutes/day? So roughly 2.5 years later the LEDs come out ahead, and by then I am needing to replace at least one or two of them in my experience.
Well, first of all, CFL bulbs are as dead as Prince. You probably shouldn't be buying them unless you've got a very specific kind of nostalgia. It's also been almost 30 years since I could buy a cup of coffee for $0.05.
It's been my experience that in general LED bulbs last way longer than the CFL / Incandescent bulbs they're replacing. There have been some cheapo CFL / LED bulbs that didn't last very long, but that was also the case for incandescent bulbs as well (cough $0.25 bulbs). There's always been cheap junk in the world, some of it is packaged to look the same as quality products.
Yes, it is slightly tedious to match color temperatures, but that was the case with incandescent bulbs as well. It is also slightly tedious to find bulbs that are compatible with dimmers.
On the whole, though, these new bulbs are far better than the things they're replacing, and eventually even you will come to use them without noticing.
I’ve used hue bulbs for 5+ years now and haven’t had a single one burn out yet. Granted I got them for the smart capabilities but they sure seem to last a very long time.
Fuel cell cars are not a reasonable proposition for automobiles.
Any way to get hydrogen can generate electricity, usually more efficiently.
Electricity is easier to generate, distribute, and store than hydrogen.
Fuel cell cars also need batteries because they're not able to deliver large bursts of energy.
Maybe hydrogen / fuel cells might be better for very large mobile applications (ships / trucks / trains) but that's an open question.
They're no a reasonable alternative to BEVs. If anything, hybrid cars are the CFL, having all the drawbacks of both modes and few of the advantages of either (the ability to refuel quickly from anywhere with gas stations is the sole selling point, and it is a big one).
That's just pure delusion. Hydrogen is much easier to distribute and store than electricity. So much so we're talking about creating hydrogen as a way to generate electricity.
Unless you think BEVs are the "final car," and there are no fundamental future advancements to ever be made, something like fuel cell cars are going to happen.
> CFL bulbs are fine; put the dead ones in a box then take the box to the hardware store once every 3 years when it fills up.
So you live with a box filled with fragile glass tubes with mercury in them that you keep putting more glass tubes with mercury in for three years? When you take them to the hardware store, do you double bag them to keep the mercury from leaking when the tubes inevitably shatter against all of the other bulbs? Is that mercury ever recovered in "recycling", or does it just poison a land fill for the next thousand years?
> CFL bulbs are fine; they last years and they don't heat up your house like crazy.
Please tell that to my IKEA and other CFLs that were lucky to last one year. And a properly made incandescent can last many years as well. In fact, when I was a kid, my family restored a 200+ year old home that had a very, very old bulb in it (it was large and looked like an old Edison bulb -- it was bigger than my fist) that still worked great -- it was nice and bright and probably on the order of 150 watts. It was probably from the 1940's, because there were old magazines from the 1940's stacked underneath it. (Great old mags like Popular Mechanics that had ads for "Buy U.S. War Bonds" in them).
CFL's used to (and still) cost a lot more than incandescents. Four to ten times as much when the mandate was introduced, and they were almost as unreliable as cheap incandescents, and produced a horribly cold blue light.
For incandescent bulbs, yes, the heat issue is an issue, and the fact that they're much, much less efficient, but they didn't contain dangerous metals or present a serious environmental hazard when they were disposed of.
LED bulbs did actually exist 20 years ago; in 2000, a friend gave me one (I tried it out and was decidedly not impressed), and I saw them in Fry's for $25+ dollars in 2000 dollars. They were not very bright and had some real issues (and big heat sinks, interestingly enough).
But I miss incandescent bulbs, and believe that the market would have moved us over to LED's soon enough. I would have chosen LED's now over most incandescents, but I'd still prefer incandescents for a few types of uses.
The irony is that the really inefficient incandescent bulbs -- bright and hot halogens -- were not banned; only the run of the mill $1 bulbs (in fact, literally, you could buy a 4 pack of Sylvanias in the dollar store, because that's how I bought bulbs in college).
That's the problem with these mandates: they just harm the poor people, because people who create these mandates are definitely not poor and don't really care -- but these technocrats know better, because of some future energy emergency that never materialized. The CA blackouts wouldn't have been close to mitigated by everyone switching over to CFLs, but it probably helped corporate interests and whoever manufactured all those CFLs clogging up landfills.
And now we have at least a century's worth of oil just in shale that wasn't even accessible 25 years ago, and the sea levels never rose in 2014 as Al Gore so confidently predicted. (I wonder if he bought property in Miami after the prices dropped!) Is this push toward electric cars just another greenhouse warming, ozone depleting, nuclear winter, DDT-thins-bird-eggs proto-catastrophe? We don't know, but it seems clear that the science on macro-events is settled only in hind-sight. Personally, I think we should ban volcanic emissions.
