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Proof of life on Mars 'to come this year' (scientificamerican.com)
26 points by prat on Jan 13, 2010 | hide | past | favorite | 32 comments



I assume that the investigating scientists familiar with the project have reasons to conclude that the bacterial fossils definitely originated from Mars, given that:

> The stones are known to be from Mars because gases trapped inside them match those in rocks examined by probes on the red planet. They were blasted out of its surface by asteroid impacts and then drifted around the solar system for millions of years before falling to earth.

I would tend to more conservatively conclude, "some meteorites resembling Martian rock have been found to contain fossil evidence of bacteria."

i.e., it is also possible that the rock was contaminated while in space, or that it didn't even originate from Mars, but from conditions which simulated Mars.

I'd love to hear definitive proof of life, or former life, on Mars.


Isn't it unlikely that Mars would not have bacteria, given the tons of earth-sourced meteorites that have bombarded it?


In my opinion, if we discover some life on Mars, but biochemical analysis says that it is compatible with Earth life (uses DNA, same chirality on the molecules, clear analogs with Earth life in the design, probably could even find an ancestor), we have to stick with the theory that Mars did not originate life. If Mars did independently originate life, it should be clearly obvious.

"Mars is able to natively host small amounts of Earth-derived life" is still interesting and still says some things about the prospect of life in the universe, but I don't think that would really add much to what we already know, the way a truly independent branch of life would.

Good cases have been made that RNA and DNA may be the only suitable bases for life, which would imply that finding those wouldn't be absolute proof, but there's enough other stuff in Earth's base DNA catalog that should be different that sequencing should immediately reveal a different origin. (Not to mention the different starting conditions should result in other choices for basic functioning.)

(It is not necessary that RNA/DNA be the only choices for life; it simply means that if the arguments are even partially true it tweaks the probability that truly foreign life might still be RNA/DNA based up. But above that level I'd expect significant differences; "ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny" may be false at the macro level, but billion-year-old decisions of life are still written into our DNA at deep levels. Truly independent life should have made at least some different decisions.)


> If Mars did independently originate life, it should be clearly obvious.

Why?


For the reason I talked about in my third paragraph, for starters?


Well, thanks for that, but I did read your entire comment and it was an honest question. Your third paragraph, for starters, includes a lot of "should" and handwaving.

In what ways were the starting conditions different?

Earth underwent radical changes in its environment in its early history. Did those changes -- from a methane to an oxygen-rich atmosphere for example -- result in radically different RNA or DNA sequences for the bacteria from each epoch?

Why should different starting conditions result in different forms of basic DNA anyway? Wouldn't the basic problems of evolutionary viability be the same?

There is indeed lots of stuff in Earth's base DNA catalog -- including some terrestrial critters that would do just fine on Mars, which would suggest that they could have independently evolved there. Tardigrades are one such popular example.

Your very last sentence is, "Truly independent life should have made at least some different decisions", but there's that word again: should. So, again: why?

On a completely different side note: this is part of the reason that anti-intellectualism is so rampant in America today. Those that have the combination of both ignorance and intellectual curiosity too often get met with sarcasm and indifference by people who then complain that nobody takes their opinion seriously.

So thanks for that.


"Did those changes -- from a methane to an oxygen-rich atmosphere for example -- result in radically different RNA or DNA sequences for the bacteria from each epoch?"

It certainly left an imprint. I can't google up a concrete reference, but there are genes in our genome that come from the era when there was a lot more methane in the general environment meant to essentially put the organism in hibernation when they temporarily encounter a certain type of high-methane environment.

How "radically different" it is depends critically on your definition of "radically different". It is certainly detectably different, which is more to my point. Sequencing a Martian lifeform without those markers would stand out and provide very strong evidence that they don't come from a heritage that had that in its past. (I have no idea how widespread those genes are, so I don't know how much Earth life that would eliminate as possible ancestors.)

"Why should different starting conditions result in different forms of basic DNA anyway? Wouldn't the basic problems of evolutionary viability be the same?"