Regarding the box of dead CFL tubes:
Put them into the box and put the box back on a shelf. Do so with some care, and don't store a hammer on top of them. Perhaps you put the dead CFL into the container with the replacement blulb came with. Don't sit on the box. Maybe take a piece of paper and put that between this bulb and the next. Again, don't store rocks or hammers with the old bulbs. When taking it to the hardware store, put it in a paper bag and put it in the trunk. Don't sit on it, put an empty propane tank on it, or put it under your kid's car seat. Use common sense.
I agree, some CFL bulbs, and some LED bubls, and some incandescent bulbs fail well before their rated lifespan. Some companies put sawdust or melamine in baby formula. The world isn't a perfect place. There are some incandescent bulbs that have lasted 100 years. Regardless, in general, LEDs and CFL last longer. Whataboutism isn't really a good faith argument.
CFLs (and hey, why are we talking about CFL? You should be buying LED) are somewhat more expensive, but I've been able to buy replacements (that have lasted years at this point) for roughly the same price as quality incandescent.
problem is in the US the people would still be talking about this old stuff as proof that you cannot trust whomever (similar to how the example of Fauci having "lied" about masks is STILL brought up 1 year later) instead of using nuance and arguing in good faith. The only way forward is through an iterative process with good-faith actors where the interests of the collective are put forward instead of the profitability of the few. But it's a long way to get there.
For personal use yes, for professional use the "tax" is either absent or doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things. Considering I have plenty of "disposed" used UPS batteries laying around I'm pretty sure companies don't care. (This is in the EU)
If that was the case, the regulation would not be needed. But before regulation a lot of car batteries would end up in land fill and are now leeching into water veins.
I'm not sure of the numbers on that, but even if so, it's much easier to mandate the recycling of a product that has net value at the end of its life. Currently, lithium batteries do not. If you are waiting on a rising cost in raw materials to make it viable, then battery packs will become correspondingly even more expensive.
Edit: It might also be an effect, that recycling mandates had to be introduced, becase lead-handling mandates had dissuaded anyone from recycling them. Not that I'm aruging against lead-handling mandates, it's a pretty nasty material.
Even before a lot regulations around car batteries had a pretty high recycling rate. It's a lot metal to just throw away. However, even being the minority of occurrences one battery is a lot lead (a heavy metal) so it does not take very much to start being a concern.
>Is it too hard to think we can do something like that for the huge card batteries which are much less disposable than the lead acid ones?
Who is we? I don't remember being able to vote for any politicians that are interested in this sort of thing.
Hydrogen cell cars are probably the best option for the future. It's very abundant naturally and its byproduct is H2O. We have to figure out how to mass produce it though.
> Hydrogen
> We have to figure out how to mass produce it though.
Many renewable sources (mainly solar, wind) are only intermittently producing, therefore we need to store energy produced during over-producing periods.
Democracy is very slow and inefficient system. It's just that up until now we haven't figured out any better solution.
Democracy works on fixing the problems over time. It means usually there is a delay between a problem and a fix. At any point in time you will see a lot of problem, but that doesn't mean that democracy doesn't work.
Think about Jira. If every project has a lot of issues in Jira, does it means they are all shit and need to be scrapped? Do you think whining about the number of issues is going to help?
A hammer is a tool. A democratic process is a tool.
It's always weird to me to hear people talk about "democracy" as an abstract moral philosophy or a system of government. It sounds to me like people talking about "hammerism" or something, like the Builder faction from the Thief series.
There are many, many faults of democratic methods. But, let it be succinctly said: human beings are easily manipulated on short time scales. Anything left to a decision of the "majority of the people" is easily influenced by propogandists. In a system that is based entirely on the tool of democracy, power is accumulated by those most adept at manipulation.
A robust system of government that protects liberty, dignity, and enables people to improve their quality of life, will include democratic processes, which are useful, but will also need to employ a variety of other governmental and moral decision making tools.
People love to roll out this popular criticism of democracy but there is very little actual evidence to support it. It can be quite a bit more expensive and much more visible when you have to influence a large number of people than to influence a small group of stakeholders. There's a reason why lobbying is such a huge part of american politics.
Even more to the point both historical and contemporary evidence indicates that power and influence spread more evenly across a countries citizens is strongly correlated to overall quality of life.
>I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2) for now thanks.
I bet that's the exact reason why you drive that exact car. Because of course the coolant, oil, acid batteries, etc. your car uses is disposed of correctly, or one of the hundreds of parts that needs replacing every X amount of time in an ICE. Never mind the waste that oil production itself causes.
New modes of transportation and energy generation will not be 100% clean and waste free, I think it would be naive to think we could actually do that. But they can be steps in the right direction.
If your cynical assumption is that we can't do it right anyway, why do you even pretend that driving your old car is somehow better? If we won't dispose of lithium batteries properly, we won't dispose of all the things your old car produces either.
Also, IC cars leak chemicals like oil and gasoline into the environment. If the diesel engine is out of tune it may also not be burning as efficiently as expected.
Old oil is processed and re-used (as cheaper oil, or for heating). Lead-acid batteries have practically all of the lead re-used. I'm not sure where the acid itself, nor coolant, goes, but they're not the most damaging of pollutants.
>one of the hundreds of parts that needs replacing every X amount of time in an ICE
Yep, it's usually one of the electronic parts, which is why I have no faith that EVs will be significantly more reliable.
> Old oil is processed and re-used (as cheaper oil, or for heating)
Or illegally dumped if we follow OPs cynical reasoning.
> it's usually one of the electronic parts
I didn't know tubes, gaskets, seals, clutches, oil filters, spark plugs, fuel pumps, radiators, alternators were electronic parts.
I am not claiming EVs are perfect but to propose classical ICE vehicles are somehow much better simply does not make any sense. To exist as a modern human is to have an impact on your environment.
Those are all relatively inert parts, and scrap steel and aluminium is relatively easily extracted.
I didn't set out to argue that ICE vehicles are much better (although, honestly, I think it might be a defensible position), but the waste products from an end-of-life EV are significantly more damaging than those from an ICE.
I think you are resting your argument on the assumption that a large lithium battery pack is a damaging thing then. I would then ask if there is any evidence behind this assumption.
The contents of said battery pack? I suppose they are relatively inert, if you just dumped it into landfill. But then that's still much worse than ICE engines, which can be very easily recycled.
I know lots of people with EVs, and never heard of a problem related to the EV drivetrain. It does happen, but most problems by far seem to be related to things other than the drivetrain.
I've had a problem with 12V lead acid battery going dead too soon due to the ECU causing vampire drain, replaced on warranty though. Not related to EV drivetrain of course.
For the particular EV I have, I've heard of problems with the gearbox, due to the parking break being implemented in the gearbox. That's a design left over from ICE version of the car, most (all?) new EV models don't have that.
All indications I've seen so far is that EVs drivetrains are more reliable. And we have 10 year old EVs on the road now. Cars are getting more complex in general, so there may be lots of other things that can break. But it's the same with ICE cars, you just get all the extra parts needed for an ICE engine in addition. If I look up most commonly replaced car parts, around half are ICE-only. And break pads needs more frequent replacement on ICE cars.
>> or one of the hundreds of parts that needs replacing every X amount of time in an ICE
Have you owned a modern ICE engine? I can count on one hand the number of parts that my three Honda engines have needed in the last 15 years (1 car, 1 motorcycle, 1 generator). Electric engines in realworld cars need replacement at basically the same or greater rates. Those parts are made out of the same materials (rubber+metal+plastic+ceramics+lubricants) as in electric cars. As for batteries, my three hondas have very recyclable lead-acid batteries that people will pay me good money for once they die. They will never see a landfill.
> Those parts are made out of the same materials (rubber+metal+plastic+ceramics+lubricants) as in electric cars.
Most electric motors have none of those materials except metal. Most are induction motors with few to no moving parts internally, and those that do have moving parts don't need them lubricated because they are in naturally low friction arrangements. (Versus pistons that have to be as tightly fitted to chamber walls as possible for the most power in an ICE.) Most EVs you can expect the motors may outlast the plastics in the dashboards.
As for batteries, Lithium is easily recycled today. We don't have a lot of Lithium Ion battery recycling plants today because of economies of scale. There haven't been enough EVs for long enough today to have big needs to recycle their batteries. Most of the oldest EV batteries are still on the road. So far EV battery life has well exceeded expectations, across the board.
>> motors may outlast the plastics in the dashboards.
Go to any automotive recycling facility. The cylinders are fine. IC engines regularly outlast dashboards. Modern cars get recycled when their electrical systems fail in a manner that is more expensive to fix than the car is worth. Those electrical systems (alternators, rectifiers, engine control systems) are not very much different than those in electric cars.
Take a look at any tesla teardown. The difference in part number/complexity between them and an IC car are superficial at best. They even have similar liquid coolant loops, with pumps that seem to fail more often than nearly identical pumps on IC cars.
>>we won't dispose of all the things your old car produces either.
Which is exactly the point - we are already not properly disposing of things in the proper way (the 10 year old with a rock example), so what makes anyone think that it will be any different going forward? Why would anyone assume that corporations or government will do any better disposing of these 'new' things, when we have had 50-75 years to figure out how to safely dispose of the 'old' things and have so far failed; they end up being shipped overseas, so we pollute someone else's backyard, not our own.
What's the incentive to improve on the status quo? The infrastructure is established, the costs are low. Improving requires quite a few up-front investments and overall higher operating costs.