Genes code for chemistry. Different starting chemistry implies different solutions for problems encountered early in life's existence. Not to mention there are multiple solutions to problems, and the odds of life choosing the same initial solutions are just negligible.

You can see this if you play with evolutionary programming, and look at the resulting programs. You can see it in conventional genetic programming, too, if the problem has many unrelated but equally appropriate solutions. In fact, you can see it in that music link we had a couple days ago. Any given evolutionary run tends to create a population that congregates in a relatively small part of the space, regardless of how many other viable paths there are. Evolution's ability to escape local optima is greatly oversold in the popular press.

"So, again: why?"

Because the probability is so long against it. Why would two 100-fair-coin-flip series ever be the same? It's theoretically possible, but you'll never see it.

Basically, what my point boils down to is that a Martian life form won't fit into the phylogenetic tree of life. See http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/comdesc/phylo.html , which doesn't relate the tree directly to the topic at hand IIRC, but you should see how it relates with some thought. Something that does fit into the phylogenetic tree very probably came from Earth.

"Those that have the combination of both ignorance and intellectual curiosity too often get met with sarcasm and indifference by people who then complain that nobody takes their opinion seriously."

I call foul. You grunted a one word question to a pull quote, a "why" that I answered two paragraphs later. If I had had no answer, I would have understood. This post of yours is not unreasonable, asking for specific further elaboration, but just "why?" didn't cut it. (You prompted me to remember the phylogenetic tree page, which puts my point on much firmer footing, which I appreciate.)

Also, since I can smell the "But you can't prove any of that" coming, I would say, prove for me that life will exactly evolve the same way on Mars that it would on Earth. Actually, I explicitly won't hold you to that, because we're all speculating and handwaving. Even a biochemist of fifty years practice is just speculating and handwaving. Until we start building artificial life forms and start really exploring the space of "valid life forms" neither you nor I nor anybody have the actual data in hand. (We're just barely at the threshold of artificial life and by no means have we even begun exploring the space of possible life.) However, if you go back to my original post, I actually make a judgment call on probabilities, so it's not like that's news to me that it won't be proof.


Thanks for the explanation and link. I wasn't familiar with the term "phylogenetics" -- although it's not too far removed from concepts in high school biology.

> Also, since I can smell the "But you can't prove any of that" coming...

Not from me. I just wanted more information, not an argument.


How do you expect to sequence fossil bacteria's DNA? I don't think DNA is preserved.


It's contingent on getting it, of course. Ideally from the planet itself.

There will have to be something to test, though; if there is no biological material to test for anything I'm going to have to lean in favor of unknown-but-non-life process for generating the images I've seen so far. If the structures had visible complex structure I'd buy life (clearly a skeleton, no matter how mineralized by fossilization, was not produced by a purely unliving process), but I'm logically concluding they don't have any more than what we can see in the pictures or the scientists would have (correctly) already announced it was life.

Small amounts of biological material can't conclusively prove origin from Earth, but might conclusively prove non-terrestrial origin if for instance all the chirality were flipped. (That would both prove biological processes were at work, since randomly created amino acids have random chirality, and that it was non-terrestrial since our entire ecosystem works on only one of the two forms; anything that exclusively used the other would satisfy me as alien.)


If anyone actually believes that, I'd like to bet with them about it.


Which direction would you bet? I assume by your phrasing you mean against, but I'm moderately surprised you'd put "money" in that direction. I'm curious about your reasoning?


Bet against. And by the Fermi Paradox I'd be really shocked (and dismayed!) to find life that common.

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/ideas/articles/2008/05/25/...


At the very least, this would result in quite a lot more spacecraft going to Mars.

This could also have a rather negative effect on religion.


This could also have a rather negative effect on religion.

I only ever hear non-religious people say that. Very few religious people will say "If you proved that, my faith would be shaken."


Very few religious people will say "If you proved that, my faith would be shaken."

And this is true regardless of what "that" is.


It's a cultural myth. Western religions have dealt with "outsiders" and "aliens" for hundreds of years and have done just fine with it. New life forms, intelligent or not, will not change much of anything.