It's hard to convince modern companies (i.e. those who focus on profit above all else) to take such hits against their market value.
Not really. Batteries like AAA are already being recycled because it makes economical sense. In fact thieves steal it and need vigilance.
You are confused with "electrical components" that are mostly plastic, very hard to disassemble and not worth it economically.
A Tesla battery cost over $6000. Materials like Cobalt or Lithium are worth a lot in a concentrated form, much easier than extracting it from the mine. As technology improves, the metals in those batteries are worth more.
So what is going to happen is:
Short term: people will use their old car batteries for electrical network support.
Medium term: Governments are going to require recycling protocols like they already do with ICEs cars.
Long term: Companies will develop protocols to recycle it. A battery is the same thing repeated hundreds of times. The individual cells are standardized,and platforms will be shared between different manufacturers, that makes it way easier to recycle.
I was recently quite disillusioned about that by the series "The Vuilnisman" (The Garbage Man) in The Netherlands, where point for point the entire responsible waste disposal and recycling was shown to be mostly a paper reality. For instance numerous tricks exist to label trash as building material and it can be dumped anywhere for a good profit. If only we knew.
“Wind turbine blades at the end of their operational life are landfill-safe, unlike the waste from some other energy sources, and represent a small fraction of overall U.S. municipal solid waste,” according to an emailed statement from the group. It pointed to an Electric Power Research Institute study that estimates all blade waste through 2050 would equal roughly .015% of all the municipal solid waste going to landfills in 2015 alone.
Yes, this is considered a problem, but not a disaster.
As wind blades multiply and start to age out, this is already being worked on very strongly in the composites industry, and there are major breakthroughs[e.g., 1,2]. This should not be a disaster in the future
TL;DR: It appears Vestas is partnering up with another company to bring to market a process to break down the epoxy resins that bind the fiberglass in the blades. The resulting base chemicals are useful for the production of further resins and new windmill blades. This process could be useful in other industries.
This is a laudable and reasonable small scale approach to personal transportation.
There are certainly enough old diesels out there and enough people willing to go around collecting old oil to keep a small number of people occupied and mobile.
It is also not really a viable large scale solution to "how do you move people around?"
There are lots of really good answers (walking, public transit, electric bicycles) but one obvious answer is "cars" and electrifying those is probably a good solution.
Electricity can be generated from fossil fuels more efficiently at large scales than small (a power plant produces less CO2 than a car for a given amount of work). Electricity can also be generated by extracting "free" energy from the environment (wind / solar / hydro / dogs on treadmills). The distribution system for electricity is already quite robust and is already everywhere, and people like cars. There's even lots of inexpensive electricity available at night, when most people aren't driving their cars. All we need is a way to get the power to the cars that park where people don't own the parking space.
Disposing of the waste stream of parts of the cars has always been a problem. Hopefully people come up with a way to solve it; there's enough valuable metal in a car battery that it is likely they will.
There are already all sorts of terrifying industrial processes which I can't imagine are possibly cost effective and yet they're the foundation of modern society. There are also all sorts of hideous "farm out the cost to someone else" processes relying on destroying somewhere else / poisoning someone else.
People refine gasoline by boiling crude oil in a rusting metal tank; people refine gasoline in trillion dollar oil refineries. Why and where and for who answers how it gets done.
Can one cost-effectively convert refined materials in a battery (cobalt / nickle / lithium) back into raw inputs for a new battery? Can it be done profitably by a child in a toxic fire pit or can it be done profitably by a chilled shredder in inert gas?
Not a simple problem, but probably one that can partially be solved with market incentives and partially solved by laws and partially it won't get solved. But we should probably try, right?
> It is also not really a viable large scale solution to "how do you move people around?"
Not every solution needs to be large scale to be usefull. I think biofuels should be promoted and used as much as possible (obviously within the limits where it makes sense ecologically speaking, e.g. not destroying ecosystems to plant more biofuel crops or burning coal to synthetize (m)ethanol). Both the idea that EVs are suited for every purpose and that they'll quickly take over the entire ICE car pool are ludicrous. Where EVs can not / not yet be used it makes perfect sense to use alternative fuel sources.
Unless I drive to a specific gas station to get 100% recycled fuel, the normal diesel only has 10-20% such products, and likely less in summer.
It's not nothing and certainly better than just a few years ago, but it's still not exactly like a significant fraction of diesels use a significant fraction of vegetable oil.
Whereas extra CO2 in the atmosphere is fine? Or do you mean that it's easier to sequester the CO2 than to get children to stop pounding things containing lithium?
> Or do you mean that it's easier to sequester the CO2 than to get children to stop pounding things containing lithium?
The claim that electric cars are good for the environment is a lie. They are not "good", they are not even "neutral". They are "bad".
People that really care about the environment ride a bike. They don't buy an electric car and try to justify the currently unknown long term environmental consequences of their purchase as somehow being better than the known consequences of gasoline and diesel cars.
Today we just ship car batteries oversees to be scrapped for parts in the cheapest possible way by children. That doesn't sound good to me at all.
>>The claim that electric cars are good for the environment is a lie. They are not "good", they are not even "neutral". They are "bad".
So....exactly like normal cars then? Buying a brand new car is bad for the environment, full stop, ICE or EV.
The statement above makes sense if taken in isolation - take an existing ICE car and an existing EV car - the EV car is undoubtedly better for the environment, there is no discussion. But it would also be a lot better if neither existed, as manufacturing new cars is EXTREMELY wasteful and produces incredible amounts of CO2 debt, again, EV or not.
>>oday we just ship car batteries oversees to be scrapped for parts in the cheapest possible way by children.
As opposed to stripping out electronics and precious metals from ICE cars, which is only ever done by well
regulated workers in rich western countries, right? /s
Like, come on - I get your point. Shitty "recycling" practices exist. That doesn't mean that's the standard or the default, and it definitely can be fixed going forward. We aren't destined or doomed to only recycle our lithium batteries with 10 year old children with rocks, and for some reason you're framing it as if that's the only available method.
Its been claimed that riding a bike is the worst thing you can do for the environment. The fuel for a human is the most ecologically disastrous fuel we make. Billions of acres clearcut; chemicals in the soil and air; CO2 by the gigaton. No, increasing human output has the largest impact on CO2 we could create.
I think it's a clever point, but it falls flat for me on closer inspection because:
#1: The whole point of preserving the environment is to keep it inhabitable for humans. Fueling humans is non-negotiable up to at least a baseline level of survival, and still desirable beyond that level because we like being well fed.
and
#2: Due to that whole "we like being well fed" thing, most humans in the first world -- the part of the world where people worry about things like whether biking to work is good or bad for the environment -- are already overfueled. We have a surplus of human fuel that we're consuming anyway because it feels good. Might as well burn some of it off on transportation.
I live in one of the few places in the US that has the geography and density to make bike commuting one of the fastest and most efficient ways to get around. I would gladly ride a bike almost everywhere if it were safer.
I don't, because I don't feel like putting my life at risk on a regular basis just to get where I need to go.
There's a reason that bike ridership skyrockets when useful protected bike infrastructure gets installed. The demand is there.
Is the energy required to ride a bike somehow free? How do you ride a bike for hundreds of kilometers?
> People that really care about the environment ride a bike. They don't buy an electric car and try to justify the currently unknown long term environmental consequences of their purchase as somehow being better than the known consequences of gasoline and diesel cars.
This is so much false dichotomy that I'm having trouble assuming good faith.
>How do you ride a bike for hundreds of kilometers?
In many parts of the world, you would take a train or other forms of public transport to travel distances too far to ride by bike. Those often have last-mile problems when the train doesn't go quite where you need it to, but given sufficient density at the source/destination bikes are an effective solution to the last-mile problem.
Of course, in the US, we typically have sprawl at the source/destination, unsafe infrastructure for bicycling, and often not-very-useful public transport, which does rather limit this option.
Humans require exercise to maintain good health. The energy required to ride a bike replaces energy that would otherwise be wasted on exercise equipment in a gym.
If it's too far to ride then a taxi (ideally, an electric vehicle) is a reasonable option. It's even reasonable to stop where you are and switch to a taxi. I don't know if it's possible with Uber or similar, but with traditional taxi operators you can call them and arrange for them to carry the bicycle too. The front wheel will have a quick release mechanism, and you can put down some sheeting to protect the interior of the taxi from grease/oil, or they might have an exterior bicycle carrier frame. But this will only be a minority of journeys.
Myself, I ride my bike to work and back (about 25 mins each way) and around the local area, otherwise I use the excellent public transport in my city (mostly electric-powered trains and occasionally electric/hybrid buses). If I need to go out-of-city, I use mostly-electric trains.
Lithium mining is an issue and can be improved. Lithium on its own ending up in the rivers and sea when it is a valuable commodity? How is that going to happen?
Only if there were waste streams of lithium of comparable scale, which there are not.
We are enormously expanding our use of lithium, and the biggest problem for the places that are currently trying to recycle lithium batteries is that there aren't enough of them to recycle. A big source of their current batteries are just the defects from the current manufacturing process.
> Battery powered cars are going to be the next disaster, after the fibre glass disposal scandal of wind farms.
> I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2) for now thanks.
Why are you framing this as being a particular problem for electric cars and wind farms? It sounds like a problem that encompasses all of global trade, manufacturing and modern technology.
>It sounds like a problem that encompasses all of global trade, manufacturing and modern technology.