In fact, for a religion to have been successful over the millenia implies a high degree of adaptability. Otherwise we wouldn't have just gotten through celebrating Saturnalia, I mean, er, Christmas.


The most recent things that have hurt religion are the web and 9/11. This will be the third.

We are talking about the greatest discovery that could be made. It is one that will make billions rethink their role in the universe. It will make them wonder about evolution, whether their God guided it and if so to what degree.


In the time since you made that comment, someone gave birth, and that made them rethink their role in the universe. Vague discoveries of space bacteria won't do it.


Why are you so certain of this? I grew up dominated by Christianity. It wasn't until 14 that I saw a UFO magazine insinuate that humans came from Mars. True or not didn't matter - what I remember from reading that was that my faith was shaken to the core. That day, I learned to never base your worldview on something so tenuous that a new discovery could topple it. That experience sent me on a journey to solidify my understanding of the world, and in the process, has made me less of a 'hardcore' Christian.


> I learned to never base your worldview on something so tenuous that a new discovery could topple it.

What? I'd just call that "learning from evidence". I believe plenty of things that a new discovery could topple and there's nothing wrong with that, so long as the new discovery hasn't already happened. You can't update on evidence that could arrive but hasn't arrived.


I'm talking about basing your worldview, not what you currently believe. Worldviews are things people attach significant identities to, and internalize to form the foundations for the rest of their beliefs.

If there's nothing you can think of that can topple you, then kudos, you may have reached enlightenment.


Just think back on when Columbus discovered the new world. Savages! Things that look like humans yet live like animals! With no clothes, no God, no sense of church or salvation. You can't even say that somehow Christianity arrived in the New World and then was lost -- it was just too isolated. (At least until the Mormons came along and solved that problem, but that's another story). As far as anybody was concerned, these were creatures that lived in an entirely alien way. Barely human, if that.

Lots more examples where that came from. Christianity adapted just fine. In fact, one of the major changes Christianity brought to the ancient world was the understanding that all bipedal hominids were equally deserving humans -- that was an unheard of concept before about 100AD. If history is a guide, there'll be a little backlash for a decade or two due to the strangeness and then somebody will be telling us how Jesus actually came to the Martians first back in 1 Billion B.C.

To say that religion will not survive wildly changing pictures of reality is to fail to understand religion's key concept: the creative group explanation for things that cannot be proven one way or another. Heck, religion is custom-designed by evolution especially for situations like dealing with E.T.


The web I sort of get, but... 9/11? You think the problem of evil was new to the world on 9/11? At least, I assume you're referencing the problem of evil since that's the only way I can make sense of that.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_evil


Quite. If the Martians are not alive now, obviously it's because they were sinners :-)


This is why I dropped all my atheistic pretensions a long time ago:

Life on Mars?

Now, that'll really sock it to those lousy Christians.

...the priorities are all wrong.


Do you have more doubt about 'life on Mars' or 'this year'?


"Life on Mars", but the "this year" part means that the bet should settle soon, which makes it a good thing to bet on.


The discovery of distinct plumes of methane that peak in Martian spring and Summer are to me strong evidence that something biological is going on:

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/mars/news/marsmethane.html

The more seasons we see this pattern happen the less likely it is some volcanic/geological source.


The current issue of SciAm has an article saying "nanobacteria" (as "fossilized" in Mars meteorites) are just crystal formations that look a lot like tiny bacteria. The authors demonstrated growth of "nanobacteria" in solution.

Tiny online excerpt: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-rise-an...


I remain skeptical about anything found on earth, since life is so pervasive here. Even if the meteorites do contain fossils it might be possible that their chemical composition just happens by mere coincidence to be similar to that of Mars. I'd be much more persuaded if a rover on the planet was to find fossils, or if a sample return mission was found to contain fossils.


Unlikely. The photos we have already are almost good enough to definitively say if those formations are biological, right? What are the chances that some given biologically formed nodules would be right at that size threshold?

Besides, I've talked to geologists who say those rocks look perfectly non-organic to them.




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