It is, which is why it is absurd on its face that supposedly more "sustainable" solutions to transport and electricity generation increase all three of those.
It is absurd on its face to have developing countries burn oil and (usually low-grade) coal to manufacture huge battery packs (and all the other electronic items that our Western lives dictate), all so we can claim we live CO2-neutral lives.
You might be right, but EVs are not the solution. The solution is realising that we just can't use so much energy.
Actually, EVs are (at least part of) a solution. Electric motors are more efficient than internal combustion engines, and even more efficient if you also count all the oil extraction, processing and transport.
Of course we need to move from burning coal too, but EVs are absolutely part of that.
From a well-to-wheels standpoint, EVs are barely more efficient when you take into account power generation, transmission, and storage losses.
Obviously, we want our EVs powered from renewable energy. In that case, unless we go nuclear, in my opinion energy will become that much more expensive that using it to transport ourselves in massive, heavy wheeled metal boxes will be out of the question.
I'm sure you'll object to this, so I'll start by pointing out that most of our "renewable" energy sources are made in China using brown coal and awful working conditions.
I'm not sure which part of my previous comment you are actually objecting to. Your article also ignores the manufacturing energy cost of an EV, which is considerable.
88 mpg equivalent for an EV, that requires a huge amount of extra mineral resources and manufacturing energy, is not good enough when the average clapped-out diesel family car here in the UK gets around 60mpg. As I said, they are barely more efficient overall.
Do fiberglass degrade to a point it can't be recycled? We already use it for multiple things, from boats to PCBs, so there would be quite a big market. Any reasons why it shouldn't or couldn't be recycled?
Perhaps a better maxim is: wind turbine blades should be recycled if and only if it is better for the environment to do so.
It is not clear why it would be better to recycle them. Breaking things down for recycling costs a lot of energy, sometimes more than obtaining new materials and making the thing from scratch.
No, we got those problems because we didn't evaluate the environmental costs of these technologies, or ignored the people who did evaluate them.
What is the environmental cost of burying fiberglass wind turbine blades versus recycling them?
What is the environmental cost of not building these wind turbines right now, as fast as we possible can, and stopping the extraction of fossil fuels as fast as we possibly can? Extremely real, the extinction of hundreds of thousands of species, massive disruption to all habitats, including those of us humans.
We have a narrow path to averting the worst effects of climate change. The worst threat to actually enacting change is the sort of false concern that keeps us on our present course driving off the cliff.
Not in the EU. The Batteries Regulation signed the December 10th 2020 aims to ensure that batteries placed in the EU market are sustainable and safe throughout their entire life cycle.
but - regulation should make the good thing easy: battery construction rules must require ease of recycling and recycling itself should be the easy default option in practice, not just on paper. it can be done. no profit for the mafia left in that case.
People are aware of this bit it doesn't fit in the narrative for ev Akkus.
Those are not broke after 5-10 year of usage. Small cells might be broken but replaceable and if not used for cars we still can and will use them for power storage.
exactly that. politicians and visionaries with big ideas about green future are one side of the story the other is the implementation and how it works in practice.
thrash tends to conveniently vanish into the 3rd world or east europe, where it gets burned or poisons the environment.
I don’t think your carbon footprint math is right. Every liter of diesel burnt produces about 2.35Kg (a gallon produces about 20lbs) of CO2. This would imply your diesel gets 30km/liter or 70mpg which seems awfully high. Audi’s current, most efficient (US) models are less than half that. You might also care about NOx, SOx, and particulates as well. The diesel is an utter failure as far as particulates go.
It could be an A2 3L, which shares the drivetrain etc. with the VW Lupo 3L, so named because it used just 3L of diesel per 100km (under ideal conditions, of course).
I don't know of any current Audis with similar repeatable fuel economy.
> I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2) for now thanks.
I did not have a point of reference to see in what sense this is efficient or not, so I checked how much CO2 humans exhale. It turns out your car emits about as much as 2 humans exhale.
Here's the math:
- car: on average people drive about 10000 kilometers/year in the UK [1], so if you drive like an average person in the UK, your car puts out 790 kg of CO2 in a year
- humans: on average people exhale about 2.3 pounds of CO2 per day [2]. That makes about 762 kg/year for 2 people
Not necessarily comparable for purposes of global heating effect (not sure if that's what you're doing or not).
The CO2 that a human exhales is from the carbon in the food they consume. That carbon ultimately comes (whether indirectly via animals or not) from plants, which drew that CO2 out of the air directly, typically at most a few years prior. The net change in CO2 concentration is zero.
Contrast this to burning fossil fuels which moves carbon from places where it is not enhancing the greenhouse effect (e.g. it's in coal, gas wells or crude oil) into the atmosphere where it will cause global heating - a net increase in CO2 concentration.
As a side note, methane produced by livestock or food waste does still have a global heating effect as CH4 is a more "potent" greenhouse gas than CO2, so there is a net increase in heating potential due to this conversion.
What you should not forget is, that CO2 isn't the only gas emitted by diesel cars.
Gases and dust, that are a serious health hazard en masse in cities.
Also I doubt that the 79g/100km is the full number, that includes drilling for, refining and transporting that diesel to your car, before you can burn it there.
And btw., those kids in africa are poisening themself with ICE car parts too.
So I don't think anyone said, we should all wreck our ice cars today and go all electric immediately. That clearly makes no sense ressource wise.
But in the long run, yes. I want noise, smoke, fumes and dust free cities as soon as possible, along with a somewhat stable and intact environment. You have to start somewhere.
In cities we should be encouraging e-bikes more in my opinion. They take up much less space than cars, are quieter, cheaper, and healthier. Even electric cars make almost the same amount of noise at speed as ICE cars and still emit dust from breaking down tires.
For humans to breathe out CO2, they must eat animals or plants. Animals also eat plants. Plants obtain carbon from the atmosphere by capturing CO2.
Of course I am ignoring CO2 emissions caused by industrial agriculture and those should not be understated but breathing alone doesn't contribute any net CO2, it's the industrial process that does it.
>>I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2)
The thing is, we realized some time ago that CO2 emissions are not all that matters in a car, and your diesel is spewing very harmful NOx emissions whever you drive, plus if you haven't got a DPF(I don't know how old your car is) the amount of fine particulate matter that is proven to be dangerous to health is quite high as well.
> Battery powered cars are going to be the next disaster, after the fibre glass disposal scandal of wind farms.
Serious question: What is the fibre glass disposal scandal of wind farms? I googled for it and I didn't find it.
There's currently no way to recycle these, ok. They usually end up in landfills or incinerators. It's not ideal and we can hope that better technologies will come up in the future. But that's not really what I'd call a scandal.
Surely it would be as bad that there are countless boat hulls, kayaks, canoes, surf boards, childrens playgrounds, car aero, outdoor furniture ... you get the picture. Windfarms are hardly the source of the most fibreglass and it is at least relatively inert as waste.
No green energy is truly green or perfect, but we aren't aiming for perfect we just want better.
Because we are approaching a cliff when a lot of 1st and 2nd generation wind turbines are about to be decommissioned or refurbished.
Note: this is for Scotland.
Its bad enough a single wind turbine blade requiring a convoy escort along small winding roads for installation. Now they have to do the same and dispose them.
The cost is going to have to be paid somewhere, most likely by consumers.
Or they will be disposed off cheaply in a bad way.
Why wouldn't they cut the blade up in situ for transportation at the end of its working life? Seems better than having huge convoys to take them away for recycling.
Yes and instead of employing ten year olds we get to transact with all the famously ethical and benevolent regimes that control most of the global oil supply ;)
>I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2) for now thanks.
Diesel vehicles emit a lot more NO2, as well as particulates that damage the lungs. Sure, it's less CO2 than gasoline cars, but is it worth it for urban air quality?
> 4. Crushed and pounded with a rock by a 10 year old child, then burned in a rudimentary smelter to separate metals from plastics.
I'm certainly no mechanical engineering or robotics expert, but based on watching a bazillion episodes of "How It's Made", "Modern Marvels", and similar shows, I'm 99.9% sure a machine could be designed and built that can do this step cheaper and faster than a 10 year old child can.
The machine would have a higher up front cost than getting a kid from a poor country to do it so might not be economical if the amount of waste is below a certain amount but that's only a temporary situation.
Similar company in this space, very promising, saw it in action and it's quite simple in essence but very scalable because of that. https://www.relectrify.com/
I get that this is a problem, but comparing it to oil as being the better alternative is not convincing: oil have been at the center of terrible wars, corruptions and ecological disasters for decades. Entire populations have been displaced, robbed, poisoned, conned and/or killed for oil. Let's not pretend it comes with less suffering attached, not to mention we had almost a century to improve the process, and we are comparing it to electrical cars, something that had been barely marketable to the public for 10 years.
And this is why we need a carbon tax. This “very efficient Audi” driver is also freely polluting without paying for it. There’s no reason why we should allow people to freely dump stuff into the air any more than dumping stuff on the ground should be freely allowed.
It seems rather inefficient for the batteries to be shipped overseas and for their materials to be extracted by 10 year olds, rather than to just have the batteries be recycled in the country where they are used.
Because it's cheaper to have them shipped to a third world country, where there is little to no environmental regulation and worker protection, then the alternative.
Cars aren't consumer electronics. Ordinary people don't just throw them away—they are usually traded-in to dealers—and most companies don't have big fleets that get replaced every few years, like companies replace their computer systems and other devices.
Car parts are overall more expensive, and installation, replacement and even disposal happens through specialized entities, typically. Most maintenance work is done by manufacturers or dealers themselves.
In other words, it's not inevitable that car battery systems would necessarily be sent overseas the same way that consumer electronics are when they reach end of life. With lower volume and more centralization, regulation will be easier to implement and enforce. And the economics may also make it cheaper for initial recycling to be situated in the originating country as well, given that the parts are more valuable and given the economies of scale that emerge from centralized reclamation networks.
Already in the US there is a healthy industry of third-party businesses that will replace hybrid car batteries and reclaim the old systems for refurbishment. Most of the reclaimed systems are refurbished and re-used.
There's no reason to think that with proper regulation and standardization an efficient & environmentally-safe reclamation market cannot emerge in first-world countries, preventing car battery waste from spilling over to third-world countries.
And how do similar components of your car get disposed of? What do you think is going to happen to its catalytic converter, for instance?
That you mention wind turbine blades leads me to think that this is less about being ethically conscious, and more about having a ciltural axe to grind against 'green' tech.
Keeping your car much longer is actually a good idea : the more you keep it the less likely you'll buy another one. Not buying a car looks like the best solution to me.
Also the pollution that is created to make the batteries and also to generate the additional electricity demand on coal power plants to charge all the cars.
Auto makers are just selling the feeling of doing something good for the environment to consumers because that’s what is in vogue.
Unfortunately, not a lot of people know about the fibre glass disposal scandal of wind farms. And even fewer people will know about batteries.
I did some napkin math with a friend of mine over coffee and we concluded that just by being brough into existence and to the showroom floor a BMW i3 is equivalent from a pollution point of view to my diesel Ford having done 200.000 miles (I'm nowhere near that).
But people buy electric vehicles in droves since they're government subsidized and what not - albeit this is another bait and switch, it's not forever and charging isn't free either, plus quality overall is quite lacking, not to mention the OTA updates and potential data mining coming from these cars being oversized smartphones with wheels.
I dread the moment governments will up and force everybody to give up their old but reliable and not really hardcore polluting cars - a petrol/diesel vehicle doesn't do anything when it's off even if it's been like that for 20-30 years, an electric car may require to be always plugged in, trickle charging to keep the battery fed so in the winter you don't go to your garage and find out your range is actually 1/2 of what was expected. Not to mention nobody actually knows how long electric vehicles really last, whilst it's not uncommon for people having had the same ICE car for 30+ years.
> ... we concluded that just by being brough into existence and to the showroom floor a BMW i3 is equivalent from a pollution point of view to my diesel Ford having done 200.000 miles (I'm nowhere near that).
Did it ever occur to you that maybe someone had looked into this before? Actually, lots of someones with PHDs have and find the opposite of you. Not only that companies are staking $10Bs on developing EVs, do you think they haven't looked at this either? Does that make you curious enough to read what they have written and see if perhaps your napkin model might not be accurate or are you content to be secure in your conclusion?
No, it hasn't occured to me. As I said, it was napkin math. At the same time the dude I had coffee with is an engineer at a rather respectable motor vehicle company so I assumed he has enough insider knowledge beyond what is generally available. Perhaps my mistake.
I am sure it's all fun and games and saving the planet until shit really hits the fan regarding what happens with batteries after they're disposed of but I suppose we're at least 20 years away from that and the comment I replied to will have a completely different meaning for people who don't gobble up the general sentiment that EV cars are the next best thing since sliced bread.
Edit: please understand we used numbers from the manufacturer, not made-up stuff. I understand and respect people with PhDs who look into this, but I have zero respect for car companies in general (random e.g. the VW scandal exposing most manufacturers do the same thing).
I gave you sources that discuss their models in detail and you apparently don't have anything to back up your contention. Provide it or let's end our discussion.
I am unsure where in my initial or follow up comment did I exhibit my desire to discuss this with anybody. I just wished to contribute to the discussion, but I am not keen on a back and forth on something that is still highly debatable.
If you truly believe that EVs are the right way to go towards unfucking our planet then allow me to be of the contrary opinion (i.e. it's simply a publicity stunt and a way to make people part with their money in chasing the next best thing that isn't actually the next best thing whilst fucking up our planet even further).
1. Batteries ripped out of cars
2. Sold to "unscrupulous" scrap dealers
3. Put on boats to Phillipines or West Africa
4. Crushed and pounded with a rock by a 10 year old child, then burned in a rudimentary smelter to separate metals from plastics.
5. Extracted metals bought by middlemen
6. Metals certified as being safely mined/sourced
7. Re-manufactured into a car battery
Battery powered cars are going to be the next disaster, after the fibre glass disposal scandal of wind farms.
I'll keep my very efficient Audi diesel car (79g/km CO2) for now thanks.